{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\Pitt\Krause\December 2016 Work\Log files\manuscript_models_granger_tests.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 6 Dec 2016, 09:58:05

{com}. do "C:\Users\mzarit\AppData\Local\Temp\STD0q000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. 
. set more off
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. tsset state_fips year, yearly
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}state_fips (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}year, 1942 to 2010
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 year
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. *************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *****************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.A: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010): BIVARIATE DYNAMIC PANEL ARDL(4,3)--ECM REGRESSION MODELS OF STATE REAL PER CAPITA PERSONAL INCOME [real_pc_inc_ann] /// 
> ///       & STATE klarnerranney INDEX FOR PARTISAN COMPETITION IN LEGISLATURE/REPRESENTATIVE ASSEMBLIES [klarnerranney] WITH TWO-WAY FIXED EFFECTS [STATE AND TIME UNIT EFFECTS]  ***
> 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,230{col 27}-16556.11{col 38}-15688.79{col 49}   121{col 58} 31619.58{col 69} 32310.46
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,230
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(120,      2109){col 67}= {res}     34.03
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0351169{col 34}{space 2} .0090603{col 45}{space 1}   -3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -.052885{col 75}{space 3}-.0173489
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5709812{col 34}{space 2} .4806181{col 45}{space 1}   -1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.235{col 62}{space 4}-1.513516{col 75}{space 3}  .371554
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3179585{col 34}{space 2} .0650996{col 45}{space 1}    4.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1902923{col 75}{space 3} .4456246
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.689253{col 34}{space 2} .8378402{col 45}{space 1}   -2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4}-3.332333{col 75}{space 3}-.0461734
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0610302{col 34}{space 2} .0487566{col 45}{space 1}   -1.25{col 54}{space 3}0.211{col 62}{space 4}-.1566463{col 75}{space 3} .0345859
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.775319{col 34}{space 2} .7319832{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} .3398345{col 75}{space 3} 3.210804
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0602634{col 34}{space 2} .0434385{col 45}{space 1}   -1.39{col 54}{space 3}0.165{col 62}{space 4}-.1454501{col 75}{space 3} .0249233
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0508141{col 34}{space 2} .7581049{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.947{col 62}{space 4}-1.435897{col 75}{space 3} 1.537526
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.325785{col 34}{space 2} 279.7622{col 45}{space 1}    0.00{col 54}{space 3}0.996{col 62}{space 4} -547.313{col 75}{space 3} 549.9645
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-333.9435{col 34}{space 2}  345.342{col 45}{space 1}   -0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.334{col 62}{space 4} -1011.19{col 75}{space 3} 343.3029
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -34.0906{col 34}{space 2} 38.27192{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.373{col 62}{space 4}-109.1453{col 75}{space 3} 40.96406
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 84.29422{col 34}{space 2} 139.7186{col 45}{space 1}    0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.546{col 62}{space 4}-189.7064{col 75}{space 3} 358.2949
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 417.0682{col 34}{space 2} 171.6213{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 80.50346{col 75}{space 3}  753.633
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-554.1979{col 34}{space 2} 484.1091{col 45}{space 1}   -1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.252{col 62}{space 4}-1503.579{col 75}{space 3} 395.1833
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 883.7148{col 34}{space 2} 317.8783{col 45}{space 1}    2.78{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 260.3271{col 75}{space 3} 1507.102
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6328.253{col 34}{space 2}  1069.01{col 45}{space 1}    5.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 4231.828{col 75}{space 3} 8424.678
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6658259{col 34}{space 2} 18.39581{col 45}{space 1}    0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.971{col 62}{space 4}-35.41001{col 75}{space 3} 36.74166
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.674055{col 34}{space 2} 21.04959{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.751{col 62}{space 4}-34.60607{col 75}{space 3} 47.95418
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  18.5105{col 34}{space 2} 20.06848{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.356{col 62}{space 4}-20.84558{col 75}{space 3} 57.86658
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.11286{col 34}{space 2} 22.79131{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.402{col 62}{space 4}-63.80867{col 75}{space 3} 25.58294
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.81148{col 34}{space 2} 20.38441{col 45}{space 1}   -0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.438{col 62}{space 4}-55.78712{col 75}{space 3} 24.16417
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.14511{col 34}{space 2} 27.21986{col 45}{space 1}   -0.56{col 54}{space 3}0.578{col 62}{space 4} -68.5257{col 75}{space 3} 38.23548
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-180.0626{col 34}{space 2} 100.1378{col 45}{space 1}   -1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.072{col 62}{space 4}-376.4418{col 75}{space 3} 16.31659
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-110.4033{col 34}{space 2} 95.59084{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.248{col 62}{space 4}-297.8654{col 75}{space 3} 77.05892
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-127.5604{col 34}{space 2} 103.8644{col 45}{space 1}   -1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.220{col 62}{space 4}-331.2479{col 75}{space 3} 76.12705
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 26.27314{col 34}{space 2} 112.9746{col 45}{space 1}    0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.816{col 62}{space 4}-195.2802{col 75}{space 3} 247.8265
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -89.6772{col 34}{space 2} 102.9891{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.384{col 62}{space 4}-291.6481{col 75}{space 3} 112.2937
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-106.8584{col 34}{space 2} 117.3297{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.363{col 62}{space 4}-336.9525{col 75}{space 3} 123.2357
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -175.121{col 34}{space 2} 104.3259{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.093{col 62}{space 4}-379.7135{col 75}{space 3} 29.47149
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-114.5132{col 34}{space 2}  96.8109{col 45}{space 1}   -1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.237{col 62}{space 4} -304.368{col 75}{space 3} 75.34164
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-183.8494{col 34}{space 2} 99.08626{col 45}{space 1}   -1.86{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-378.1664{col 75}{space 3} 10.46758
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-94.09984{col 34}{space 2} 101.2793{col 45}{space 1}   -0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.353{col 62}{space 4}-292.7175{col 75}{space 3} 104.5178
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-118.8108{col 34}{space 2} 101.1588{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.240{col 62}{space 4}-317.1922{col 75}{space 3} 79.57052
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-224.8343{col 34}{space 2} 99.73193{col 45}{space 1}   -2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}-420.4176{col 75}{space 3}-29.25111
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-73.33737{col 34}{space 2} 104.6248{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.483{col 62}{space 4} -278.516{col 75}{space 3} 131.8413
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.80213{col 34}{space 2} 108.6358{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.485{col 62}{space 4}-288.8466{col 75}{space 3} 137.2423
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-175.6835{col 34}{space 2}  99.8586{col 45}{space 1}   -1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-371.5152{col 75}{space 3} 20.14811
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-98.13786{col 34}{space 2} 95.89253{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.306{col 62}{space 4}-286.1917{col 75}{space 3} 89.91598
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-213.8432{col 34}{space 2} 99.93628{col 45}{space 1}   -2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-409.8272{col 75}{space 3}-17.85926
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-163.3384{col 34}{space 2} 107.4599{col 45}{space 1}   -1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.129{col 62}{space 4} -374.077{col 75}{space 3}  47.4001
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.96479{col 34}{space 2} 108.8011{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.462{col 62}{space 4}-293.3334{col 75}{space 3} 133.4039
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-104.4207{col 34}{space 2} 104.2701{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.317{col 62}{space 4}-308.9037{col 75}{space 3} 100.0624
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.69071{col 34}{space 2}  105.724{col 45}{space 1}   -0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.897{col 62}{space 4}-221.0249{col 75}{space 3} 193.6435
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-241.3516{col 34}{space 2} 101.9647{col 45}{space 1}   -2.37{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}-441.3134{col 75}{space 3}-41.38983
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-64.13753{col 34}{space 2} 104.6034{col 45}{space 1}   -0.61{col 54}{space 3}0.540{col 62}{space 4}-269.2741{col 75}{space 3}  140.999
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-66.11161{col 34}{space 2} 126.4655{col 45}{space 1}   -0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.601{col 62}{space 4}-314.1217{col 75}{space 3} 181.8985
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.0907{col 34}{space 2} 97.67607{col 45}{space 1}   -1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-372.6422{col 75}{space 3} 10.46077
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-169.4948{col 34}{space 2} 95.89327{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.077{col 62}{space 4}-357.5501{col 75}{space 3} 18.56045
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-149.8539{col 34}{space 2} 96.66145{col 45}{space 1}   -1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.121{col 62}{space 4}-339.4156{col 75}{space 3} 39.70785
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-182.1541{col 34}{space 2} 101.9713{col 45}{space 1}   -1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.074{col 62}{space 4}-382.1289{col 75}{space 3} 17.82077
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-68.19814{col 34}{space 2}  118.676{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.566{col 62}{space 4}-300.9325{col 75}{space 3} 164.5362
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-209.8028{col 34}{space 2} 102.2143{col 45}{space 1}   -2.05{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4}-410.2542{col 75}{space 3}-9.351389
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -166.22{col 34}{space 2} 100.1069{col 45}{space 1}   -1.66{col 54}{space 3}0.097{col 62}{space 4}-362.5387{col 75}{space 3} 30.09866
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-110.2415{col 34}{space 2} 95.92746{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-298.3639{col 75}{space 3} 77.88082
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-148.6438{col 34}{space 2} 95.04077{col 45}{space 1}   -1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.118{col 62}{space 4}-335.0272{col 75}{space 3} 37.73965
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-29.67086{col 34}{space 2} 121.2036{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.807{col 62}{space 4} -267.362{col 75}{space 3} 208.0203
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 101.2245{col 34}{space 2} 94.51887{col 45}{space 1}    1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.284{col 62}{space 4}-84.13545{col 75}{space 3} 286.5845
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  503.674{col 34}{space 2} 84.20211{col 45}{space 1}    5.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 338.5461{col 75}{space 3} 668.8018
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 122.2202{col 34}{space 2} 107.9689{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.258{col 62}{space 4}-89.51656{col 75}{space 3} 333.9569
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 621.7429{col 34}{space 2} 100.8357{col 45}{space 1}    6.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  423.995{col 75}{space 3} 819.4907
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  406.491{col 34}{space 2} 102.5279{col 45}{space 1}    3.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 205.4247{col 75}{space 3} 607.5574
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 491.0439{col 34}{space 2} 82.69158{col 45}{space 1}    5.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 328.8783{col 75}{space 3} 653.2095
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 375.8334{col 34}{space 2} 87.26004{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 204.7086{col 75}{space 3} 546.9581
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 141.1829{col 34}{space 2} 84.64104{col 45}{space 1}    1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.095{col 62}{space 4}-24.80573{col 75}{space 3} 307.1716
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  709.829{col 34}{space 2} 80.81734{col 45}{space 1}    8.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  551.339{col 75}{space 3}  868.319
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 424.5573{col 34}{space 2} 99.73385{col 45}{space 1}    4.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 228.9703{col 75}{space 3} 620.1443
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 318.9933{col 34}{space 2} 99.41141{col 45}{space 1}    3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 124.0386{col 75}{space 3}  513.948
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 302.6472{col 34}{space 2} 86.27986{col 45}{space 1}    3.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 133.4447{col 75}{space 3} 471.8498
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  621.612{col 34}{space 2} 88.77393{col 45}{space 1}    7.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 447.5184{col 75}{space 3} 795.7056
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 327.4408{col 34}{space 2} 106.9843{col 45}{space 1}    3.06{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 117.6351{col 75}{space 3} 537.2466
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 427.0642{col 34}{space 2} 94.92556{col 45}{space 1}    4.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 240.9067{col 75}{space 3} 613.2217
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 695.9362{col 34}{space 2} 95.09741{col 45}{space 1}    7.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 509.4416{col 75}{space 3} 882.4307
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 428.2614{col 34}{space 2} 92.11625{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 247.6132{col 75}{space 3} 608.9096
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 633.1915{col 34}{space 2} 90.90439{col 45}{space 1}    6.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 454.9199{col 75}{space 3} 811.4632
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 740.8496{col 34}{space 2} 96.16316{col 45}{space 1}    7.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  552.265{col 75}{space 3} 929.4341
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 671.8563{col 34}{space 2} 99.63024{col 45}{space 1}    6.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.4724{col 75}{space 3} 867.2401
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 603.6108{col 34}{space 2} 91.26562{col 45}{space 1}    6.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 424.6308{col 75}{space 3} 782.5909
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 713.2022{col 34}{space 2}  92.6424{col 45}{space 1}    7.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 531.5222{col 75}{space 3} 894.8822
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 700.8999{col 34}{space 2} 97.18492{col 45}{space 1}    7.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 510.3116{col 75}{space 3} 891.4883
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 493.1846{col 34}{space 2} 95.03748{col 45}{space 1}    5.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 306.8076{col 75}{space 3} 679.5616
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 660.2502{col 34}{space 2} 82.87784{col 45}{space 1}    7.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 497.7194{col 75}{space 3} 822.7811
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  983.124{col 34}{space 2} 92.35596{col 45}{space 1}   10.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 802.0057{col 75}{space 3} 1164.242
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  997.512{col 34}{space 2} 140.9031{col 45}{space 1}    7.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 721.1884{col 75}{space 3} 1273.836
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 206.2012{col 34}{space 2} 94.39019{col 45}{space 1}    2.18{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4} 21.09361{col 75}{space 3} 391.3088
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 502.7369{col 34}{space 2} 106.7624{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 293.3662{col 75}{space 3} 712.1076
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 801.6786{col 34}{space 2} 96.58742{col 45}{space 1}    8.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  612.262{col 75}{space 3} 991.0952
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 541.8766{col 34}{space 2} 131.0019{col 45}{space 1}    4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 284.9702{col 75}{space 3}  798.783
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 828.1055{col 34}{space 2} 115.0767{col 45}{space 1}    7.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 602.4298{col 75}{space 3} 1053.781
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 302.7881{col 34}{space 2} 93.08652{col 45}{space 1}    3.25{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 120.2371{col 75}{space 3} 485.3391
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 148.7317{col 34}{space 2} 98.06466{col 45}{space 1}    1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.130{col 62}{space 4}-43.58192{col 75}{space 3} 341.0452
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 628.6392{col 34}{space 2} 88.25532{col 45}{space 1}    7.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 455.5626{col 75}{space 3} 801.7158
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 475.3849{col 34}{space 2} 107.5027{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 264.5624{col 75}{space 3} 686.2074
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 663.7316{col 34}{space 2} 105.6356{col 45}{space 1}    6.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 456.5707{col 75}{space 3} 870.8925
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  965.066{col 34}{space 2} 96.74187{col 45}{space 1}    9.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 775.3466{col 75}{space 3} 1154.786
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 643.2421{col 34}{space 2} 102.5114{col 45}{space 1}    6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 442.2081{col 75}{space 3}  844.276
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 838.7785{col 34}{space 2} 89.19998{col 45}{space 1}    9.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 663.8493{col 75}{space 3} 1013.708
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 662.8068{col 34}{space 2} 93.03083{col 45}{space 1}    7.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  480.365{col 75}{space 3} 845.2485
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 801.0165{col 34}{space 2} 106.7139{col 45}{space 1}    7.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 591.7409{col 75}{space 3} 1010.292
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  805.539{col 34}{space 2} 105.1143{col 45}{space 1}    7.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 599.4005{col 75}{space 3} 1011.678
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 441.3763{col 34}{space 2} 108.3382{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 228.9155{col 75}{space 3} 653.8371
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 412.2731{col 34}{space 2} 100.0328{col 45}{space 1}    4.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 216.0998{col 75}{space 3} 608.4463
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 892.2244{col 34}{space 2} 99.30388{col 45}{space 1}    8.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 697.4806{col 75}{space 3} 1086.968
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 466.9501{col 34}{space 2} 115.7571{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 239.9401{col 75}{space 3} 693.9601
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 797.9819{col 34}{space 2} 108.5352{col 45}{space 1}    7.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 585.1347{col 75}{space 3} 1010.829
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 641.5404{col 34}{space 2} 109.0127{col 45}{space 1}    5.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 427.7567{col 75}{space 3}  855.324
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 841.2229{col 34}{space 2} 111.7915{col 45}{space 1}    7.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 621.9899{col 75}{space 3} 1060.456
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.1752{col 34}{space 2} 110.0124{col 45}{space 1}    7.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 633.4311{col 75}{space 3} 1064.919
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1223.605{col 34}{space 2} 114.2077{col 45}{space 1}   10.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 999.6332{col 75}{space 3} 1447.576
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   681.79{col 34}{space 2} 122.3996{col 45}{space 1}    5.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 441.7534{col 75}{space 3} 921.8266
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1183.416{col 34}{space 2} 113.2848{col 45}{space 1}   10.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 961.2546{col 75}{space 3} 1405.578
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 613.9844{col 34}{space 2} 128.1847{col 45}{space 1}    4.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 362.6027{col 75}{space 3} 865.3661
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 622.9794{col 34}{space 2} 121.5206{col 45}{space 1}    5.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 384.6666{col 75}{space 3} 861.2922
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 778.3087{col 34}{space 2} 119.4658{col 45}{space 1}    6.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 544.0256{col 75}{space 3} 1012.592
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1035.304{col 34}{space 2} 131.4149{col 45}{space 1}    7.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  777.588{col 75}{space 3} 1293.021
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 663.3523{col 34}{space 2} 137.7026{col 45}{space 1}    4.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 393.3053{col 75}{space 3} 933.3994
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1182.438{col 34}{space 2}  144.015{col 45}{space 1}    8.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 900.0117{col 75}{space 3} 1464.864
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 886.6676{col 34}{space 2} 135.2067{col 45}{space 1}    6.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 621.5152{col 75}{space 3}  1151.82
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 707.8266{col 34}{space 2} 148.4362{col 45}{space 1}    4.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 416.7301{col 75}{space 3} 998.9232
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-106.1446{col 34}{space 2} 140.5935{col 45}{space 1}   -0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.450{col 62}{space 4}-381.8609{col 75}{space 3} 169.5718
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1135.734{col 34}{space 2}   127.61{col 45}{space 1}    8.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 885.4797{col 75}{space 3} 1385.989
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-802.7107{col 34}{space 2} 311.7202{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1414.022{col 75}{space 3}-191.3996
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(1,109 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2109) ={res}   15.02
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,  2109) ={res}    2.78
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0395
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2109) ={res}    7.57
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1368802{col 26}{space 2} 1.212493{col 37}{space 1}    0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.910{col 54}{space 4}-2.240927{col 67}{space 3} 2.514688
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-16.25942{col 26}{space 2} 13.40095{col 37}{space 1}   -1.21{col 46}{space 3}0.225{col 54}{space 4} -42.5248{col 67}{space 3} 10.00596
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,196{col 27}-8271.919{col 38}-7964.969{col 49}   116{col 58} 16161.94{col 69} 16822.49
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,196
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(115,      2080){col 67}= {res}      3.61
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1428243{col 29}{space 2} .0177876{col 40}{space 1}   -8.03{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.1777078{col 70}{space 3}-.1079409
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0000358{col 29}{space 2} .0002295{col 40}{space 1}   -0.16{col 49}{space 3}0.876{col 57}{space 4}-.0004858{col 70}{space 3} .0004142
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0479866{col 29}{space 2} .0139599{col 40}{space 1}    3.44{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} .0206098{col 70}{space 3} .0753634
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0019317{col 29}{space 2} .0007818{col 40}{space 1}   -2.47{col 49}{space 3}0.014{col 57}{space 4}-.0034649{col 70}{space 3}-.0003986
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2287349{col 29}{space 2} .0404879{col 40}{space 1}   -5.65{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3081358{col 70}{space 3}-.1493339
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0002805{col 29}{space 2} .0008109{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.729{col 57}{space 4}-.0018709{col 70}{space 3} .0013098
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .021587{col 29}{space 2} .0103098{col 40}{space 1}    2.09{col 49}{space 3}0.036{col 57}{space 4} .0013684{col 70}{space 3} .0418056
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0003364{col 29}{space 2} .0008762{col 40}{space 1}    0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.701{col 57}{space 4}-.0013821{col 70}{space 3} .0020548
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1060568{col 29}{space 2}  .036959{col 40}{space 1}   -2.87{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-.1785372{col 70}{space 3}-.0335763
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0007767{col 29}{space 2} .0009641{col 40}{space 1}   -0.81{col 49}{space 3}0.421{col 57}{space 4}-.0026675{col 70}{space 3} .0011141
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1998107{col 29}{space 2}  .631811{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.752{col 57}{space 4}-1.039237{col 70}{space 3} 1.438859
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3828123{col 29}{space 2} .4557241{col 40}{space 1}   -0.84{col 49}{space 3}0.401{col 57}{space 4}-1.276535{col 70}{space 3} .5109105
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.039186{col 29}{space 2} 1.011953{col 40}{space 1}    1.03{col 49}{space 3}0.305{col 57}{space 4}-.9453605{col 70}{space 3} 3.023732
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4668967{col 29}{space 2} .6461205{col 40}{space 1}   -0.72{col 49}{space 3}0.470{col 57}{space 4}-1.734007{col 70}{space 3} .8002136
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.562557{col 29}{space 2} .8412078{col 40}{space 1}    1.86{col 49}{space 3}0.063{col 57}{space 4}-.0871402{col 70}{space 3} 3.212254
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.534882{col 29}{space 2} .5499487{col 40}{space 1}   -2.79{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-2.613389{col 70}{space 3}-.4563749
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4520318{col 29}{space 2} .8477761{col 40}{space 1}    0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.594{col 57}{space 4}-1.210546{col 70}{space 3}  2.11461
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.108452{col 29}{space 2} 3.674192{col 40}{space 1}   -1.12{col 49}{space 3}0.264{col 57}{space 4}-11.31393{col 70}{space 3} 3.097025
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.918524{col 29}{space 2} 2.061453{col 40}{space 1}   -0.93{col 49}{space 3}0.352{col 57}{space 4} -5.96125{col 70}{space 3} 2.124201
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.184513{col 29}{space 2} 1.688138{col 40}{space 1}   -0.70{col 49}{space 3}0.483{col 57}{space 4}-4.495129{col 70}{space 3} 2.126104
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2975825{col 29}{space 2} 1.852404{col 40}{space 1}   -0.16{col 49}{space 3}0.872{col 57}{space 4}-3.930342{col 70}{space 3} 3.335177
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.417148{col 29}{space 2} 1.774634{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.425{col 57}{space 4}-4.897392{col 70}{space 3} 2.063095
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.260947{col 29}{space 2} 1.837689{col 40}{space 1}   -0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.887{col 57}{space 4}-3.864848{col 70}{space 3} 3.342954
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.833952{col 29}{space 2} 2.137247{col 40}{space 1}   -3.67{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-12.02532{col 70}{space 3}-3.642587
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.615187{col 29}{space 2} 2.535771{col 40}{space 1}   -1.82{col 49}{space 3}0.069{col 57}{space 4}-9.588102{col 70}{space 3} .3577271
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3917381{col 29}{space 2} 1.624607{col 40}{space 1}    0.24{col 49}{space 3}0.809{col 57}{space 4}-2.794287{col 70}{space 3} 3.577763
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -1.07501{col 29}{space 2} 2.004067{col 40}{space 1}   -0.54{col 49}{space 3}0.592{col 57}{space 4}-5.005196{col 70}{space 3} 2.855175
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.267918{col 29}{space 2} 2.096879{col 40}{space 1}   -0.60{col 49}{space 3}0.545{col 57}{space 4}-5.380118{col 70}{space 3} 2.844283
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.826639{col 29}{space 2} 2.051131{col 40}{space 1}   -1.38{col 49}{space 3}0.168{col 57}{space 4}-6.849122{col 70}{space 3} 1.195845
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.7265831{col 29}{space 2} 2.281622{col 40}{space 1}   -0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.750{col 57}{space 4}-5.201084{col 70}{space 3} 3.747918
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.325068{col 29}{space 2} 2.246399{col 40}{space 1}   -2.82{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-10.73049{col 70}{space 3}-1.919644
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.122444{col 29}{space 2} 2.172528{col 40}{space 1}   -2.36{col 49}{space 3}0.018{col 57}{space 4}-9.382999{col 70}{space 3}-.8618887
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4155783{col 29}{space 2}  1.99441{col 40}{space 1}   -0.21{col 49}{space 3}0.835{col 57}{space 4}-4.326826{col 70}{space 3} 3.495669
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.387742{col 29}{space 2} 2.085928{col 40}{space 1}   -0.67{col 49}{space 3}0.506{col 57}{space 4}-5.478465{col 70}{space 3} 2.702982
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.282499{col 29}{space 2} 2.076656{col 40}{space 1}   -1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.272{col 57}{space 4}-6.355041{col 70}{space 3} 1.790042
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2514878{col 29}{space 2} 2.059596{col 40}{space 1}    0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.903{col 57}{space 4}-3.787597{col 70}{space 3} 4.290572
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5556134{col 29}{space 2} 2.250075{col 40}{space 1}   -0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.805{col 57}{space 4}-4.968247{col 70}{space 3}  3.85702
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.889475{col 29}{space 2} 1.900069{col 40}{space 1}   -1.52{col 49}{space 3}0.128{col 57}{space 4}-6.615709{col 70}{space 3} .8367596
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.927462{col 29}{space 2} 1.821962{col 40}{space 1}   -0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.611{col 57}{space 4}-4.500521{col 70}{space 3} 2.645597
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.966346{col 29}{space 2} 2.619728{col 40}{space 1}   -1.13{col 49}{space 3}0.258{col 57}{space 4}-8.103908{col 70}{space 3} 2.171217
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4070683{col 29}{space 2} 1.572574{col 40}{space 1}    0.26{col 49}{space 3}0.796{col 57}{space 4}-2.676914{col 70}{space 3}  3.49105
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.688645{col 29}{space 2} 2.702686{col 40}{space 1}   -1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.172{col 57}{space 4}-8.988896{col 70}{space 3} 1.611607
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.616031{col 29}{space 2} 2.037781{col 40}{space 1}   -0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.428{col 57}{space 4}-5.612334{col 70}{space 3} 2.380272
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.598995{col 29}{space 2} 2.139267{col 40}{space 1}   -0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.780{col 57}{space 4}-4.794322{col 70}{space 3} 3.596332
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5257451{col 29}{space 2} 1.781167{col 40}{space 1}    0.30{col 49}{space 3}0.768{col 57}{space 4} -2.96731{col 70}{space 3}   4.0188
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.841668{col 29}{space 2} 2.386158{col 40}{space 1}   -2.45{col 49}{space 3}0.014{col 57}{space 4}-10.52117{col 70}{space 3}-1.162161
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.882366{col 29}{space 2} 2.415894{col 40}{space 1}   -1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.108{col 57}{space 4}-8.620188{col 70}{space 3} .8554565
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.949531{col 29}{space 2} 2.621449{col 40}{space 1}   -1.13{col 49}{space 3}0.261{col 57}{space 4}-8.090468{col 70}{space 3} 2.191407
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.336306{col 29}{space 2} 2.209593{col 40}{space 1}   -1.06{col 49}{space 3}0.290{col 57}{space 4} -6.66955{col 70}{space 3} 1.996939
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.101267{col 29}{space 2} 2.043992{col 40}{space 1}   -0.05{col 49}{space 3}0.960{col 57}{space 4} -4.10975{col 70}{space 3} 3.907216
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5785657{col 29}{space 2}  1.99201{col 40}{space 1}   -0.29{col 49}{space 3}0.772{col 57}{space 4}-4.485106{col 70}{space 3} 3.327975
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.299827{col 29}{space 2} 1.921213{col 40}{space 1}   -1.72{col 49}{space 3}0.086{col 57}{space 4}-7.067528{col 70}{space 3} .4678748
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.652838{col 29}{space 2} 2.856197{col 40}{space 1}    3.03{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.051535{col 70}{space 3} 14.25414
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 25.75145{col 29}{space 2} 4.953727{col 40}{space 1}    5.20{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 16.03667{col 70}{space 3} 35.46623
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.29104{col 29}{space 2} 3.149253{col 40}{space 1}    3.59{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.115027{col 70}{space 3} 17.46706
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  8.47637{col 29}{space 2} 3.426362{col 40}{space 1}    2.47{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4} 1.756915{col 70}{space 3} 15.19583
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.880492{col 29}{space 2}  3.12828{col 40}{space 1}    3.16{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.745606{col 70}{space 3} 16.01538
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.836235{col 29}{space 2} 4.136207{col 40}{space 1}    1.89{col 49}{space 3}0.058{col 57}{space 4}-.2753022{col 70}{space 3} 15.94777
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.970416{col 29}{space 2} 3.096671{col 40}{space 1}    3.22{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 3.897519{col 70}{space 3} 16.04331
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.03564{col 29}{space 2} 4.029989{col 40}{space 1}    4.23{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.132411{col 70}{space 3} 24.93887
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.59755{col 29}{space 2} 3.200765{col 40}{space 1}    3.62{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.320514{col 70}{space 3} 17.87459
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.27936{col 29}{space 2} 4.262566{col 40}{space 1}    3.82{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.920022{col 70}{space 3}  24.6387
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.28251{col 29}{space 2} 3.241469{col 40}{space 1}    3.79{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.925648{col 70}{space 3} 18.63937
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.28134{col 29}{space 2} 4.479066{col 40}{space 1}    3.63{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.497426{col 70}{space 3} 25.06526
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  12.7179{col 29}{space 2} 3.287472{col 40}{space 1}    3.87{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  6.27082{col 70}{space 3} 19.16497
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.41836{col 29}{space 2} 4.043147{col 40}{space 1}    3.07{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.489321{col 70}{space 3} 20.34739
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  12.9399{col 29}{space 2} 3.234649{col 40}{space 1}    4.00{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.596418{col 70}{space 3} 19.28339
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.35751{col 29}{space 2} 3.564091{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.367953{col 70}{space 3} 19.34707
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.28486{col 29}{space 2} 3.253988{col 40}{space 1}    3.78{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.903451{col 70}{space 3} 18.66628
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.37612{col 29}{space 2}  4.05669{col 40}{space 1}    3.79{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.420521{col 70}{space 3} 23.33171
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.68916{col 29}{space 2} 3.363013{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.093942{col 70}{space 3} 19.28439
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.19247{col 29}{space 2} 5.122611{col 40}{space 1}    2.97{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 5.146493{col 70}{space 3} 25.23845
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.12453{col 29}{space 2} 3.363159{col 40}{space 1}    3.90{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.529023{col 70}{space 3} 19.72004
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.68167{col 29}{space 2} 3.866446{col 40}{space 1}    3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.099168{col 70}{space 3} 20.26418
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.34255{col 29}{space 2} 3.219153{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.029458{col 70}{space 3} 18.65565
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.06561{col 29}{space 2} 3.773439{col 40}{space 1}    4.79{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  10.6655{col 70}{space 3} 25.46572
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.16107{col 29}{space 2} 3.498845{col 40}{space 1}    4.33{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.299465{col 70}{space 3} 22.02267
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  14.3283{col 29}{space 2}  4.05108{col 40}{space 1}    3.54{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.383704{col 70}{space 3} 22.27289
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.04098{col 29}{space 2} 3.557542{col 40}{space 1}    3.38{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.064264{col 70}{space 3} 19.01769
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.07592{col 29}{space 2} 4.529031{col 40}{space 1}    2.22{col 49}{space 3}0.026{col 57}{space 4} 1.194009{col 70}{space 3} 18.95782
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.88828{col 29}{space 2} 3.531474{col 40}{space 1}    3.93{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.962684{col 70}{space 3} 20.81387
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.79442{col 29}{space 2} 4.098122{col 40}{space 1}    2.88{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} 3.757572{col 70}{space 3} 19.83127
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.68512{col 29}{space 2} 3.540192{col 40}{space 1}    3.87{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.742433{col 70}{space 3} 20.62781
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.91303{col 29}{space 2} 3.820972{col 40}{space 1}    3.38{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.419698{col 70}{space 3} 20.40635
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.54367{col 29}{space 2} 3.456858{col 40}{space 1}    3.63{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.764407{col 70}{space 3} 19.32293
{txt}{space 10}1981  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  14.3153{col 29}{space 2} 3.865835{col 40}{space 1}    3.70{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.733995{col 70}{space 3} 21.89661
{txt}{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.41096{col 29}{space 2} 3.573737{col 40}{space 1}    3.75{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.402487{col 70}{space 3} 20.41943
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.14819{col 29}{space 2} 3.922691{col 40}{space 1}    3.35{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.455386{col 70}{space 3}   20.841
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.22038{col 29}{space 2} 3.527478{col 40}{space 1}    4.03{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.302622{col 70}{space 3} 21.13813
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.78653{col 29}{space 2} 3.861823{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.213084{col 70}{space 3} 22.35997
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.15517{col 29}{space 2} 3.497741{col 40}{space 1}    4.05{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.295729{col 70}{space 3}  21.0146
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.36431{col 29}{space 2} 3.670196{col 40}{space 1}    4.46{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.166671{col 70}{space 3} 23.56195
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.07602{col 29}{space 2} 3.537189{col 40}{space 1}    3.98{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.139219{col 70}{space 3} 21.01282
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.92315{col 29}{space 2} 3.756806{col 40}{space 1}    4.24{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  8.55566{col 70}{space 3} 23.29064
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.68976{col 29}{space 2} 3.560439{col 40}{space 1}    3.84{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.707363{col 70}{space 3} 20.67215
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.58639{col 29}{space 2} 3.905768{col 40}{space 1}    3.99{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.92677{col 70}{space 3} 23.24601
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.13152{col 29}{space 2} 3.702623{col 40}{space 1}    3.82{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.870286{col 70}{space 3} 21.39275
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   14.308{col 29}{space 2} 4.032073{col 40}{space 1}    3.55{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  6.40068{col 70}{space 3} 22.21532
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.59615{col 29}{space 2} 3.721716{col 40}{space 1}    3.92{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.297476{col 70}{space 3} 21.89483
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.16072{col 29}{space 2} 4.247133{col 40}{space 1}    2.63{col 49}{space 3}0.009{col 57}{space 4} 2.831645{col 70}{space 3} 19.48979
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.50521{col 29}{space 2} 3.713298{col 40}{space 1}    3.91{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.223043{col 70}{space 3} 21.78738
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.48437{col 29}{space 2} 4.032362{col 40}{space 1}    3.10{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.576484{col 70}{space 3} 20.39226
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.98003{col 29}{space 2} 3.844262{col 40}{space 1}    3.90{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.441028{col 70}{space 3} 22.51903
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.32237{col 29}{space 2} 4.001883{col 40}{space 1}    3.58{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.474256{col 70}{space 3} 22.17048
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.06065{col 29}{space 2} 3.898175{col 40}{space 1}    3.86{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.415924{col 70}{space 3} 22.70539
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.74733{col 29}{space 2} 4.062367{col 40}{space 1}    3.38{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.780599{col 70}{space 3} 21.71406
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.99114{col 29}{space 2} 3.957027{col 40}{space 1}    3.54{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.230996{col 70}{space 3} 21.75129
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.32554{col 29}{space 2} 4.055211{col 40}{space 1}    3.04{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.372844{col 70}{space 3} 20.27824
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.34061{col 29}{space 2} 4.068039{col 40}{space 1}    3.53{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.362758{col 70}{space 3} 22.31846
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.22328{col 29}{space 2} 4.141209{col 40}{space 1}    2.95{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 4.101935{col 70}{space 3} 20.34463
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.31418{col 29}{space 2} 4.082214{col 40}{space 1}    3.51{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.308532{col 70}{space 3} 22.31983
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.92714{col 29}{space 2} 4.360135{col 40}{space 1}    3.19{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  5.37646{col 70}{space 3} 22.47783
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.35477{col 29}{space 2} 4.171823{col 40}{space 1}    3.20{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.173391{col 70}{space 3} 21.53616
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.086392{col 29}{space 2} 4.294626{col 40}{space 1}    2.12{col 49}{space 3}0.034{col 57}{space 4} .6641784{col 70}{space 3}  17.5086
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.515985{col 29}{space 2} 4.878575{col 40}{space 1}    1.75{col 49}{space 3}0.081{col 57}{space 4}-1.051414{col 70}{space 3} 18.08338
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6501657{col 29}{space 2} 4.427148{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.883{col 57}{space 4}-9.332269{col 70}{space 3} 8.031938
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(1,143 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2080) ={res}   64.47
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann =  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,  2080) ={res}    1.66
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1568
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2080) ={res}   32.28
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0026526{col 26}{space 2}  .001443{col 37}{space 1}   -1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-.0054825{col 67}{space 3} .0001773
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002508{col 26}{space 2} .0016052{col 37}{space 1}   -0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.876{col 54}{space 4}-.0033969{col 67}{space 3} .0028952
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.B: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 -1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,148{col 27}-8508.191{col 38}-8054.075{col 49}    92{col 58} 16292.15{col 69} 16756.36
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,148
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 91,      1056){col 67}= {res}     22.71
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2084357{col 34}{space 2} .0399104{col 45}{space 1}   -5.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2867485{col 75}{space 3}-.1301229
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.331203{col 34}{space 2} .7274987{col 45}{space 1}   -1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.068{col 62}{space 4}-2.758711{col 75}{space 3}  .096304
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3652005{col 34}{space 2} .1132555{col 45}{space 1}    3.22{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .1429691{col 75}{space 3} .5874318
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.773129{col 34}{space 2} .9575282{col 45}{space 1}   -1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-3.652003{col 75}{space 3} .1057455
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0610776{col 34}{space 2} .0735154{col 45}{space 1}   -0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.406{col 62}{space 4}-.2053304{col 75}{space 3} .0831751
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.424265{col 34}{space 2} 1.011971{col 45}{space 1}    2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} .4385629{col 75}{space 3} 4.409966
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0218659{col 34}{space 2} .0628296{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.728{col 62}{space 4}-.1451511{col 75}{space 3} .1014192
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0123683{col 34}{space 2} .9454507{col 45}{space 1}   -0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.990{col 62}{space 4}-1.867544{col 75}{space 3} 1.842807
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0668434{col 34}{space 2}  .048837{col 45}{space 1}    1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.171{col 62}{space 4}-.0289852{col 75}{space 3}  .162672
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8479989{col 34}{space 2} .9096251{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.351{col 62}{space 4}-.9368794{col 75}{space 3} 2.632877
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-211.1952{col 34}{space 2} 228.8326{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.356{col 62}{space 4}-660.2134{col 75}{space 3} 237.8231
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -76.8389{col 34}{space 2} 342.5969{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.823{col 62}{space 4}-749.0871{col 75}{space 3} 595.4093
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-22.68755{col 34}{space 2} 69.58272{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.744{col 62}{space 4}-159.2237{col 75}{space 3} 113.8486
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 244.8863{col 34}{space 2} 210.1077{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.244{col 62}{space 4}-167.3898{col 75}{space 3} 657.1624
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  357.642{col 34}{space 2} 244.8327{col 45}{space 1}    1.46{col 54}{space 3}0.144{col 62}{space 4}-122.7719{col 75}{space 3} 838.0559
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 50.62394{col 34}{space 2} 706.5685{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.943{col 62}{space 4}-1335.814{col 75}{space 3} 1437.062
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 699.7328{col 34}{space 2} 599.6664{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.244{col 62}{space 4}-476.9404{col 75}{space 3} 1876.406
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5190.277{col 34}{space 2}   1530.5{col 45}{space 1}    3.39{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  2187.11{col 75}{space 3} 8193.445
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  44.5012{col 34}{space 2} 29.23474{col 45}{space 1}    1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.128{col 62}{space 4}-12.86358{col 75}{space 3}  101.866
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.65194{col 34}{space 2} 31.37902{col 45}{space 1}   -0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.596{col 62}{space 4}-78.22426{col 75}{space 3} 44.92038
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-27.51234{col 34}{space 2} 33.30301{col 45}{space 1}   -0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.409{col 62}{space 4}-92.85993{col 75}{space 3} 37.83525
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  19.9848{col 34}{space 2} 34.61033{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.564{col 62}{space 4}-47.92804{col 75}{space 3} 87.89764
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-11.99562{col 34}{space 2} 30.37682{col 45}{space 1}   -0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.693{col 62}{space 4} -71.6014{col 75}{space 3} 47.61016
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-50.84541{col 34}{space 2} 40.20098{col 45}{space 1}   -1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.206{col 62}{space 4}-129.7283{col 75}{space 3} 28.03747
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1222.688{col 34}{space 2} 340.2714{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1890.373{col 75}{space 3}-555.0033
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-702.2287{col 34}{space 2} 285.2898{col 45}{space 1}   -2.46{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}-1262.028{col 75}{space 3}-142.4294
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1060.554{col 34}{space 2} 325.6653{col 45}{space 1}   -3.26{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1699.579{col 75}{space 3}-421.5294
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-631.3339{col 34}{space 2} 284.7794{col 45}{space 1}   -2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4}-1190.132{col 75}{space 3}-72.53599
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-713.8168{col 34}{space 2} 287.2522{col 45}{space 1}   -2.48{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-1277.467{col 75}{space 3}-150.1667
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-662.9831{col 34}{space 2} 291.8955{col 45}{space 1}   -2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4}-1235.744{col 75}{space 3}  -90.222
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1254.921{col 34}{space 2} 354.1876{col 45}{space 1}   -3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1949.912{col 75}{space 3} -559.929
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-789.0417{col 34}{space 2} 289.7808{col 45}{space 1}   -2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1357.653{col 75}{space 3}  -220.43
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1100.666{col 34}{space 2} 320.0066{col 45}{space 1}   -3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1728.587{col 75}{space 3}-472.7452
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1098.309{col 34}{space 2} 339.9751{col 45}{space 1}   -3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1765.412{col 75}{space 3} -431.205
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1135.31{col 34}{space 2} 334.7874{col 45}{space 1}   -3.39{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1792.234{col 75}{space 3}-478.3855
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1445.556{col 34}{space 2} 357.8907{col 45}{space 1}   -4.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2147.813{col 75}{space 3}-743.2978
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-925.2204{col 34}{space 2}   307.02{col 45}{space 1}   -3.01{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1527.659{col 75}{space 3}-322.7817
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-972.1594{col 34}{space 2} 307.4491{col 45}{space 1}   -3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} -1575.44{col 75}{space 3}-368.8788
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-937.2966{col 34}{space 2} 300.5185{col 45}{space 1}   -3.12{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1526.978{col 75}{space 3}-347.6152
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1064.749{col 34}{space 2} 324.2366{col 45}{space 1}   -3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} -1700.97{col 75}{space 3}-428.5281
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1203.195{col 34}{space 2} 335.8836{col 45}{space 1}   -3.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1862.271{col 75}{space 3}-544.1202
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1129.084{col 34}{space 2} 341.4652{col 45}{space 1}   -3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1799.112{col 75}{space 3}-459.0569
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-612.9902{col 34}{space 2} 288.7661{col 45}{space 1}   -2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4}-1179.611{col 75}{space 3}-46.36958
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1156.153{col 34}{space 2} 328.8322{col 45}{space 1}   -3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1801.392{col 75}{space 3}-510.9146
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-754.3871{col 34}{space 2} 288.5779{col 45}{space 1}   -2.61{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-1320.638{col 75}{space 3}-188.1359
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1435.761{col 34}{space 2} 367.6065{col 45}{space 1}   -3.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2157.083{col 75}{space 3}-714.4387
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-744.6594{col 34}{space 2} 285.7665{col 45}{space 1}   -2.61{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-1305.394{col 75}{space 3}-183.9246
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1264.197{col 34}{space 2} 398.0233{col 45}{space 1}   -3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-2045.203{col 75}{space 3}-483.1901
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1026.651{col 34}{space 2} 310.2607{col 45}{space 1}   -3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1635.448{col 75}{space 3}-417.8532
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1046.907{col 34}{space 2} 312.3386{col 45}{space 1}   -3.35{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1659.782{col 75}{space 3}-434.0317
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1052.866{col 34}{space 2} 312.6555{col 45}{space 1}   -3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1666.362{col 75}{space 3}-439.3692
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1148.746{col 34}{space 2} 324.0254{col 45}{space 1}   -3.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1784.553{col 75}{space 3}-512.9395
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1285.36{col 34}{space 2} 396.9416{col 45}{space 1}   -3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2064.244{col 75}{space 3} -506.476
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1316.928{col 34}{space 2} 349.0001{col 45}{space 1}   -3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2001.741{col 75}{space 3}-632.1154
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1376.348{col 34}{space 2} 355.7138{col 45}{space 1}   -3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2074.334{col 75}{space 3}-678.3614
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-917.7646{col 34}{space 2} 302.0989{col 45}{space 1}   -3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1510.547{col 75}{space 3}-324.9823
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1084.437{col 34}{space 2} 320.4645{col 45}{space 1}   -3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1713.257{col 75}{space 3}-455.6173
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-887.7014{col 34}{space 2} 328.2521{col 45}{space 1}   -2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1531.802{col 75}{space 3}-243.6009
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 367.2925{col 34}{space 2} 94.85398{col 45}{space 1}    3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 181.1688{col 75}{space 3} 553.4162
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.214688{col 34}{space 2} 160.7672{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.959{col 62}{space 4}-307.2448{col 75}{space 3} 323.6742
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  555.567{col 34}{space 2} 156.0045{col 45}{space 1}    3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 249.4529{col 75}{space 3} 861.6811
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 351.8896{col 34}{space 2} 168.4527{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4} 21.34958{col 75}{space 3} 682.4296
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 449.6275{col 34}{space 2} 124.8015{col 45}{space 1}    3.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 204.7404{col 75}{space 3} 694.5145
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 393.6115{col 34}{space 2} 132.5933{col 45}{space 1}    2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 133.4352{col 75}{space 3} 653.7878
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 164.3729{col 34}{space 2} 129.9401{col 45}{space 1}    1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.206{col 62}{space 4}-90.59726{col 75}{space 3}  419.343
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 730.2576{col 34}{space 2} 112.9461{col 45}{space 1}    6.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 508.6333{col 75}{space 3} 951.8818
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 470.6025{col 34}{space 2}  163.585{col 45}{space 1}    2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 149.6139{col 75}{space 3} 791.5911
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 440.7855{col 34}{space 2} 149.1378{col 45}{space 1}    2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 148.1454{col 75}{space 3} 733.4256
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 424.9998{col 34}{space 2} 124.0422{col 45}{space 1}    3.43{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 181.6025{col 75}{space 3} 668.3971
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 714.3498{col 34}{space 2}  114.142{col 45}{space 1}    6.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  490.379{col 75}{space 3} 938.3207
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 471.0631{col 34}{space 2} 169.2765{col 45}{space 1}    2.78{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 138.9066{col 75}{space 3} 803.2196
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 608.6486{col 34}{space 2} 149.5095{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 315.2791{col 75}{space 3}  902.018
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 907.2711{col 34}{space 2} 150.4023{col 45}{space 1}    6.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 612.1496{col 75}{space 3} 1202.392
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 619.6169{col 34}{space 2} 165.5862{col 45}{space 1}    3.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 294.7014{col 75}{space 3} 944.5324
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  881.194{col 34}{space 2} 153.4709{col 45}{space 1}    5.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 580.0513{col 75}{space 3} 1182.337
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1024.556{col 34}{space 2}  182.368{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 666.7112{col 75}{space 3} 1382.401
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 998.8344{col 34}{space 2} 189.8153{col 45}{space 1}    5.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 626.3764{col 75}{space 3} 1371.292
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1032.677{col 34}{space 2} 186.7391{col 45}{space 1}    5.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  666.255{col 75}{space 3} 1399.099
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1181.01{col 34}{space 2} 189.3579{col 45}{space 1}    6.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 809.4496{col 75}{space 3} 1552.571
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1202.065{col 34}{space 2} 209.5808{col 45}{space 1}    5.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 790.8227{col 75}{space 3} 1613.307
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1062.193{col 34}{space 2} 216.6346{col 45}{space 1}    4.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 637.1098{col 75}{space 3} 1487.276
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1269.255{col 34}{space 2}  206.883{col 45}{space 1}    6.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 863.3063{col 75}{space 3} 1675.203
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1601.152{col 34}{space 2} 231.9199{col 45}{space 1}    6.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1146.076{col 75}{space 3} 2056.228
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1705.991{col 34}{space 2} 293.3108{col 45}{space 1}    5.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1130.452{col 75}{space 3} 2281.529
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1020.11{col 34}{space 2} 251.1879{col 45}{space 1}    4.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 527.2254{col 75}{space 3} 1512.994
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1333.128{col 34}{space 2} 193.1281{col 45}{space 1}    6.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 954.1696{col 75}{space 3} 1712.086
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1573.922{col 34}{space 2} 224.2945{col 45}{space 1}    7.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1133.808{col 75}{space 3} 2014.035
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1405.561{col 34}{space 2} 298.5451{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 819.7524{col 75}{space 3}  1991.37
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1783.733{col 34}{space 2} 304.8578{col 45}{space 1}    5.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1185.537{col 75}{space 3} 2381.929
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1285.115{col 34}{space 2} 291.6529{col 45}{space 1}    4.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 712.8297{col 75}{space 3}   1857.4
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1130.47{col 34}{space 2} 243.5911{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  652.492{col 75}{space 3} 1608.447
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1542.895{col 34}{space 2} 773.9844{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4} 24.17241{col 75}{space 3} 3061.617
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,191 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1056) ={res}   27.28
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = l3.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,  1056) ={res}    1.86
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1152
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1056) ={res}   13.64
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.486767{col 26}{space 2} 2.002085{col 37}{space 1}    0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.458{col 54}{space 4}-2.441751{col 67}{space 3} 5.415284
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.386639{col 26}{space 2} 3.271221{col 37}{space 1}   -1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-12.79811{col 67}{space 3}  .024837
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year <= 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 7.846587       2.666667
{txt} 5%    {res}       26       2.666667
{txt}10%    {res} 35.89286       4.966588       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,148
{txt}25%    {res} 57.88889       4.966588       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,148

{txt}50%    {res} 74.40371                      {txt}Mean          {res} 69.93211
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 22.52059
{txt}75%    {res}       88            100
{txt}90%    {res}       96            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 507.1771
{txt}95%    {res} 98.35601            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.7979719
{txt}99%    {res} 99.78022            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.982485
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88  - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-192.3088{col 26}{space 2}  98.5001{col 37}{space 1}   -1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-385.3654{col 67}{space 3} .7478704
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,148{col 27}-4553.793{col 38}-4348.129{col 49}    86{col 58} 8868.259{col 69} 9302.196
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,148
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 85,      1062){col 67}= {res}      4.01
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1980972{col 29}{space 2} .0312626{col 40}{space 1}   -6.34{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2594406{col 70}{space 3}-.1367538
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0013335{col 29}{space 2} .0008531{col 40}{space 1}   -1.56{col 49}{space 3}0.118{col 57}{space 4}-.0030074{col 70}{space 3} .0003404
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0916876{col 29}{space 2} .0222938{col 40}{space 1}    4.11{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0479427{col 70}{space 3} .1354326
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0028667{col 29}{space 2} .0012925{col 40}{space 1}   -2.22{col 49}{space 3}0.027{col 57}{space 4} -.005403{col 70}{space 3}-.0003305
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2715091{col 29}{space 2} .0514031{col 40}{space 1}   -5.28{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3723721{col 70}{space 3} -.170646
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0002017{col 29}{space 2} .0014685{col 40}{space 1}    0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.891{col 57}{space 4}-.0026799{col 70}{space 3} .0030833
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0536285{col 29}{space 2} .0145189{col 40}{space 1}    3.69{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0251396{col 70}{space 3} .0821174
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0008963{col 29}{space 2} .0012628{col 40}{space 1}    0.71{col 49}{space 3}0.478{col 57}{space 4}-.0015816{col 70}{space 3} .0033741
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1363809{col 29}{space 2} .0458656{col 40}{space 1}   -2.97{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4}-.2263785{col 70}{space 3}-.0463833
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0011571{col 29}{space 2} .0014935{col 40}{space 1}    0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.439{col 57}{space 4}-.0017735{col 70}{space 3} .0040876
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.099936{col 29}{space 2} 1.149689{col 40}{space 1}    0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.339{col 57}{space 4}-1.155983{col 70}{space 3} 3.355856
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8366716{col 29}{space 2} .7724847{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.279{col 57}{space 4}-2.352441{col 70}{space 3} .6790981
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.161974{col 29}{space 2} 1.910048{col 40}{space 1}   -1.13{col 49}{space 3}0.258{col 57}{space 4} -5.90987{col 70}{space 3} 1.585923
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.215124{col 29}{space 2} 1.100137{col 40}{space 1}    1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.270{col 57}{space 4}-.9435663{col 70}{space 3} 3.373814
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.598893{col 29}{space 2} 1.408363{col 40}{space 1}    1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.257{col 57}{space 4}-1.164598{col 70}{space 3} 4.362384
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.348715{col 29}{space 2} .8840983{col 40}{space 1}   -1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.127{col 57}{space 4}-3.083493{col 70}{space 3} .3860628
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3189492{col 29}{space 2} 1.460245{col 40}{space 1}   -0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.827{col 57}{space 4}-3.184242{col 70}{space 3} 2.546343
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.868021{col 29}{space 2} 4.535236{col 40}{space 1}   -1.07{col 49}{space 3}0.283{col 57}{space 4}-13.76706{col 70}{space 3} 4.031021
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -8.14263{col 29}{space 2} 5.233388{col 40}{space 1}   -1.56{col 49}{space 3}0.120{col 57}{space 4}-18.41158{col 70}{space 3} 2.126325
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.461358{col 29}{space 2} 3.577193{col 40}{space 1}   -0.97{col 49}{space 3}0.333{col 57}{space 4}-10.48053{col 70}{space 3} 3.557811
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.470432{col 29}{space 2} 4.423233{col 40}{space 1}   -1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.312{col 57}{space 4} -13.1497{col 70}{space 3} 4.208836
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.510681{col 29}{space 2}  3.69185{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.222{col 57}{space 4}-11.75483{col 70}{space 3} 2.733469
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.676333{col 29}{space 2} 3.691491{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.320{col 57}{space 4}-10.91978{col 70}{space 3} 3.567111
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.796475{col 29}{space 2} 3.523681{col 40}{space 1}   -2.21{col 49}{space 3}0.027{col 57}{space 4}-14.71064{col 70}{space 3}-.8823077
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.632565{col 29}{space 2} 5.329501{col 40}{space 1}   -1.43{col 49}{space 3}0.152{col 57}{space 4}-18.09011{col 70}{space 3} 2.824983
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.305173{col 29}{space 2} 3.547548{col 40}{space 1}   -0.65{col 49}{space 3}0.516{col 57}{space 4}-9.266173{col 70}{space 3} 4.655827
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.859874{col 29}{space 2}  4.85466{col 40}{space 1}   -1.21{col 49}{space 3}0.228{col 57}{space 4}-15.38569{col 70}{space 3} 3.665941
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.909184{col 29}{space 2} 5.118598{col 40}{space 1}   -1.74{col 49}{space 3}0.082{col 57}{space 4} -18.9529{col 70}{space 3}  1.13453
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.843934{col 29}{space 2} 5.248686{col 40}{space 1}   -1.68{col 49}{space 3}0.092{col 57}{space 4}-19.14291{col 70}{space 3}  1.45504
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.626361{col 29}{space 2} 5.955171{col 40}{space 1}   -1.62{col 49}{space 3}0.106{col 57}{space 4} -21.3116{col 70}{space 3} 2.058878
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -11.1579{col 29}{space 2} 4.404236{col 40}{space 1}   -2.53{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}-19.79989{col 70}{space 3}-2.515909
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.801038{col 29}{space 2} 4.464259{col 40}{space 1}   -1.75{col 49}{space 3}0.081{col 57}{space 4}-16.56081{col 70}{space 3} .9587315
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.597808{col 29}{space 2} 4.296414{col 40}{space 1}   -1.07{col 49}{space 3}0.285{col 57}{space 4}-13.02823{col 70}{space 3} 3.832617
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.449927{col 29}{space 2} 4.729338{col 40}{space 1}   -1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.173{col 57}{space 4}-15.72983{col 70}{space 3} 2.829981
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.418258{col 29}{space 2} 4.831145{col 40}{space 1}   -1.54{col 49}{space 3}0.125{col 57}{space 4}-16.89793{col 70}{space 3} 2.061417
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.153732{col 29}{space 2} 4.742382{col 40}{space 1}   -0.88{col 49}{space 3}0.381{col 57}{space 4}-13.45924{col 70}{space 3} 5.151772
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.163892{col 29}{space 2}  4.08387{col 40}{space 1}   -0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.439{col 57}{space 4}-11.17726{col 70}{space 3} 4.849479
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.386574{col 29}{space 2}  4.94733{col 40}{space 1}   -1.70{col 49}{space 3}0.090{col 57}{space 4}-18.09423{col 70}{space 3} 1.321079
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -5.19173{col 29}{space 2} 3.826643{col 40}{space 1}   -1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.175{col 57}{space 4}-12.70037{col 70}{space 3}  2.31691
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.75185{col 29}{space 2}  6.18322{col 40}{space 1}   -1.90{col 49}{space 3}0.058{col 57}{space 4}-23.88457{col 70}{space 3} .3808656
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.139416{col 29}{space 2} 3.625492{col 40}{space 1}   -0.59{col 49}{space 3}0.555{col 57}{space 4}-9.253357{col 70}{space 3} 4.974524
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.54256{col 29}{space 2} 6.182736{col 40}{space 1}   -2.03{col 49}{space 3}0.043{col 57}{space 4}-24.67432{col 70}{space 3}-.4107931
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.949473{col 29}{space 2} 4.451199{col 40}{space 1}   -1.34{col 49}{space 3}0.182{col 57}{space 4}-14.68362{col 70}{space 3} 2.784671
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -5.86642{col 29}{space 2}  4.65935{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.208{col 57}{space 4}  -15.009{col 70}{space 3} 3.276158
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.482159{col 29}{space 2} 4.361268{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.425{col 57}{space 4}-12.03984{col 70}{space 3} 5.075522
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.20891{col 29}{space 2} 4.847275{col 40}{space 1}   -2.11{col 49}{space 3}0.035{col 57}{space 4}-19.72024{col 70}{space 3}-.6975879
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.63108{col 29}{space 2} 6.165778{col 40}{space 1}   -1.72{col 49}{space 3}0.085{col 57}{space 4}-22.72957{col 70}{space 3} 1.467415
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.333713{col 29}{space 2} 5.656389{col 40}{space 1}   -1.12{col 49}{space 3}0.263{col 57}{space 4}-17.43268{col 70}{space 3} 4.765256
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.37724{col 29}{space 2} 5.777081{col 40}{space 1}   -2.14{col 49}{space 3}0.032{col 57}{space 4}-23.71302{col 70}{space 3}-1.041446
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.154472{col 29}{space 2} 4.339371{col 40}{space 1}   -0.50{col 49}{space 3}0.620{col 57}{space 4}-10.66919{col 70}{space 3} 6.360244
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.304518{col 29}{space 2} 4.690851{col 40}{space 1}   -1.34{col 49}{space 3}0.179{col 57}{space 4}-15.50891{col 70}{space 3} 2.899872
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.028489{col 29}{space 2} 4.322477{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.163{col 57}{space 4}-14.51005{col 70}{space 3} 2.453076
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.907129{col 29}{space 2} 2.961302{col 40}{space 1}    3.01{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4}  3.09646{col 70}{space 3}  14.7178
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 25.91048{col 29}{space 2}  4.90273{col 40}{space 1}    5.28{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 16.29034{col 70}{space 3} 35.53062
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.62411{col 29}{space 2} 3.372067{col 40}{space 1}    3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.007435{col 70}{space 3} 19.24078
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.30255{col 29}{space 2} 3.691602{col 40}{space 1}    2.79{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} 3.058887{col 70}{space 3} 17.54621
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  10.6156{col 29}{space 2} 3.268483{col 40}{space 1}    3.25{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.202179{col 70}{space 3} 17.02901
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.057439{col 29}{space 2} 4.487286{col 40}{space 1}    1.80{col 49}{space 3}0.073{col 57}{space 4}-.7475151{col 70}{space 3} 16.86239
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.54806{col 29}{space 2} 3.245513{col 40}{space 1}    3.25{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.179715{col 70}{space 3} 16.91641
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.52536{col 29}{space 2} 3.844059{col 40}{space 1}    4.56{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.982547{col 70}{space 3} 25.06818
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.99241{col 29}{space 2} 3.379831{col 40}{space 1}    3.84{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.360502{col 70}{space 3} 19.62431
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.57344{col 29}{space 2} 4.359238{col 40}{space 1}    4.26{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.01975{col 70}{space 3} 27.12714
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.37148{col 29}{space 2} 3.392929{col 40}{space 1}    3.94{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.713872{col 70}{space 3} 20.02908
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.66291{col 29}{space 2} 4.784189{col 40}{space 1}    3.90{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.275368{col 70}{space 3} 28.05044
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.44654{col 29}{space 2} 3.622145{col 40}{space 1}    4.26{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.339164{col 70}{space 3} 22.55391
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.92859{col 29}{space 2} 4.393019{col 40}{space 1}    3.63{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.308608{col 70}{space 3} 24.54857
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   16.104{col 29}{space 2} 3.670066{col 40}{space 1}    4.39{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.902597{col 70}{space 3}  23.3054
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.66553{col 29}{space 2}  3.92068{col 40}{space 1}    4.00{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.97237{col 70}{space 3} 23.35869
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  15.7384{col 29}{space 2}  3.69744{col 40}{space 1}    4.26{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.483281{col 70}{space 3} 22.99352
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.77568{col 29}{space 2} 4.489948{col 40}{space 1}    4.18{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.965501{col 70}{space 3} 27.58586
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  17.1433{col 29}{space 2} 3.992832{col 40}{space 1}    4.29{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.308566{col 70}{space 3} 24.97804
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.99346{col 29}{space 2} 5.754933{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 8.701127{col 70}{space 3} 31.28579
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.60541{col 29}{space 2} 4.238632{col 40}{space 1}    4.15{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.288369{col 70}{space 3} 25.92246
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.81963{col 29}{space 2} 4.861068{col 40}{space 1}    3.67{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.281241{col 70}{space 3} 27.35802
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.61073{col 29}{space 2}  4.30884{col 40}{space 1}    4.09{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.155928{col 70}{space 3} 26.06554
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 23.65665{col 29}{space 2} 4.873227{col 40}{space 1}    4.85{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  14.0944{col 70}{space 3}  33.2189
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.46282{col 29}{space 2} 4.998688{col 40}{space 1}    4.29{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 11.65439{col 70}{space 3} 31.27125
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 22.10953{col 29}{space 2} 5.566174{col 40}{space 1}    3.97{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 11.18758{col 70}{space 3} 33.03147
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.12584{col 29}{space 2} 5.195509{col 40}{space 1}    3.68{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  8.93121{col 70}{space 3} 29.32047
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.91424{col 29}{space 2} 6.149949{col 40}{space 1}    2.75{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 4.846809{col 70}{space 3} 28.98167
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.54426{col 29}{space 2} 5.754599{col 40}{space 1}    3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.25258{col 70}{space 3} 32.83594
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.20223{col 29}{space 2} 6.206304{col 40}{space 1}    3.42{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 9.024222{col 70}{space 3} 33.38025
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 23.26309{col 29}{space 2} 6.095493{col 40}{space 1}    3.82{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 11.30251{col 70}{space 3} 35.22367
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.44101{col 29}{space 2} 6.127682{col 40}{space 1}    3.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.417271{col 70}{space 3} 33.46475
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 20.89004{col 29}{space 2}  6.02568{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 9.066445{col 70}{space 3} 32.71363
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.80721{col 29}{space 2} 10.30006{col 40}{space 1}    1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.125{col 57}{space 4}-4.403582{col 70}{space 3}   36.018
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,191 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1062) ={res}   40.15
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann =  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,  1062) ={res}    1.99
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0938
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1062) ={res}   20.28
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0006117{col 26}{space 2} .0030534{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.841{col 54}{space 4} -.006603{col 67}{space 3} .0053796
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0067313{col 26}{space 2} .0042819{col 37}{space 1}   -1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-.0151238{col 67}{space 3} .0016611
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 5022.266       4489.073
{txt} 5%    {res}  5631.98       4631.569
{txt}10%    {res} 6163.936       4655.711       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,148
{txt}25%    {res} 7127.247        4670.98       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,148

{txt}50%    {res} 8955.586                      {txt}Mean          {res} 9216.766
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2570.914
{txt}75%    {res} 11116.22       19154.27
{txt}90%    {res} 12830.78       19819.19       {txt}Variance      {res}  6609599
{txt}95%    {res} 13520.74       20438.71       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5683358
{txt}99%    {res} 14802.22       21278.61       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.212132
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-26.85111{col 26}{space 2}  17.0805{col 37}{space 1}   -1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-60.32827{col 67}{space 3} 6.626043
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.C: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,048{col 27}-7769.967{col 38}-7248.044{col 49}    86{col 58} 14668.09{col 69} 15094.19
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,048
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 85,       962){col 67}= {res}     32.32
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0885261{col 34}{space 2} .0154003{col 45}{space 1}   -5.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1187481{col 75}{space 3}-.0583041
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.660952{col 34}{space 2} 1.004949{col 45}{space 1}    1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.099{col 62}{space 4}-.3111943{col 75}{space 3} 3.633098
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3189361{col 34}{space 2} .0612084{col 45}{space 1}    5.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1988187{col 75}{space 3} .4390536
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.564699{col 34}{space 2} 1.435537{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.276{col 62}{space 4}-4.381844{col 75}{space 3} 1.252445
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0851914{col 34}{space 2} .0612544{col 45}{space 1}    1.39{col 54}{space 3}0.165{col 62}{space 4}-.0350162{col 75}{space 3} .2053991
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1705611{col 34}{space 2} 1.399058{col 45}{space 1}    0.12{col 54}{space 3}0.903{col 62}{space 4}-2.574997{col 75}{space 3} 2.916119
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0516634{col 34}{space 2} .0449872{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-.1399477{col 75}{space 3} .0366209
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2256794{col 34}{space 2} 1.128459{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.842{col 62}{space 4}-2.440204{col 75}{space 3} 1.988846
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-550.0726{col 34}{space 2} 621.5254{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.376{col 62}{space 4}-1769.775{col 75}{space 3} 669.6293
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-604.8244{col 34}{space 2} 683.2331{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.376{col 62}{space 4}-1945.624{col 75}{space 3} 735.9748
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 189.9531{col 34}{space 2} 153.7857{col 45}{space 1}    1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.217{col 62}{space 4}-111.8411{col 75}{space 3} 491.7473
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-145.1907{col 34}{space 2} 151.7187{col 45}{space 1}   -0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.339{col 62}{space 4}-442.9284{col 75}{space 3}  152.547
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-145.9989{col 34}{space 2} 400.1885{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.715{col 62}{space 4}-931.3419{col 75}{space 3} 639.3442
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-931.9443{col 34}{space 2} 595.1554{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.118{col 62}{space 4}-2099.897{col 75}{space 3} 236.0082
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 9592.558{col 34}{space 2} 2303.506{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 5072.082{col 75}{space 3} 14113.03
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5130.487{col 34}{space 2} 1865.061{col 45}{space 1}    2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}  1470.43{col 75}{space 3} 8790.544
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-40.03833{col 34}{space 2} 26.14475{col 45}{space 1}   -1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.126{col 62}{space 4}-91.34565{col 75}{space 3} 11.26898
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.598836{col 34}{space 2} 29.14223{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.848{col 62}{space 4}-51.59084{col 75}{space 3} 62.78852
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.94608{col 34}{space 2} 29.34297{col 45}{space 1}    0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.455{col 62}{space 4}-35.63753{col 75}{space 3}  79.5297
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.89805{col 34}{space 2} 29.14985{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.413{col 62}{space 4}-81.10268{col 75}{space 3} 33.30658
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-25.44547{col 34}{space 2} 30.19842{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-84.70785{col 75}{space 3} 33.81692
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 54.63603{col 34}{space 2}   33.537{col 45}{space 1}    1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.104{col 62}{space 4}-11.17808{col 75}{space 3} 120.4501
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-401.6787{col 34}{space 2}  168.001{col 45}{space 1}   -2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-731.3695{col 75}{space 3}-71.98794
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  42.8548{col 34}{space 2} 94.73656{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.651{col 62}{space 4}-143.0594{col 75}{space 3}  228.769
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 35.65285{col 34}{space 2} 80.38672{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.657{col 62}{space 4}-122.1007{col 75}{space 3} 193.4064
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 439.7228{col 34}{space 2} 106.2356{col 45}{space 1}    4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 231.2424{col 75}{space 3} 648.2031
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.529308{col 34}{space 2} 72.71686{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.918{col 62}{space 4}-150.2313{col 75}{space 3} 135.1727
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 85.08455{col 34}{space 2} 97.09705{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.381{col 62}{space 4}-105.4619{col 75}{space 3}  275.631
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-135.0797{col 34}{space 2} 180.7786{col 45}{space 1}   -0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.455{col 62}{space 4}-489.8456{col 75}{space 3} 219.6863
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -3.61393{col 34}{space 2}  83.7315{col 45}{space 1}   -0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.966{col 62}{space 4}-167.9314{col 75}{space 3} 160.7035
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-237.6724{col 34}{space 2} 86.21094{col 45}{space 1}   -2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-406.8556{col 75}{space 3} -68.4892
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-85.55869{col 34}{space 2}  189.673{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.652{col 62}{space 4}-457.7792{col 75}{space 3} 286.6618
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-174.0659{col 34}{space 2} 170.3728{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.307{col 62}{space 4}-508.4111{col 75}{space 3} 160.2793
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-236.9267{col 34}{space 2} 102.0878{col 45}{space 1}   -2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}-437.2672{col 75}{space 3}-36.58615
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 243.8568{col 34}{space 2} 90.08221{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 67.07652{col 75}{space 3} 420.6371
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 327.2248{col 34}{space 2} 114.1313{col 45}{space 1}    2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 103.2498{col 75}{space 3} 551.1998
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-228.9977{col 34}{space 2} 96.39865{col 45}{space 1}   -2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}-418.1736{col 75}{space 3}-39.82183
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.00438{col 34}{space 2}  83.0444{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.373{col 62}{space 4} -88.9647{col 75}{space 3} 236.9735
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -175.053{col 34}{space 2} 84.25732{col 45}{space 1}   -2.08{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4}-340.4024{col 75}{space 3}-9.703688
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-200.0102{col 34}{space 2} 104.3981{col 45}{space 1}   -1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.056{col 62}{space 4}-404.8845{col 75}{space 3} 4.864193
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-321.5577{col 34}{space 2} 173.5614{col 45}{space 1}   -1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-662.1604{col 75}{space 3} 19.04491
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 60.25308{col 34}{space 2} 86.03829{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.484{col 62}{space 4}-108.5913{col 75}{space 3} 229.0975
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 281.0053{col 34}{space 2} 87.75474{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 108.7925{col 75}{space 3} 453.2181
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-313.9026{col 34}{space 2} 98.38556{col 45}{space 1}   -3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-506.9776{col 75}{space 3}-120.8275
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 168.2016{col 34}{space 2} 99.92634{col 45}{space 1}    1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.093{col 62}{space 4}-27.89717{col 75}{space 3} 364.3003
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 296.9185{col 34}{space 2} 124.5822{col 45}{space 1}    2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} 52.43428{col 75}{space 3} 541.4027
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-204.5764{col 34}{space 2}  82.7858{col 45}{space 1}   -2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} -367.038{col 75}{space 3}-42.11486
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-157.0743{col 34}{space 2} 79.94787{col 45}{space 1}   -1.96{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4}-313.9666{col 75}{space 3}-.1819463
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-109.5569{col 34}{space 2} 87.05496{col 45}{space 1}   -1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.209{col 62}{space 4}-280.3964{col 75}{space 3} 61.28259
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.752376{col 34}{space 2} 102.6001{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.924{col 62}{space 4}-211.0981{col 75}{space 3} 191.5934
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 234.6535{col 34}{space 2} 241.0572{col 45}{space 1}    0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.331{col 62}{space 4}-238.4052{col 75}{space 3} 707.7121
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-521.2733{col 34}{space 2} 167.1968{col 45}{space 1}   -3.12{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-849.3858{col 75}{space 3}-193.1607
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-103.5253{col 34}{space 2} 86.95908{col 45}{space 1}   -1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.234{col 62}{space 4}-274.1767{col 75}{space 3} 67.12602
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.68659{col 34}{space 2}  73.4963{col 45}{space 1}    0.54{col 54}{space 3}0.589{col 62}{space 4} -104.545{col 75}{space 3} 183.9181
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-128.2165{col 34}{space 2} 80.99417{col 45}{space 1}   -1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.114{col 62}{space 4}-287.1621{col 75}{space 3} 30.72911
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-150.4187{col 34}{space 2} 208.7894{col 45}{space 1}   -0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.471{col 62}{space 4} -560.154{col 75}{space 3} 259.3166
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-91.99143{col 34}{space 2} 60.84125{col 45}{space 1}   -1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.131{col 62}{space 4}-211.3883{col 75}{space 3} 27.40544
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.25198{col 34}{space 2} 80.78727{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.899{col 62}{space 4}-148.2876{col 75}{space 3} 168.7916
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 310.8481{col 34}{space 2}  53.8274{col 45}{space 1}    5.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 205.2154{col 75}{space 3} 416.4807
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.86525{col 34}{space 2} 62.32358{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.750{col 62}{space 4}-102.4406{col 75}{space 3} 142.1711
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 181.2953{col 34}{space 2} 63.66602{col 45}{space 1}    2.85{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 56.35496{col 75}{space 3} 306.2355
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 69.86999{col 34}{space 2} 64.68999{col 45}{space 1}    1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.280{col 62}{space 4}-57.07978{col 75}{space 3} 196.8198
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 217.8244{col 34}{space 2} 72.13814{col 45}{space 1}    3.02{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 76.25813{col 75}{space 3} 359.3907
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 228.7153{col 34}{space 2} 67.34712{col 45}{space 1}    3.40{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 96.55108{col 75}{space 3} 360.8795
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-106.7746{col 34}{space 2} 74.81975{col 45}{space 1}   -1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.154{col 62}{space 4}-253.6033{col 75}{space 3} 40.05418
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.1862{col 34}{space 2} 65.94983{col 45}{space 1}   -2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-265.6084{col 75}{space 3}-6.764115
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 373.9576{col 34}{space 2} 59.57829{col 45}{space 1}    6.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 257.0392{col 75}{space 3} 490.8761
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.80346{col 34}{space 2} 72.83784{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.850{col 62}{space 4}-129.1359{col 75}{space 3} 156.7428
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 255.9672{col 34}{space 2} 71.52531{col 45}{space 1}    3.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 115.6035{col 75}{space 3} 396.3308
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 150.2833{col 34}{space 2} 70.22572{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} 12.46999{col 75}{space 3} 288.0965
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 258.0759{col 34}{space 2} 76.34584{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 108.2523{col 75}{space 3} 407.8995
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 355.6705{col 34}{space 2} 73.54562{col 45}{space 1}    4.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 211.3422{col 75}{space 3} 499.9989
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 705.3137{col 34}{space 2} 83.63936{col 45}{space 1}    8.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  541.177{col 75}{space 3} 869.4503
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 199.1368{col 34}{space 2} 93.94534{col 45}{space 1}    2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 14.77535{col 75}{space 3} 383.4982
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 646.1949{col 34}{space 2} 100.0326{col 45}{space 1}    6.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 449.8875{col 75}{space 3} 842.5022
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 177.9206{col 34}{space 2} 110.2317{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.107{col 62}{space 4}-38.40174{col 75}{space 3}  394.243
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 149.3559{col 34}{space 2} 100.6834{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.138{col 62}{space 4}-48.22861{col 75}{space 3} 346.9404
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 345.3827{col 34}{space 2} 91.94413{col 45}{space 1}    3.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 164.9485{col 75}{space 3} 525.8169
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 662.5728{col 34}{space 2} 104.6606{col 45}{space 1}    6.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 457.1835{col 75}{space 3} 867.9622
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 315.6041{col 34}{space 2} 115.3265{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 89.28357{col 75}{space 3} 541.9246
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 798.2056{col 34}{space 2} 125.3967{col 45}{space 1}    6.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  552.123{col 75}{space 3} 1044.288
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 530.7348{col 34}{space 2} 126.2027{col 45}{space 1}    4.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 283.0705{col 75}{space 3} 778.3992
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 338.2513{col 34}{space 2} 138.8085{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 65.84897{col 75}{space 3} 610.6535
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-430.9293{col 34}{space 2} 126.1252{col 45}{space 1}   -3.42{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-678.4417{col 75}{space 3} -183.417
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 789.6959{col 34}{space 2} 112.6878{col 45}{space 1}    7.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 568.5535{col 75}{space 3} 1010.838
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8228.356{col 34}{space 2} 2298.664{col 45}{space 1}   -3.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-12739.33{col 75}{space 3}-3717.382
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,291 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   962) ={res}   33.04
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   962) ={res}    0.42
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.7421
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   962) ={res}   17.40
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom   d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.619818{col 26}{space 2} 2.422346{col 37}{space 1}   -0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.504{col 54}{space 4}-6.373509{col 67}{space 3} 3.133874
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 18.76228{col 26}{space 2}  11.6304{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-4.032889{col 67}{space 3} 41.55745
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if  real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.72549       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res}       32       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res}       44       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,048
{txt}25%    {res} 65.40031       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,048

{txt}50%    {res} 81.80003                      {txt}Mean          {res} 76.06895
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 19.67003
{txt}75%    {res} 91.25554            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.73892            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 386.9103
{txt}95%    {res} 98.27586            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-1.065924
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  3.34905
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 485.1031{col 26}{space 2} 300.7067{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-104.2713{col 67}{space 3} 1074.477
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,048{col 27}-3539.918{col 38}-3430.018{col 49}    80{col 58} 7020.037{col 69} 7416.408
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,048
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 79,       968){col 67}= {res}      2.60
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2668118{col 29}{space 2}  .030895{col 40}{space 1}   -8.64{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3274407{col 70}{space 3} -.206183
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0000598{col 29}{space 2} .0003413{col 40}{space 1}   -0.18{col 49}{space 3}0.861{col 57}{space 4}-.0007294{col 70}{space 3} .0006099
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0773851{col 29}{space 2} .0265649{col 40}{space 1}    2.91{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} .0252536{col 70}{space 3} .1295166
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0012782{col 29}{space 2} .0009062{col 40}{space 1}   -1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.159{col 57}{space 4}-.0030566{col 70}{space 3} .0005002
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .016246{col 29}{space 2} .0397796{col 40}{space 1}    0.41{col 49}{space 3}0.683{col 57}{space 4}-.0618181{col 70}{space 3} .0943101
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0001197{col 29}{space 2} .0008779{col 40}{space 1}   -0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.892{col 57}{space 4}-.0018425{col 70}{space 3} .0016031
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0094563{col 29}{space 2} .0266674{col 40}{space 1}    0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.723{col 57}{space 4}-.0428764{col 70}{space 3} .0617889
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0003141{col 29}{space 2} .0013254{col 40}{space 1}    0.24{col 49}{space 3}0.813{col 57}{space 4}-.0022868{col 70}{space 3} .0029151
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .932367{col 29}{space 2} .6609952{col 40}{space 1}    1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.159{col 57}{space 4}-.3647817{col 70}{space 3} 2.229516
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -1.36478{col 29}{space 2} .6110244{col 40}{space 1}   -2.23{col 49}{space 3}0.026{col 57}{space 4}-2.563865{col 70}{space 3}-.1656951
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.74188{col 29}{space 2} .9917182{col 40}{space 1}    1.76{col 49}{space 3}0.079{col 57}{space 4}-.2042856{col 70}{space 3} 3.688045
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6142261{col 29}{space 2} .8075958{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.447{col 57}{space 4}-2.199066{col 70}{space 3} .9706142
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.710043{col 29}{space 2} .9606097{col 40}{space 1}    1.78{col 49}{space 3}0.075{col 57}{space 4}-.1750746{col 70}{space 3}  3.59516
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.216888{col 29}{space 2} .7751528{col 40}{space 1}   -2.86{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-3.738061{col 70}{space 3}-.6957141
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.264047{col 29}{space 2} 2.152764{col 40}{space 1}   -0.59{col 49}{space 3}0.557{col 57}{space 4} -5.48867{col 70}{space 3} 2.960576
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.110291{col 29}{space 2} 1.763044{col 40}{space 1}    1.20{col 49}{space 3}0.232{col 57}{space 4}-1.349537{col 70}{space 3}  5.57012
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.857366{col 29}{space 2} 2.617353{col 40}{space 1}   -0.71{col 49}{space 3}0.478{col 57}{space 4}-6.993705{col 70}{space 3} 3.278974
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.978338{col 29}{space 2} 2.203654{col 40}{space 1}   -0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.657{col 57}{space 4}-5.302827{col 70}{space 3} 3.346151
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8454868{col 29}{space 2} 2.513286{col 40}{space 1}   -0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.737{col 57}{space 4}-5.777603{col 70}{space 3} 4.086629
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.266273{col 29}{space 2} 2.267433{col 40}{space 1}   -0.56{col 49}{space 3}0.577{col 57}{space 4}-5.715923{col 70}{space 3} 3.183377
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.513171{col 29}{space 2} 2.191043{col 40}{space 1}    0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.490{col 57}{space 4}-2.786571{col 70}{space 3} 5.812913
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-15.30881{col 29}{space 2} 3.063948{col 40}{space 1}   -5.00{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-21.32156{col 70}{space 3}-9.296068
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.577054{col 29}{space 2} 4.119901{col 40}{space 1}   -2.32{col 49}{space 3}0.020{col 57}{space 4}-17.66202{col 70}{space 3}-1.492087
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.824293{col 29}{space 2} 2.153941{col 40}{space 1}    0.85{col 49}{space 3}0.397{col 57}{space 4}-2.402638{col 70}{space 3} 6.051224
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.7392473{col 29}{space 2} 2.676141{col 40}{space 1}   -0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.782{col 57}{space 4}-5.990954{col 70}{space 3} 4.512459
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6855834{col 29}{space 2}  2.55222{col 40}{space 1}    0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.788{col 57}{space 4}-4.322939{col 70}{space 3} 5.694105
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.528072{col 29}{space 2}  2.67133{col 40}{space 1}   -1.70{col 49}{space 3}0.090{col 57}{space 4}-9.770338{col 70}{space 3} .7141939
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0435435{col 29}{space 2} 2.890044{col 40}{space 1}    0.02{col 49}{space 3}0.988{col 57}{space 4} -5.62793{col 70}{space 3} 5.715017
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.31332{col 29}{space 2} 3.144263{col 40}{space 1}   -3.60{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-17.48368{col 70}{space 3}-5.142964
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.59979{col 29}{space 2} 2.579298{col 40}{space 1}   -4.88{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-17.66145{col 70}{space 3}-7.538132
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.753337{col 29}{space 2} 3.004332{col 40}{space 1}    0.92{col 49}{space 3}0.360{col 57}{space 4}-3.142418{col 70}{space 3} 8.649091
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2050577{col 29}{space 2} 3.330012{col 40}{space 1}    0.06{col 49}{space 3}0.951{col 57}{space 4}-6.329817{col 70}{space 3} 6.739933
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.242329{col 29}{space 2} 2.619485{col 40}{space 1}   -0.86{col 49}{space 3}0.392{col 57}{space 4}-7.382853{col 70}{space 3} 2.898195
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0931636{col 29}{space 2} 2.988703{col 40}{space 1}   -0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.975{col 57}{space 4}-5.958247{col 70}{space 3}  5.77192
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  2.42768{col 29}{space 2} 2.930271{col 40}{space 1}    0.83{col 49}{space 3}0.408{col 57}{space 4}-3.322736{col 70}{space 3} 8.178096
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.074139{col 29}{space 2} 2.414595{col 40}{space 1}   -2.10{col 49}{space 3}0.036{col 57}{space 4}-9.812583{col 70}{space 3}-.3356963
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4591692{col 29}{space 2} 2.188203{col 40}{space 1}   -0.21{col 49}{space 3}0.834{col 57}{space 4}-4.753337{col 70}{space 3} 3.834998
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.202017{col 29}{space 2}  3.45115{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.728{col 57}{space 4}-7.974615{col 70}{space 3}  5.57058
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.201918{col 29}{space 2} 1.902791{col 40}{space 1}    1.16{col 49}{space 3}0.247{col 57}{space 4}-1.532152{col 70}{space 3} 5.935988
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.802909{col 29}{space 2} 3.520142{col 40}{space 1}   -0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.609{col 57}{space 4}-8.710899{col 70}{space 3}  5.10508
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6988713{col 29}{space 2} 3.221615{col 40}{space 1}    0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.828{col 57}{space 4}-5.623283{col 70}{space 3} 7.021025
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.951007{col 29}{space 2} 3.094785{col 40}{space 1}    0.63{col 49}{space 3}0.529{col 57}{space 4}-4.122254{col 70}{space 3} 8.024267
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.658715{col 29}{space 2} 2.218672{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.455{col 57}{space 4}-2.695247{col 70}{space 3} 6.012677
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.89287{col 29}{space 2} 3.126571{col 40}{space 1}   -4.12{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-19.02851{col 70}{space 3}-6.757235
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.164188{col 29}{space 2}  3.05528{col 40}{space 1}   -2.02{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-12.15992{col 70}{space 3} -.168452
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.728665{col 29}{space 2} 3.292244{col 40}{space 1}   -2.65{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4}-15.18942{col 70}{space 3}-2.267907
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2862624{col 29}{space 2} 2.622919{col 40}{space 1}   -0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.913{col 57}{space 4}-5.433526{col 70}{space 3} 4.861001
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   1.5369{col 29}{space 2} 3.027084{col 40}{space 1}    0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.612{col 57}{space 4}-4.403503{col 70}{space 3} 7.477302
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.827428{col 29}{space 2} 3.066086{col 40}{space 1}    0.92{col 49}{space 3}0.357{col 57}{space 4}-3.189514{col 70}{space 3}  8.84437
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.462357{col 29}{space 2} 2.621978{col 40}{space 1}   -2.85{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-12.60777{col 70}{space 3} -2.31694
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2552219{col 29}{space 2} 1.603285{col 40}{space 1}   -0.16{col 49}{space 3}0.874{col 57}{space 4}-3.401537{col 70}{space 3} 2.891093
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6907883{col 29}{space 2} 2.741517{col 40}{space 1}   -0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.801{col 57}{space 4}-6.070789{col 70}{space 3} 4.689213
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1444967{col 29}{space 2}  1.66966{col 40}{space 1}   -0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.931{col 57}{space 4}-3.421067{col 70}{space 3} 3.132074
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .621599{col 29}{space 2} 2.134502{col 40}{space 1}    0.29{col 49}{space 3}0.771{col 57}{space 4}-3.567185{col 70}{space 3} 4.810383
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0283023{col 29}{space 2} 1.749579{col 40}{space 1}    0.02{col 49}{space 3}0.987{col 57}{space 4}-3.405103{col 70}{space 3} 3.461707
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.889381{col 29}{space 2} 2.089778{col 40}{space 1}    0.90{col 49}{space 3}0.366{col 57}{space 4}-2.211637{col 70}{space 3} 5.990398
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2240923{col 29}{space 2} 1.741491{col 40}{space 1}    0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.898{col 57}{space 4} -3.19344{col 70}{space 3} 3.641625
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.424773{col 29}{space 2} 2.048175{col 40}{space 1}    0.70{col 49}{space 3}0.487{col 57}{space 4}-2.594602{col 70}{space 3} 5.444148
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1631303{col 29}{space 2} 1.860538{col 40}{space 1}    0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.930{col 57}{space 4}-3.488022{col 70}{space 3} 3.814282
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.919628{col 29}{space 2} 2.227261{col 40}{space 1}    0.86{col 49}{space 3}0.389{col 57}{space 4}-2.451189{col 70}{space 3} 6.290446
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6746728{col 29}{space 2} 1.986762{col 40}{space 1}    0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.734{col 57}{space 4}-3.224184{col 70}{space 3}  4.57353
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8712513{col 29}{space 2}  2.37944{col 40}{space 1}    0.37{col 49}{space 3}0.714{col 57}{space 4}-3.798203{col 70}{space 3} 5.540706
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.740092{col 29}{space 2} 1.812137{col 40}{space 1}    0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.337{col 57}{space 4}-1.816078{col 70}{space 3} 5.296262
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.277885{col 29}{space 2}  2.60786{col 40}{space 1}   -0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.383{col 57}{space 4}-7.395596{col 70}{space 3} 2.839826
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.075485{col 29}{space 2} 1.882651{col 40}{space 1}    0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.568{col 57}{space 4}-2.619062{col 70}{space 3} 4.770032
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2794119{col 29}{space 2} 2.330732{col 40}{space 1}   -0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.905{col 57}{space 4}-4.853281{col 70}{space 3} 4.294457
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8760863{col 29}{space 2} 2.196849{col 40}{space 1}    0.40{col 49}{space 3}0.690{col 57}{space 4}-3.435049{col 70}{space 3} 5.187221
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.042418{col 29}{space 2} 2.470292{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.673{col 57}{space 4}-3.805326{col 70}{space 3} 5.890162
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.135977{col 29}{space 2} 2.414237{col 40}{space 1}    0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.638{col 57}{space 4}-3.601765{col 70}{space 3} 5.873719
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2449042{col 29}{space 2} 2.615015{col 40}{space 1}   -0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.925{col 57}{space 4}-5.376657{col 70}{space 3} 4.886848
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4964835{col 29}{space 2} 2.500847{col 40}{space 1}    0.20{col 49}{space 3}0.843{col 57}{space 4}-4.411224{col 70}{space 3} 5.404191
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.264784{col 29}{space 2} 2.586933{col 40}{space 1}   -0.49{col 49}{space 3}0.625{col 57}{space 4}-6.341428{col 70}{space 3} 3.811859
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5138087{col 29}{space 2} 2.500813{col 40}{space 1}    0.21{col 49}{space 3}0.837{col 57}{space 4}-4.393832{col 70}{space 3} 5.421449
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8042543{col 29}{space 2} 2.614024{col 40}{space 1}   -0.31{col 49}{space 3}0.758{col 57}{space 4}-5.934061{col 70}{space 3} 4.325552
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3237308{col 29}{space 2} 2.562972{col 40}{space 1}    0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.900{col 57}{space 4}-4.705892{col 70}{space 3} 5.353353
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1929341{col 29}{space 2} 3.104861{col 40}{space 1}    0.06{col 49}{space 3}0.950{col 57}{space 4}  -5.9001{col 70}{space 3} 6.285968
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4251231{col 29}{space 2} 2.749676{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.877{col 57}{space 4}-5.821135{col 70}{space 3} 4.970889
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.544256{col 29}{space 2} 3.054591{col 40}{space 1}   -1.49{col 49}{space 3}0.137{col 57}{space 4}-10.53864{col 70}{space 3} 1.450129
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.823567{col 29}{space 2} 3.426683{col 40}{space 1}   -1.70{col 49}{space 3}0.090{col 57}{space 4}-12.54815{col 70}{space 3} .9010161
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  22.9746{col 29}{space 2} 6.910327{col 40}{space 1}    3.32{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  9.41365{col 70}{space 3} 36.53555
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,291 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. * 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   968) ={res}   74.58
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   968) ={res}    0.97
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.4082
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   968) ={res}   38.40
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0010838{col 26}{space 2} .0012526{col 37}{space 1}   -0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.387{col 54}{space 4}-.0035419{col 67}{space 3} .0013743
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000224{col 26}{space 2} .0012744{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.860{col 54}{space 4}-.0027216{col 67}{space 3} .0022737
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  klarnerranney  if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 10349.35       9970.614
{txt} 5%    {res} 11360.71       10079.15
{txt}10%    {res} 12081.45        10212.7       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,048
{txt}25%    {res} 13630.93       10259.88       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,048

{txt}50%    {res} 15738.48                      {txt}Mean          {res}  15865.2
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}   3005.2
{txt}75%    {res} 17661.71       24873.97
{txt}90%    {res} 19728.37       25955.62       {txt}Variance      {res}  9031227
{txt}95%    {res} 21049.77       26455.53       {txt}Skewness      {res}   .53443
{txt}99%    {res} 24217.59       26940.36       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.182193

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.72549       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res}       32       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res}       44       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,048
{txt}25%    {res} 65.40031       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,048

{txt}50%    {res} 81.80003                      {txt}Mean          {res} 76.06895
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 19.67003
{txt}75%    {res} 91.25554            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.73892            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 386.9103
{txt}95%    {res} 98.27586            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-1.065924
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  3.34905
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9027173{col 26}{space 2}  5.13665{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.860{col 54}{space 4}-10.97037{col 67}{space 3} 9.164933
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.A: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       910{col 27}-6398.472{col 38}-5828.889{col 49}    96{col 58} 11849.78{col 69} 12311.87
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       910
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 95,       814){col 67}= {res}     59.83
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0707621{col 34}{space 2} .0191509{col 45}{space 1}   -3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1083531{col 75}{space 3}-.0331711
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.648338{col 34}{space 2} .5503022{col 45}{space 1}    3.00{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} .5681594{col 75}{space 3} 2.728517
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2283186{col 34}{space 2} .0966319{col 45}{space 1}    2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} .0386416{col 75}{space 3} .4179957
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1418892{col 34}{space 2} .9835655{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.885{col 62}{space 4}-2.072513{col 75}{space 3} 1.788734
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1045358{col 34}{space 2} .0786935{col 45}{space 1}    1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.184{col 62}{space 4}-.0499303{col 75}{space 3} .2590019
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.445706{col 34}{space 2} .9426942{col 45}{space 1}   -1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.126{col 62}{space 4}-3.296103{col 75}{space 3} .4046924
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0469141{col 34}{space 2} .0502259{col 45}{space 1}   -0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.351{col 62}{space 4}-.1455016{col 75}{space 3} .0516735
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9092463{col 34}{space 2} 1.056866{col 45}{space 1}   -0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.390{col 62}{space 4}-2.983751{col 75}{space 3} 1.165258
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-176.8199{col 34}{space 2} 182.1107{col 45}{space 1}   -0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.332{col 62}{space 4}-534.2818{col 75}{space 3} 180.6421
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.46705{col 34}{space 2} 240.6496{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.899{col 62}{space 4}-441.8998{col 75}{space 3} 502.8339
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -11.4162{col 34}{space 2} 26.39311{col 45}{space 1}   -0.43{col 54}{space 3}0.665{col 62}{space 4}-63.22278{col 75}{space 3} 40.39038
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.382566{col 34}{space 2} 45.44436{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.871{col 62}{space 4}-96.58452{col 75}{space 3} 81.81939
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  84.4893{col 34}{space 2} 182.8216{col 45}{space 1}    0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.644{col 62}{space 4}-274.3681{col 75}{space 3} 443.3467
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1019.405{col 34}{space 2} 495.9406{col 45}{space 1}   -2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4}-1992.878{col 75}{space 3}-45.93157
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-141.3146{col 34}{space 2}  240.456{col 45}{space 1}   -0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.557{col 62}{space 4}-613.3016{col 75}{space 3} 330.6724
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3047.487{col 34}{space 2} 793.7159{col 45}{space 1}    3.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1489.516{col 75}{space 3} 4605.459
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.39499{col 34}{space 2} 17.43917{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.243{col 62}{space 4}-13.83606{col 75}{space 3} 54.62603
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  14.9877{col 34}{space 2} 19.44324{col 45}{space 1}    0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.441{col 62}{space 4} -23.1771{col 75}{space 3} 53.15249
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.41167{col 34}{space 2} 22.89484{col 45}{space 1}   -1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.103{col 62}{space 4}-82.35155{col 75}{space 3} 7.528214
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 124.7846{col 34}{space 2} 41.00165{col 45}{space 1}    3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 44.30317{col 75}{space 3}  205.266
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 60.24747{col 34}{space 2} 30.04688{col 45}{space 1}    2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4} 1.268978{col 75}{space 3}  119.226
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-72.35403{col 34}{space 2} 42.27593{col 45}{space 1}   -1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.087{col 62}{space 4}-155.3367{col 75}{space 3} 10.62865
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 37.30835{col 34}{space 2} 35.23843{col 45}{space 1}    1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.290{col 62}{space 4}-31.86054{col 75}{space 3} 106.4773
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-94.61006{col 34}{space 2} 31.77369{col 45}{space 1}   -2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-156.9781{col 75}{space 3}-32.24204
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  28.4157{col 34}{space 2} 26.10325{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.277{col 62}{space 4}-22.82191{col 75}{space 3} 79.65331
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.883152{col 34}{space 2} 36.82181{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.938{col 62}{space 4}-69.39374{col 75}{space 3} 75.16005
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-20.33679{col 34}{space 2} 20.03424{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.310{col 62}{space 4}-59.66165{col 75}{space 3} 18.98806
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.58765{col 34}{space 2} 27.42462{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.475{col 62}{space 4}-73.41896{col 75}{space 3} 34.24365
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 100.5131{col 34}{space 2} 34.78551{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 32.23326{col 75}{space 3}  168.793
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 207.5819{col 34}{space 2} 48.29417{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 112.7861{col 75}{space 3} 302.3777
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-73.21433{col 34}{space 2} 39.60236{col 45}{space 1}   -1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.065{col 62}{space 4}-150.9491{col 75}{space 3} 4.520461
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 204.5933{col 34}{space 2} 92.73846{col 45}{space 1}    2.21{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 22.55855{col 75}{space 3}  386.628
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 678.9907{col 34}{space 2} 85.43732{col 45}{space 1}    7.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 511.2873{col 75}{space 3} 846.6941
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 389.3912{col 34}{space 2} 103.7985{col 45}{space 1}    3.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 185.6469{col 75}{space 3} 593.1355
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 568.8921{col 34}{space 2}  80.5201{col 45}{space 1}    7.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 410.8406{col 75}{space 3} 726.9436
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 564.3344{col 34}{space 2} 76.18652{col 45}{space 1}    7.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 414.7892{col 75}{space 3} 713.8796
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  596.056{col 34}{space 2} 65.39803{col 45}{space 1}    9.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 467.6874{col 75}{space 3} 724.4247
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  549.009{col 34}{space 2} 69.85278{col 45}{space 1}    7.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 411.8962{col 75}{space 3} 686.1218
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 378.6487{col 34}{space 2} 65.81448{col 45}{space 1}    5.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 249.4626{col 75}{space 3} 507.8348
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 795.7738{col 34}{space 2} 66.99056{col 45}{space 1}   11.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 664.2792{col 75}{space 3} 927.2685
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 691.9948{col 34}{space 2} 81.19423{col 45}{space 1}    8.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   532.62{col 75}{space 3} 851.3695
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 402.1131{col 34}{space 2} 76.51055{col 45}{space 1}    5.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 251.9319{col 75}{space 3} 552.2943
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 543.4282{col 34}{space 2} 74.82397{col 45}{space 1}    7.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 396.5575{col 75}{space 3} 690.2989
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 780.5068{col 34}{space 2} 73.36825{col 45}{space 1}   10.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 636.4935{col 75}{space 3}   924.52
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 505.4521{col 34}{space 2}  81.1085{col 45}{space 1}    6.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 346.2457{col 75}{space 3} 664.6586
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 680.4344{col 34}{space 2} 79.02308{col 45}{space 1}    8.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 525.3214{col 75}{space 3} 835.5474
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 752.7963{col 34}{space 2} 78.61155{col 45}{space 1}    9.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  598.491{col 75}{space 3} 907.1015
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 732.8623{col 34}{space 2} 82.30197{col 45}{space 1}    8.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 571.3132{col 75}{space 3} 894.4114
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 859.9986{col 34}{space 2} 80.00225{col 45}{space 1}   10.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 702.9636{col 75}{space 3} 1017.034
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 891.5115{col 34}{space 2}  85.5061{col 45}{space 1}   10.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 723.6731{col 75}{space 3}  1059.35
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 901.1299{col 34}{space 2} 88.96682{col 45}{space 1}   10.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 726.4985{col 75}{space 3} 1075.761
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  889.085{col 34}{space 2}  88.8034{col 45}{space 1}   10.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 714.7744{col 75}{space 3} 1063.396
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 958.8065{col 34}{space 2} 92.83064{col 45}{space 1}   10.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.5908{col 75}{space 3} 1141.022
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 921.3316{col 34}{space 2} 104.1866{col 45}{space 1}    8.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 716.8255{col 75}{space 3} 1125.838
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  813.935{col 34}{space 2} 101.0005{col 45}{space 1}    8.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 615.6828{col 75}{space 3} 1012.187
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 945.3582{col 34}{space 2} 97.76282{col 45}{space 1}    9.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 753.4612{col 75}{space 3} 1137.255
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1233.375{col 34}{space 2} 110.6608{col 45}{space 1}   11.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1016.16{col 75}{space 3} 1450.589
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1142.083{col 34}{space 2} 124.9742{col 45}{space 1}    9.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 896.7732{col 75}{space 3} 1387.392
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 604.3631{col 34}{space 2} 121.6113{col 45}{space 1}    4.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 365.6544{col 75}{space 3} 843.0717
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  681.037{col 34}{space 2} 117.4567{col 45}{space 1}    5.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 450.4834{col 75}{space 3} 911.5907
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1248.677{col 34}{space 2} 126.4195{col 45}{space 1}    9.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1000.53{col 75}{space 3} 1496.824
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1029.148{col 34}{space 2} 150.2788{col 45}{space 1}    6.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 734.1688{col 75}{space 3} 1324.128
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1160.839{col 34}{space 2} 138.1834{col 45}{space 1}    8.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 889.6016{col 75}{space 3} 1432.077
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 792.1171{col 34}{space 2}  144.246{col 45}{space 1}    5.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 508.9791{col 75}{space 3} 1075.255
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 587.5184{col 34}{space 2} 146.3204{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 300.3085{col 75}{space 3} 874.7282
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1089.501{col 34}{space 2} 145.8941{col 45}{space 1}    7.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 803.1278{col 75}{space 3} 1375.874
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 900.2982{col 34}{space 2} 157.0244{col 45}{space 1}    5.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 592.0778{col 75}{space 3} 1208.519
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1042.91{col 34}{space 2} 161.0001{col 45}{space 1}    6.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 726.8859{col 75}{space 3} 1358.934
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1379.659{col 34}{space 2} 149.1761{col 45}{space 1}    9.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1086.844{col 75}{space 3} 1672.474
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1048.277{col 34}{space 2} 158.3537{col 45}{space 1}    6.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 737.4474{col 75}{space 3} 1359.107
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1062.454{col 34}{space 2} 151.5326{col 45}{space 1}    7.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 765.0131{col 75}{space 3} 1359.895
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1009.781{col 34}{space 2} 153.6642{col 45}{space 1}    6.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  708.156{col 75}{space 3} 1311.406
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1272.292{col 34}{space 2} 154.9573{col 45}{space 1}    8.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 968.1288{col 75}{space 3} 1576.455
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1177.821{col 34}{space 2} 171.4002{col 45}{space 1}    6.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 841.3826{col 75}{space 3} 1514.259
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  922.735{col 34}{space 2} 170.7824{col 45}{space 1}    5.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 587.5092{col 75}{space 3} 1257.961
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 908.3437{col 34}{space 2} 164.7547{col 45}{space 1}    5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 584.9496{col 75}{space 3} 1231.738
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1349.12{col 34}{space 2} 165.8986{col 45}{space 1}    8.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1023.481{col 75}{space 3}  1674.76
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1040.974{col 34}{space 2} 183.6299{col 45}{space 1}    5.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 680.5304{col 75}{space 3} 1401.418
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1208.882{col 34}{space 2} 171.7321{col 45}{space 1}    7.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 871.7923{col 75}{space 3} 1545.972
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1146.021{col 34}{space 2} 175.2289{col 45}{space 1}    6.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 802.0671{col 75}{space 3} 1489.975
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1189.029{col 34}{space 2} 173.8672{col 45}{space 1}    6.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 847.7485{col 75}{space 3}  1530.31
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1278.709{col 34}{space 2} 179.8173{col 45}{space 1}    7.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 925.7488{col 75}{space 3} 1631.669
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1514.843{col 34}{space 2} 182.3845{col 45}{space 1}    8.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1156.843{col 75}{space 3} 1872.842
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1126.236{col 34}{space 2} 193.5781{col 45}{space 1}    5.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  746.265{col 75}{space 3} 1506.207
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1393.12{col 34}{space 2} 191.0058{col 45}{space 1}    7.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1018.198{col 75}{space 3} 1768.042
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1206.564{col 34}{space 2} 210.1608{col 45}{space 1}    5.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 794.0429{col 75}{space 3} 1619.085
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1046.282{col 34}{space 2} 197.6881{col 45}{space 1}    5.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 658.2432{col 75}{space 3}  1434.32
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1199.746{col 34}{space 2} 195.4911{col 45}{space 1}    6.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 816.0204{col 75}{space 3} 1583.472
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1492.558{col 34}{space 2} 212.0371{col 45}{space 1}    7.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1076.354{col 75}{space 3} 1908.762
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1342.105{col 34}{space 2} 223.0727{col 45}{space 1}    6.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 904.2399{col 75}{space 3} 1779.971
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1536.786{col 34}{space 2} 236.8215{col 45}{space 1}    6.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1071.933{col 75}{space 3} 2001.639
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1344.522{col 34}{space 2} 217.1557{col 45}{space 1}    6.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 918.2711{col 75}{space 3} 1770.774
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1195.043{col 34}{space 2} 260.9769{col 45}{space 1}    4.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 682.7756{col 75}{space 3}  1707.31
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 513.0026{col 34}{space 2} 229.9336{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} 61.66997{col 75}{space 3} 964.3352
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1492.829{col 34}{space 2} 225.8276{col 45}{space 1}    6.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1049.556{col 75}{space 3} 1936.102
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -64.7129{col 34}{space 2} 233.7103{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.782{col 62}{space 4}-523.4588{col 75}{space 3}  394.033
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(196 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   814) ={res}   13.65
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   814) ={res}    0.80
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.4914
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   814) ={res}    7.02
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0009
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.496841{col 26}{space 2} 2.123113{col 37}{space 1}   -1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.240{col 54}{space 4}-6.664263{col 67}{space 3} 1.670581
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 23.29408{col 26}{space 2} 5.724029{col 37}{space 1}    4.07{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 12.07519{col 67}{space 3} 34.51297
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       910{col 27}-311.1313{col 38}-153.7065{col 49}    94{col 58} 495.4129{col 69} 947.8767
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       910
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 93,       816){col 67}= {res}      4.41
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0566164{col 30}{space 2} .0155668{col 41}{space 1}   -3.64{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.0871721{col 71}{space 3}-.0260607
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000218{col 30}{space 2} .0000138{col 41}{space 1}   -1.58{col 50}{space 3}0.115{col 58}{space 4}-.0000489{col 71}{space 3} 5.33e-06
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0398867{col 30}{space 2} .0546603{col 41}{space 1}   -0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.466{col 58}{space 4}-.1471781{col 71}{space 3} .0674047
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000663{col 30}{space 2}  .000049{col 41}{space 1}   -1.35{col 50}{space 3}0.177{col 58}{space 4}-.0001624{col 71}{space 3} .0000299
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2601257{col 30}{space 2} .0467341{col 41}{space 1}   -5.57{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} -.351859{col 71}{space 3}-.1683925
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000566{col 30}{space 2} .0000549{col 41}{space 1}    1.03{col 50}{space 3}0.302{col 58}{space 4}-.0000511{col 71}{space 3} .0001644
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1196882{col 30}{space 2}  .044634{col 41}{space 1}   -2.68{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4}-.2072992{col 71}{space 3}-.0320772
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .000042{col 30}{space 2} .0000567{col 41}{space 1}    0.74{col 50}{space 3}0.459{col 58}{space 4}-.0000693{col 71}{space 3} .0001533
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0467418{col 30}{space 2} .0293081{col 41}{space 1}   -1.59{col 50}{space 3}0.111{col 58}{space 4}-.1042699{col 71}{space 3} .0107863
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0036237{col 30}{space 2} .0312369{col 41}{space 1}   -0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.908{col 58}{space 4}-.0649379{col 71}{space 3} .0576905
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0750987{col 30}{space 2} .0308533{col 41}{space 1}    2.43{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .0145374{col 71}{space 3}   .13566
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0148809{col 30}{space 2}  .031541{col 41}{space 1}   -0.47{col 50}{space 3}0.637{col 58}{space 4}-.0767919{col 71}{space 3} .0470301
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0929894{col 30}{space 2} .0320144{col 41}{space 1}   -2.90{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4}-.1558298{col 71}{space 3}-.0301491
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0339334{col 30}{space 2} .0253957{col 41}{space 1}    1.34{col 50}{space 3}0.182{col 58}{space 4}-.0159152{col 71}{space 3}  .083782
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0999127{col 30}{space 2} .0406083{col 41}{space 1}    2.46{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .0202036{col 71}{space 3} .1796218
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0055536{col 30}{space 2} .0350908{col 41}{space 1}    0.16{col 50}{space 3}0.874{col 58}{space 4}-.0633252{col 71}{space 3} .0744324
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0204841{col 30}{space 2} .0669721{col 41}{space 1}   -0.31{col 50}{space 3}0.760{col 58}{space 4} -.151942{col 71}{space 3} .1109738
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2194452{col 30}{space 2}  .094648{col 41}{space 1}    2.32{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .0336629{col 71}{space 3} .4052274
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .06579{col 30}{space 2}  .067361{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.329{col 58}{space 4}-.0664312{col 71}{space 3} .1980112
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0507717{col 30}{space 2} .0667677{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.447{col 58}{space 4} -.080285{col 71}{space 3} .1818283
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0258795{col 30}{space 2} .0642563{col 41}{space 1}    0.40{col 50}{space 3}0.687{col 58}{space 4}-.1002476{col 71}{space 3} .1520065
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.006893{col 30}{space 2} .0662966{col 41}{space 1}   -0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.917{col 58}{space 4} -.137025{col 71}{space 3} .1232391
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0561421{col 30}{space 2}  .065327{col 41}{space 1}    0.86{col 50}{space 3}0.390{col 58}{space 4}-.0720867{col 71}{space 3}  .184371
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0992735{col 30}{space 2}  .068886{col 41}{space 1}    1.44{col 50}{space 3}0.150{col 58}{space 4}-.0359412{col 71}{space 3} .2344881
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1577494{col 30}{space 2} .0840318{col 41}{space 1}    1.88{col 50}{space 3}0.061{col 58}{space 4}-.0071946{col 71}{space 3} .3226934
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1041459{col 30}{space 2} .0719006{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.148{col 58}{space 4}-.0369861{col 71}{space 3} .2452779
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .089095{col 30}{space 2} .0709302{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.209{col 58}{space 4}-.0501322{col 71}{space 3} .2283221
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2213885{col 30}{space 2} .0945593{col 41}{space 1}    2.34{col 50}{space 3}0.019{col 58}{space 4} .0357805{col 71}{space 3} .4069966
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .016228{col 30}{space 2} .0665154{col 41}{space 1}    0.24{col 50}{space 3}0.807{col 58}{space 4}-.1143335{col 71}{space 3} .1467895
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0131342{col 30}{space 2} .0825933{col 41}{space 1}   -0.16{col 50}{space 3}0.874{col 58}{space 4}-.1752545{col 71}{space 3} .1489861
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0135874{col 30}{space 2} .0772664{col 41}{space 1}    0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.860{col 58}{space 4}-.1380769{col 71}{space 3} .1652517
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.197168{col 30}{space 2} .1033044{col 41}{space 1}   -1.91{col 50}{space 3}0.057{col 58}{space 4}-.3999416{col 71}{space 3} .0056057
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  -.06545{col 30}{space 2} .0700903{col 41}{space 1}   -0.93{col 50}{space 3}0.351{col 58}{space 4}-.2030285{col 71}{space 3} .0721284
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0477607{col 30}{space 2} .1753768{col 41}{space 1}    0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.785{col 58}{space 4}-.2964821{col 71}{space 3} .3920035
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0264499{col 30}{space 2} .0623012{col 41}{space 1}   -0.42{col 50}{space 3}0.671{col 58}{space 4}-.1487394{col 71}{space 3} .0958395
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1907903{col 30}{space 2} .1353687{col 41}{space 1}    1.41{col 50}{space 3}0.159{col 58}{space 4}-.0749216{col 71}{space 3} .4565022
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0016432{col 30}{space 2} .0630868{col 41}{space 1}   -0.03{col 50}{space 3}0.979{col 58}{space 4}-.1254747{col 71}{space 3} .1221883
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0345228{col 30}{space 2} .1251433{col 41}{space 1}    0.28{col 50}{space 3}0.783{col 58}{space 4} -.211118{col 71}{space 3} .2801635
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0198152{col 30}{space 2}  .078236{col 41}{space 1}    0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.800{col 58}{space 4}-.1337523{col 71}{space 3} .1733826
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0011382{col 30}{space 2} .0839773{col 41}{space 1}    0.01{col 50}{space 3}0.989{col 58}{space 4}-.1636987{col 71}{space 3} .1659751
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0100935{col 30}{space 2} .0711799{col 41}{space 1}    0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.887{col 58}{space 4}-.1296238{col 71}{space 3} .1498107
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2917249{col 30}{space 2} .1616711{col 41}{space 1}   -1.80{col 50}{space 3}0.072{col 58}{space 4}-.6090651{col 71}{space 3} .0256153
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0387807{col 30}{space 2} .0789343{col 41}{space 1}   -0.49{col 50}{space 3}0.623{col 58}{space 4}-.1937188{col 71}{space 3} .1161575
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1045783{col 30}{space 2}  .107098{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.329{col 58}{space 4}-.1056418{col 71}{space 3} .3147984
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0545206{col 30}{space 2} .1105235{col 41}{space 1}    0.49{col 50}{space 3}0.622{col 58}{space 4}-.1624232{col 71}{space 3} .2714644
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3974942{col 30}{space 2} .1400803{col 41}{space 1}    2.84{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4}  .122534{col 71}{space 3} .6724544
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3714169{col 30}{space 2} .1275813{col 41}{space 1}    2.91{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .1209908{col 71}{space 3} .6218431
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .048288{col 30}{space 2}  .205143{col 41}{space 1}    0.24{col 50}{space 3}0.814{col 58}{space 4}-.3543822{col 71}{space 3} .4509583
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4395554{col 30}{space 2} .1633356{col 41}{space 1}    2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4}  .118948{col 71}{space 3} .7601629
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7877301{col 30}{space 2} .2334731{col 41}{space 1}    3.37{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .3294515{col 71}{space 3} 1.246009
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0793738{col 30}{space 2} .2099511{col 41}{space 1}    0.38{col 50}{space 3}0.705{col 58}{space 4} -.332734{col 71}{space 3} .4914815
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3716869{col 30}{space 2} .1384755{col 41}{space 1}    2.68{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .0998767{col 71}{space 3} .6434971
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4631923{col 30}{space 2} .1432978{col 41}{space 1}    3.23{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .1819165{col 71}{space 3}  .744468
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1057844{col 30}{space 2} .1081035{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.328{col 58}{space 4}-.1064094{col 71}{space 3} .3179781
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .271148{col 30}{space 2} .1440292{col 41}{space 1}    1.88{col 50}{space 3}0.060{col 58}{space 4}-.0115634{col 71}{space 3} .5538595
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .359412{col 30}{space 2} .1227646{col 41}{space 1}    2.93{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .1184403{col 71}{space 3} .6003837
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1296545{col 30}{space 2} .1118342{col 41}{space 1}    1.16{col 50}{space 3}0.247{col 58}{space 4} -.089862{col 71}{space 3} .3491711
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0890358{col 30}{space 2} .1889473{col 41}{space 1}   -0.47{col 50}{space 3}0.638{col 58}{space 4}-.4599159{col 71}{space 3} .2818443
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1913181{col 30}{space 2} .1367201{col 41}{space 1}    1.40{col 50}{space 3}0.162{col 58}{space 4}-.0770463{col 71}{space 3} .4596826
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2901381{col 30}{space 2} .2253174{col 41}{space 1}    1.29{col 50}{space 3}0.198{col 58}{space 4}-.1521319{col 71}{space 3} .7324081
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1610358{col 30}{space 2} .1281567{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.209{col 58}{space 4}-.0905198{col 71}{space 3} .4125914
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3677008{col 30}{space 2} .1428457{col 41}{space 1}    2.57{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .0873126{col 71}{space 3} .6480891
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2697579{col 30}{space 2} .1196487{col 41}{space 1}    2.25{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .0349024{col 71}{space 3} .5046134
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4527929{col 30}{space 2} .1478949{col 41}{space 1}    3.06{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .1624937{col 71}{space 3} .7430921
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2945416{col 30}{space 2} .1384151{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4}   .02285{col 71}{space 3} .5662332
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3254611{col 30}{space 2} .1832972{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.076{col 58}{space 4}-.0343285{col 71}{space 3} .6852506
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3075474{col 30}{space 2}  .152176{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0088449{col 71}{space 3} .6062499
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5277738{col 30}{space 2} .1700878{col 41}{space 1}    3.10{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .1939126{col 71}{space 3} .8616351
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .25344{col 30}{space 2} .1372756{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4}-.0160148{col 71}{space 3} .5228948
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4533344{col 30}{space 2} .1599015{col 41}{space 1}    2.84{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .1394676{col 71}{space 3} .7672012
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .350371{col 30}{space 2} .1518625{col 41}{space 1}    2.31{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .0522838{col 71}{space 3} .6484582
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4022202{col 30}{space 2} .1639024{col 41}{space 1}    2.45{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .0805003{col 71}{space 3} .7239401
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3384925{col 30}{space 2} .1528411{col 41}{space 1}    2.21{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .0384845{col 71}{space 3} .6385006
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3453016{col 30}{space 2} .1584398{col 41}{space 1}    2.18{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4}  .034304{col 71}{space 3} .6562992
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3963339{col 30}{space 2} .1730677{col 41}{space 1}    2.29{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4} .0566235{col 71}{space 3} .7360442
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3982099{col 30}{space 2} .1714842{col 41}{space 1}    2.32{col 50}{space 3}0.020{col 58}{space 4} .0616078{col 71}{space 3}  .734812
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3759753{col 30}{space 2} .1649889{col 41}{space 1}    2.28{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4} .0521227{col 71}{space 3} .6998279
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5863572{col 30}{space 2} .1705656{col 41}{space 1}    3.44{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .2515581{col 71}{space 3} .9211562
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4501051{col 30}{space 2} .1740109{col 41}{space 1}    2.59{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .1085435{col 71}{space 3} .7916668
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4704686{col 30}{space 2} .1767898{col 41}{space 1}    2.66{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .1234522{col 71}{space 3} .8174849
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4542172{col 30}{space 2} .1830149{col 41}{space 1}    2.48{col 50}{space 3}0.013{col 58}{space 4} .0949818{col 71}{space 3} .8134527
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3695729{col 30}{space 2} .1846328{col 41}{space 1}    2.00{col 50}{space 3}0.046{col 58}{space 4} .0071618{col 71}{space 3}  .731984
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4145652{col 30}{space 2} .1836591{col 41}{space 1}    2.26{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .0540652{col 71}{space 3} .7750652
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .446005{col 30}{space 2} .1931066{col 41}{space 1}    2.31{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .0669608{col 71}{space 3} .8250491
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3994871{col 30}{space 2} .1862239{col 41}{space 1}    2.15{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4} .0339528{col 71}{space 3} .7650214
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4919316{col 30}{space 2} .1960909{col 41}{space 1}    2.51{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .1070296{col 71}{space 3} .8768335
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4810902{col 30}{space 2}  .206288{col 41}{space 1}    2.33{col 50}{space 3}0.020{col 58}{space 4} .0761726{col 71}{space 3} .8860078
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4790942{col 30}{space 2} .2030782{col 41}{space 1}    2.36{col 50}{space 3}0.019{col 58}{space 4}  .080477{col 71}{space 3} .8777115
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4852452{col 30}{space 2} .2038389{col 41}{space 1}    2.38{col 50}{space 3}0.018{col 58}{space 4} .0851348{col 71}{space 3} .8853556
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .47509{col 30}{space 2} .2087465{col 41}{space 1}    2.28{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4} .0653466{col 71}{space 3} .8848334
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4810844{col 30}{space 2} .2029548{col 41}{space 1}    2.37{col 50}{space 3}0.018{col 58}{space 4} .0827094{col 71}{space 3} .8794593
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4333271{col 30}{space 2} .2022897{col 41}{space 1}    2.14{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4} .0362576{col 71}{space 3} .8303966
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5126171{col 30}{space 2} .2287452{col 41}{space 1}    2.24{col 50}{space 3}0.025{col 58}{space 4} .0636188{col 71}{space 3} .9616155
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0404694{col 30}{space 2} .1009689{col 41}{space 1}    0.40{col 50}{space 3}0.689{col 58}{space 4}-.1577199{col 71}{space 3} .2386588
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,429 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   816) ={res}   13.23
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0003
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   816) ={res}    0.85
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.4646
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   816) ={res}    6.78
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0012
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000323{col 26}{space 2}  .000077{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.674{col 54}{space 4}-.0001187{col 67}{space 3} .0001834
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0003848{col 26}{space 2} .0002369{col 37}{space 1}   -1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-.0008492{col 67}{space 3} .0000796
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.B: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980)***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       490{col 27}-3409.109{col 38}-2980.294{col 49}    68{col 58} 6096.587{col 69} 6381.807
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       490
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 67,       422){col 67}= {res}     60.95
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1605926{col 34}{space 2} .0492778{col 45}{space 1}   -3.26{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.2574531{col 75}{space 3} -.063732
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.252099{col 34}{space 2} .9447075{col 45}{space 1}    2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} .3951805{col 75}{space 3} 4.109017
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2751805{col 34}{space 2} .0755072{col 45}{space 1}    3.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1267634{col 75}{space 3} .4235977
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5698444{col 34}{space 2} 1.129477{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.614{col 62}{space 4}-1.650257{col 75}{space 3} 2.789945
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1259598{col 34}{space 2} .0483307{col 45}{space 1}   -2.61{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-.2209587{col 75}{space 3} -.030961
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.748977{col 34}{space 2} 1.036675{col 45}{space 1}   -0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.470{col 62}{space 4}-2.786667{col 75}{space 3} 1.288713
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.075629{col 34}{space 2} .0535679{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-.1809221{col 75}{space 3} .0296642
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0917878{col 34}{space 2} 1.057157{col 45}{space 1}   -0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.931{col 62}{space 4}-2.169738{col 75}{space 3} 1.986162
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-194.9524{col 34}{space 2}  195.879{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.320{col 62}{space 4}-579.9724{col 75}{space 3} 190.0676
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 41.84374{col 34}{space 2} 229.1241{col 45}{space 1}    0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.855{col 62}{space 4}-408.5228{col 75}{space 3} 492.2103
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.98563{col 34}{space 2} 41.48451{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.580{col 62}{space 4}-58.55639{col 75}{space 3} 104.5276
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6871201{col 34}{space 2}  54.5089{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.990{col 62}{space 4}-106.4556{col 75}{space 3} 107.8299
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-325.4906{col 34}{space 2} 231.0966{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-779.7343{col 75}{space 3} 128.7531
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-31.11248{col 34}{space 2} 518.1685{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-1049.625{col 75}{space 3} 987.4001
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-173.5679{col 34}{space 2} 362.5071{col 45}{space 1}   -0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.632{col 62}{space 4}-886.1124{col 75}{space 3} 538.9766
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3232.579{col 34}{space 2} 637.9605{col 45}{space 1}    5.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1978.603{col 75}{space 3} 4486.555
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -23.1533{col 34}{space 2} 50.49524{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.647{col 62}{space 4}-122.4068{col 75}{space 3} 76.10021
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.377376{col 34}{space 2}  43.5032{col 45}{space 1}    0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.975{col 62}{space 4}-84.13257{col 75}{space 3} 86.88733
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.78026{col 34}{space 2} 49.21301{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.658{col 62}{space 4}-74.95289{col 75}{space 3} 118.5134
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-20.18384{col 34}{space 2} 44.43037{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.650{col 62}{space 4}-107.5162{col 75}{space 3} 67.14856
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-52.20522{col 34}{space 2} 39.24584{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.184{col 62}{space 4}-129.3469{col 75}{space 3} 24.93647
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 263.7282{col 34}{space 2} 81.91102{col 45}{space 1}    3.22{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 102.7238{col 75}{space 3} 424.7326
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 115.5119{col 34}{space 2} 37.50185{col 45}{space 1}    3.08{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 41.79824{col 75}{space 3} 189.2256
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-14.04246{col 34}{space 2} 75.08567{col 45}{space 1}   -0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.852{col 62}{space 4}-161.6309{col 75}{space 3}  133.546
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   143.08{col 34}{space 2} 51.84153{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 41.18017{col 75}{space 3} 244.9797
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-154.7607{col 34}{space 2}   52.568{col 45}{space 1}   -2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-258.0884{col 75}{space 3}-51.43297
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  21.9586{col 34}{space 2} 29.47846{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.457{col 62}{space 4} -35.9843{col 75}{space 3} 79.90149
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 198.8954{col 34}{space 2} 70.39473{col 45}{space 1}    2.83{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 60.52742{col 75}{space 3} 337.2634
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.75923{col 34}{space 2} 27.40892{col 45}{space 1}   -0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.428{col 62}{space 4}-75.63424{col 75}{space 3} 32.11577
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.96001{col 34}{space 2} 47.32371{col 45}{space 1}   -0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.598{col 62}{space 4}-117.9796{col 75}{space 3} 68.05955
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 320.6372{col 34}{space 2} 77.01777{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  169.251{col 75}{space 3} 472.0235
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 260.4652{col 34}{space 2} 77.43014{col 45}{space 1}    3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 108.2684{col 75}{space 3}  412.662
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.92001{col 34}{space 2} 73.69198{col 45}{space 1}   -0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.735{col 62}{space 4}-169.7691{col 75}{space 3} 119.9291
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.9145{col 34}{space 2} 83.94529{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.179{col 62}{space 4}-52.08847{col 75}{space 3} 277.9175
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 404.8856{col 34}{space 2} 91.31318{col 45}{space 1}    4.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 225.4003{col 75}{space 3}  584.371
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 95.20608{col 34}{space 2} 94.64451{col 45}{space 1}    1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.315{col 62}{space 4}-90.82728{col 75}{space 3} 281.2395
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 387.2579{col 34}{space 2} 77.68149{col 45}{space 1}    4.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 234.5671{col 75}{space 3} 539.9488
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 373.5402{col 34}{space 2} 63.89879{col 45}{space 1}    5.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 247.9406{col 75}{space 3} 499.1397
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 494.2713{col 34}{space 2} 59.86147{col 45}{space 1}    8.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 376.6075{col 75}{space 3} 611.9351
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 455.9499{col 34}{space 2} 59.90566{col 45}{space 1}    7.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 338.1992{col 75}{space 3} 573.7005
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 285.3397{col 34}{space 2} 58.56925{col 45}{space 1}    4.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 170.2159{col 75}{space 3} 400.4635
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 711.9483{col 34}{space 2} 67.80124{col 45}{space 1}   10.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 578.6781{col 75}{space 3} 845.2185
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 577.2088{col 34}{space 2} 73.09465{col 45}{space 1}    7.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 433.5339{col 75}{space 3} 720.8838
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 387.7364{col 34}{space 2} 82.93921{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  224.711{col 75}{space 3} 550.7618
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 514.6203{col 34}{space 2} 82.02752{col 45}{space 1}    6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 353.3868{col 75}{space 3} 675.8537
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 709.8086{col 34}{space 2} 86.54903{col 45}{space 1}    8.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 539.6877{col 75}{space 3} 879.9295
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 445.7513{col 34}{space 2} 92.90328{col 45}{space 1}    4.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 263.1405{col 75}{space 3} 628.3621
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 666.8936{col 34}{space 2} 100.1926{col 45}{space 1}    6.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 469.9549{col 75}{space 3} 863.8324
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 709.9605{col 34}{space 2} 95.41176{col 45}{space 1}    7.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  522.419{col 75}{space 3}  897.502
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 715.4368{col 34}{space 2}  103.519{col 45}{space 1}    6.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 511.9596{col 75}{space 3} 918.9139
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 874.4466{col 34}{space 2} 106.1788{col 45}{space 1}    8.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 665.7415{col 75}{space 3} 1083.152
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 941.2928{col 34}{space 2} 112.1117{col 45}{space 1}    8.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 720.9258{col 75}{space 3}  1161.66
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1000.056{col 34}{space 2} 123.5575{col 45}{space 1}    8.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  757.191{col 75}{space 3} 1242.921
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1036.271{col 34}{space 2} 134.6917{col 45}{space 1}    7.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 771.5209{col 75}{space 3} 1301.021
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   1112.7{col 34}{space 2} 146.8979{col 45}{space 1}    7.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 823.9573{col 75}{space 3} 1401.443
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1093.843{col 34}{space 2} 169.1362{col 45}{space 1}    6.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 761.3883{col 75}{space 3} 1426.297
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1031.896{col 34}{space 2}  179.863{col 45}{space 1}    5.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 678.3573{col 75}{space 3} 1385.435
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1170.627{col 34}{space 2} 190.4892{col 45}{space 1}    6.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 796.2012{col 75}{space 3} 1545.053
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1460.448{col 34}{space 2} 209.3317{col 45}{space 1}    6.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1048.985{col 75}{space 3}  1871.91
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1423.714{col 34}{space 2} 221.3856{col 45}{space 1}    6.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 988.5586{col 75}{space 3}  1858.87
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 990.5697{col 34}{space 2} 227.7057{col 45}{space 1}    4.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  542.991{col 75}{space 3} 1438.148
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1104.66{col 34}{space 2}  247.222{col 45}{space 1}    4.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 618.7204{col 75}{space 3}   1590.6
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1522.861{col 34}{space 2} 252.1263{col 45}{space 1}    6.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1027.281{col 75}{space 3}  2018.44
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1298.176{col 34}{space 2} 272.4632{col 45}{space 1}    4.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 762.6222{col 75}{space 3}  1833.73
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1571.55{col 34}{space 2} 285.8901{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1009.604{col 75}{space 3} 2133.496
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1216.218{col 34}{space 2} 282.5947{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 660.7498{col 75}{space 3} 1771.687
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1046.729{col 34}{space 2} 304.1861{col 45}{space 1}    3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 448.8201{col 75}{space 3} 1644.637
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 527.4627{col 34}{space 2} 341.7343{col 45}{space 1}    1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.123{col 62}{space 4}-144.2508{col 75}{space 3} 1199.176
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,849 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   422) ={res}   10.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0012
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   422) ={res}    0.22
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.8836
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   422) ={res}    5.57
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0041
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2709203{col 26}{space 2} 2.201066{col 37}{space 1}   -0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.902{col 54}{space 4}-4.597339{col 67}{space 3} 4.055498
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 14.02368{col 26}{space 2} 5.039889{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} 4.145678{col 67}{space 3} 23.90168
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        490
{txt}25%    {res} 1.923077              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        490

{txt}50%    {res} 13.16667                      {txt}Mean          {res} 22.19799
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 23.77415
{txt}75%    {res} 39.39394       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res} 61.15196       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 565.2102
{txt}95%    {res} 72.29412       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} .9737869
{txt}99%    {res} 85.85859       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.871527
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 525.4794{col 26}{space 2}  188.849{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} 155.3421{col 67}{space 3} 895.6166
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       490{col 27}-294.1032{col 38}-198.0416{col 49}    62{col 58} 520.0831{col 69} 780.1362
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       490
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 61,       428){col 67}= {res}      4.32
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1080447{col 30}{space 2}  .033034{col 41}{space 1}   -3.27{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.1729737{col 71}{space 3}-.0431158
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001193{col 30}{space 2}  .000081{col 41}{space 1}   -1.47{col 50}{space 3}0.142{col 58}{space 4}-.0002786{col 71}{space 3}   .00004
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0109517{col 30}{space 2} .0674308{col 41}{space 1}   -0.16{col 50}{space 3}0.871{col 58}{space 4}-.1434884{col 71}{space 3} .1215849
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001586{col 30}{space 2} .0001207{col 41}{space 1}   -1.31{col 50}{space 3}0.190{col 58}{space 4}-.0003958{col 71}{space 3} .0000786
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2644915{col 30}{space 2} .0527758{col 41}{space 1}   -5.01{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.3682235{col 71}{space 3}-.1607594
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002463{col 30}{space 2} .0001623{col 41}{space 1}    1.52{col 50}{space 3}0.130{col 58}{space 4}-.0000728{col 71}{space 3} .0005654
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1158523{col 30}{space 2} .0525197{col 41}{space 1}   -2.21{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} -.219081{col 71}{space 3}-.0126236
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001222{col 30}{space 2} .0001567{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.436{col 58}{space 4}-.0001857{col 71}{space 3} .0004302
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0513866{col 30}{space 2} .1054042{col 41}{space 1}    0.49{col 50}{space 3}0.626{col 58}{space 4}-.1557877{col 71}{space 3} .2585609
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.187646{col 30}{space 2} .1046882{col 41}{space 1}   -1.79{col 50}{space 3}0.074{col 58}{space 4}-.3934129{col 71}{space 3} .0181209
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0527711{col 30}{space 2} .1086689{col 41}{space 1}    0.49{col 50}{space 3}0.627{col 58}{space 4}-.1608199{col 71}{space 3} .2663622
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0974627{col 30}{space 2} .1109096{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.380{col 58}{space 4}-.1205325{col 71}{space 3} .3154579
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0197411{col 30}{space 2} .1056059{col 41}{space 1}    0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.852{col 58}{space 4}-.1878296{col 71}{space 3} .2273119
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0579039{col 30}{space 2}  .086583{col 41}{space 1}    0.67{col 50}{space 3}0.504{col 58}{space 4} -.112277{col 71}{space 3} .2280847
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0260388{col 30}{space 2} .1036544{col 41}{space 1}    0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.802{col 58}{space 4}-.1776961{col 71}{space 3} .2297738
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5946876{col 30}{space 2} .1951481{col 41}{space 1}    3.05{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2111196{col 71}{space 3} .9782556
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2880035{col 30}{space 2} .1221948{col 41}{space 1}    2.36{col 50}{space 3}0.019{col 58}{space 4} .0478268{col 71}{space 3} .5281802
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3993959{col 30}{space 2} .1530568{col 41}{space 1}    2.61{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .0985593{col 71}{space 3} .7002325
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .111923{col 30}{space 2} .1103081{col 41}{space 1}    1.01{col 50}{space 3}0.311{col 58}{space 4}  -.10489{col 71}{space 3}  .328736
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0380389{col 30}{space 2} .1140575{col 41}{space 1}   -0.33{col 50}{space 3}0.739{col 58}{space 4}-.2622214{col 71}{space 3} .1861435
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .297853{col 30}{space 2} .1203725{col 41}{space 1}    2.47{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .0612582{col 71}{space 3} .5344479
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .465157{col 30}{space 2} .1544271{col 41}{space 1}    3.01{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1616271{col 71}{space 3} .7686868
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1544062{col 30}{space 2} .1449994{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.288{col 58}{space 4}-.1305933{col 71}{space 3} .4394056
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4287146{col 30}{space 2} .1408188{col 41}{space 1}    3.04{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .1519321{col 71}{space 3} .7054971
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3437394{col 30}{space 2} .1667508{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.040{col 58}{space 4} .0159869{col 71}{space 3} .6714918
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5275735{col 30}{space 2} .1792638{col 41}{space 1}    2.94{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1752266{col 71}{space 3} .8799204
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4132087{col 30}{space 2} .1576935{col 41}{space 1}    2.62{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .1032586{col 71}{space 3} .7231589
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0774479{col 30}{space 2} .1357749{col 41}{space 1}    0.57{col 50}{space 3}0.569{col 58}{space 4}-.1894206{col 71}{space 3} .3443164
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1515591{col 30}{space 2} .1787752{col 41}{space 1}    0.85{col 50}{space 3}0.397{col 58}{space 4}-.1998274{col 71}{space 3} .5029456
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1626849{col 30}{space 2} .1480715{col 41}{space 1}   -1.10{col 50}{space 3}0.273{col 58}{space 4}-.4537226{col 71}{space 3} .1283529
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0277129{col 30}{space 2} .1180006{col 41}{space 1}   -0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.814{col 58}{space 4}-.2596456{col 71}{space 3} .2042199
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0586325{col 30}{space 2} .1962952{col 41}{space 1}    0.30{col 50}{space 3}0.765{col 58}{space 4}-.3271902{col 71}{space 3} .4444551
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0068397{col 30}{space 2} .0998424{col 41}{space 1}   -0.07{col 50}{space 3}0.945{col 58}{space 4}-.2030822{col 71}{space 3} .1894028
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2342963{col 30}{space 2} .1547936{col 41}{space 1}    1.51{col 50}{space 3}0.131{col 58}{space 4}-.0699539{col 71}{space 3} .5385465
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0440506{col 30}{space 2} .0951924{col 41}{space 1}    0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.644{col 58}{space 4}-.1430522{col 71}{space 3} .2311534
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1577073{col 30}{space 2} .1633563{col 41}{space 1}    0.97{col 50}{space 3}0.335{col 58}{space 4}-.1633731{col 71}{space 3} .4787877
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1060359{col 30}{space 2}  .138755{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.445{col 58}{space 4}-.1666902{col 71}{space 3}  .378762
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0779446{col 30}{space 2} .1109042{col 41}{space 1}    0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.483{col 58}{space 4}  -.14004{col 71}{space 3} .2959293
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1433322{col 30}{space 2} .1302038{col 41}{space 1}    1.10{col 50}{space 3}0.272{col 58}{space 4}-.1125863{col 71}{space 3} .3992507
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.122053{col 30}{space 2} .2079614{col 41}{space 1}   -0.59{col 50}{space 3}0.558{col 58}{space 4}-.5308057{col 71}{space 3} .2866997
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0892263{col 30}{space 2} .1482371{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.548{col 58}{space 4} -.202137{col 71}{space 3} .3805897
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2576449{col 30}{space 2} .1724127{col 41}{space 1}    1.49{col 50}{space 3}0.136{col 58}{space 4}-.0812361{col 71}{space 3}  .596526
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2225709{col 30}{space 2} .1905191{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.243{col 58}{space 4}-.1518987{col 71}{space 3} .5970405
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5680735{col 30}{space 2} .2065367{col 41}{space 1}    2.75{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .1621209{col 71}{space 3}  .974026
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5707787{col 30}{space 2} .2156112{col 41}{space 1}    2.65{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .1469902{col 71}{space 3} .9945672
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2858294{col 30}{space 2} .2657141{col 41}{space 1}    1.08{col 50}{space 3}0.283{col 58}{space 4}-.2364374{col 71}{space 3} .8080963
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6981726{col 30}{space 2} .2636828{col 41}{space 1}    2.65{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .1798983{col 71}{space 3} 1.216447
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.075657{col 30}{space 2} .3064486{col 41}{space 1}    3.51{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4733259{col 71}{space 3} 1.677989
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4367292{col 30}{space 2} .3150341{col 41}{space 1}    1.39{col 50}{space 3}0.166{col 58}{space 4}-.1824773{col 71}{space 3} 1.055936
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7837167{col 30}{space 2} .3147162{col 41}{space 1}    2.49{col 50}{space 3}0.013{col 58}{space 4} .1651351{col 71}{space 3} 1.402298
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9038337{col 30}{space 2} .3459056{col 41}{space 1}    2.61{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .2239485{col 71}{space 3} 1.583719
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6091971{col 30}{space 2} .3367715{col 41}{space 1}    1.81{col 50}{space 3}0.071{col 58}{space 4}-.0527347{col 71}{space 3} 1.271129
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .826796{col 30}{space 2}  .411745{col 41}{space 1}    2.01{col 50}{space 3}0.045{col 58}{space 4} .0175022{col 71}{space 3}  1.63609
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .893625{col 30}{space 2} .4003516{col 41}{space 1}    2.23{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4} .1067251{col 71}{space 3} 1.680525
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6390211{col 30}{space 2} .3930457{col 41}{space 1}    1.63{col 50}{space 3}0.105{col 58}{space 4}-.1335189{col 71}{space 3} 1.411561
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5344084{col 30}{space 2} .4458164{col 41}{space 1}    1.20{col 50}{space 3}0.231{col 58}{space 4}-.3418536{col 71}{space 3} 1.410671
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8881653{col 30}{space 2} .4816473{col 41}{space 1}    1.84{col 50}{space 3}0.066{col 58}{space 4}-.0585232{col 71}{space 3} 1.834854
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9127894{col 30}{space 2} .5166586{col 41}{space 1}    1.77{col 50}{space 3}0.078{col 58}{space 4}-.1027144{col 71}{space 3} 1.928293
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8141616{col 30}{space 2} .4708132{col 41}{space 1}    1.73{col 50}{space 3}0.084{col 58}{space 4}-.1112322{col 71}{space 3} 1.739555
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.003976{col 30}{space 2} .4964059{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0282792{col 71}{space 3} 1.979673
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9497423{col 30}{space 2} .4910314{col 41}{space 1}    1.93{col 50}{space 3}0.054{col 58}{space 4}-.0153908{col 71}{space 3} 1.914875
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3158596{col 30}{space 2} .3531945{col 41}{space 1}    0.89{col 50}{space 3}0.372{col 58}{space 4}-.3783521{col 71}{space 3} 1.010071
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,849 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   428) ={res}   10.70
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0012
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   428) ={res}    1.11
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.3463
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   428) ={res}    6.60
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0015
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .00021{col 26}{space 2} .0002607{col 37}{space 1}    0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.421{col 54}{space 4}-.0003025{col 67}{space 3} .0007224
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.001104{col 26}{space 2} .0008325{col 37}{space 1}   -1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.185{col 54}{space 4}-.0027357{col 67}{space 3} .0005278
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3252.807       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res} 3832.054       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 4173.577       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        490
{txt}25%    {res} 4972.713       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        490

{txt}50%    {res} 6451.461                      {txt}Mean          {res} 6898.252
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2313.137
{txt}75%    {res} 8860.249        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res}  10164.4       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5350604
{txt}95%    {res} 10965.88       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res} .4170721
{txt}99%    {res} 12042.43       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.093014
{txt}
{com}. 
. *
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.291765{col 26}{space 2} 3.236483{col 37}{space 1}   -1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.185{col 54}{space 4}-10.63516{col 67}{space 3} 2.051626
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.C: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       420{col 27} -2982.74{col 38}-2741.757{col 49}    65{col 58} 5613.514{col 69} 5876.131
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       420
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 64,       355){col 67}= {res}     30.83
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1565007{col 34}{space 2} .0254922{col 45}{space 1}   -6.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2066354{col 75}{space 3} -.106366
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4084933{col 34}{space 2} 1.076135{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.704{col 62}{space 4}-1.707908{col 75}{space 3} 2.524895
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1964281{col 34}{space 2} .1074464{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.068{col 62}{space 4}-.0148834{col 75}{space 3} .4077395
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9204573{col 34}{space 2} 1.562531{col 45}{space 1}   -0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.556{col 62}{space 4}-3.993439{col 75}{space 3} 2.152525
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2653037{col 34}{space 2}  .102267{col 45}{space 1}    2.59{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} .0641783{col 75}{space 3}  .466429
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.734413{col 34}{space 2} 1.494123{col 45}{space 1}   -1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.068{col 62}{space 4}-5.672859{col 75}{space 3} .2040324
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0094356{col 34}{space 2} .0717008{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.895{col 62}{space 4}-.1315761{col 75}{space 3} .1504472
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.685086{col 34}{space 2}  1.74137{col 45}{space 1}   -0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.334{col 62}{space 4}-5.109785{col 75}{space 3} 1.739613
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3317251{col 34}{space 2} 792.9096{col 45}{space 1}   -0.00{col 54}{space 3}1.000{col 62}{space 4}-1559.722{col 75}{space 3} 1559.059
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 332.3528{col 34}{space 2} 1005.281{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.741{col 62}{space 4}-1644.702{col 75}{space 3} 2309.408
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 68.83861{col 34}{space 2} 69.66917{col 45}{space 1}    0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.324{col 62}{space 4}-68.17759{col 75}{space 3} 205.8548
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-184.0819{col 34}{space 2} 61.99651{col 45}{space 1}   -2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-306.0085{col 75}{space 3}-62.15531
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-531.2379{col 34}{space 2} 553.3718{col 45}{space 1}   -0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.338{col 62}{space 4}-1619.537{col 75}{space 3} 557.0612
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -969.761{col 34}{space 2} 888.9067{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.276{col 62}{space 4}-2717.946{col 75}{space 3} 778.4242
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-637.3077{col 34}{space 2} 3825.343{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.868{col 62}{space 4} -8160.49{col 75}{space 3} 6885.875
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6293.106{col 34}{space 2} 3023.709{col 45}{space 1}    2.08{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4} 346.4726{col 75}{space 3} 12239.74
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 9.229671{col 34}{space 2} 41.06315{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.822{col 62}{space 4}-71.52795{col 75}{space 3} 89.98729
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 113.4497{col 34}{space 2} 59.66504{col 45}{space 1}    1.90{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-3.891667{col 75}{space 3} 230.7911
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.12129{col 34}{space 2} 49.00684{col 45}{space 1}    0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.773{col 62}{space 4}-82.25893{col 75}{space 3} 110.5015
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-100.5512{col 34}{space 2} 59.38266{col 45}{space 1}   -1.69{col 54}{space 3}0.091{col 62}{space 4}-217.3372{col 75}{space 3} 16.23486
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-80.07634{col 34}{space 2} 59.67811{col 45}{space 1}   -1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.181{col 62}{space 4}-197.4434{col 75}{space 3} 37.29075
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 48.63382{col 34}{space 2} 76.61256{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.526{col 62}{space 4}-102.0377{col 75}{space 3} 199.3054
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-99.24204{col 34}{space 2} 82.36905{col 45}{space 1}   -1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.229{col 62}{space 4}-261.2347{col 75}{space 3} 62.75061
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 424.1896{col 34}{space 2}   75.157{col 45}{space 1}    5.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 276.3807{col 75}{space 3} 571.9986
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 255.3145{col 34}{space 2} 56.57048{col 45}{space 1}    4.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 144.0591{col 75}{space 3} 366.5699
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 33.94275{col 34}{space 2} 86.98909{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.697{col 62}{space 4} -137.136{col 75}{space 3} 205.0215
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 48.24956{col 34}{space 2} 52.05732{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-54.12995{col 75}{space 3} 150.6291
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-222.9375{col 34}{space 2} 52.28341{col 45}{space 1}   -4.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-325.7617{col 75}{space 3}-120.1133
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 183.1006{col 34}{space 2} 47.41453{col 45}{space 1}    3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 89.85194{col 75}{space 3} 276.3493
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 55.73542{col 34}{space 2} 45.40294{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.220{col 62}{space 4}-33.55714{col 75}{space 3}  145.028
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.736773{col 34}{space 2}  43.1274{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.840{col 62}{space 4}-76.08055{col 75}{space 3} 93.55409
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 175.7306{col 34}{space 2} 79.18724{col 45}{space 1}    2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4} 19.99548{col 75}{space 3} 331.4656
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 326.0112{col 34}{space 2}  68.8369{col 45}{space 1}    4.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 190.6318{col 75}{space 3} 461.3905
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 618.9657{col 34}{space 2}  100.151{col 45}{space 1}    6.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 422.0018{col 75}{space 3} 815.9295
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-74.69745{col 34}{space 2} 90.68349{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.411{col 62}{space 4}-253.0419{col 75}{space 3}  103.647
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-28.01965{col 34}{space 2} 85.18291{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.742{col 62}{space 4}-195.5462{col 75}{space 3} 139.5069
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.96757{col 34}{space 2} 110.8631{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.753{col 62}{space 4}-183.0634{col 75}{space 3} 252.9986
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 372.7197{col 34}{space 2} 87.55533{col 45}{space 1}    4.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 200.5273{col 75}{space 3}  544.912
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  120.339{col 34}{space 2} 112.1652{col 45}{space 1}    1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.284{col 62}{space 4}-100.2527{col 75}{space 3} 340.9308
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  63.8816{col 34}{space 2} 106.0111{col 45}{space 1}    0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.547{col 62}{space 4} -144.607{col 75}{space 3} 272.3702
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 61.03835{col 34}{space 2} 94.06049{col 45}{space 1}    0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.517{col 62}{space 4}-123.9475{col 75}{space 3} 246.0242
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 365.3572{col 34}{space 2} 91.78756{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 184.8415{col 75}{space 3}  545.873
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 329.0188{col 34}{space 2} 114.3738{col 45}{space 1}    2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 104.0834{col 75}{space 3} 553.9542
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 63.94435{col 34}{space 2} 115.8123{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.581{col 62}{space 4}-163.8202{col 75}{space 3} 291.7089
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 51.17316{col 34}{space 2} 99.90213{col 45}{space 1}    0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.609{col 62}{space 4}-145.3012{col 75}{space 3} 247.6476
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 544.6686{col 34}{space 2} 108.5117{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  331.262{col 75}{space 3} 758.0751
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 330.4384{col 34}{space 2} 144.0038{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 47.23063{col 75}{space 3} 613.6462
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.4212{col 34}{space 2} 126.9048{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 197.8415{col 75}{space 3}  697.001
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 438.5982{col 34}{space 2} 138.3663{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 166.4775{col 75}{space 3} 710.7189
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 487.1248{col 34}{space 2} 134.7941{col 45}{space 1}    3.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 222.0294{col 75}{space 3} 752.2202
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 615.4178{col 34}{space 2} 143.3736{col 45}{space 1}    4.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 333.4493{col 75}{space 3} 897.3862
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 862.8338{col 34}{space 2} 151.8564{col 45}{space 1}    5.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 564.1826{col 75}{space 3} 1161.485
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 504.8935{col 34}{space 2} 174.0302{col 45}{space 1}    2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 162.6338{col 75}{space 3} 847.1532
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 743.2504{col 34}{space 2} 157.1871{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 434.1155{col 75}{space 3} 1052.385
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 630.1727{col 34}{space 2} 176.7414{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 282.5808{col 75}{space 3} 977.7646
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 492.9901{col 34}{space 2} 161.7075{col 45}{space 1}    3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}  174.965{col 75}{space 3} 811.0152
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 645.7004{col 34}{space 2} 162.3669{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 326.3785{col 75}{space 3} 965.0223
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1027.835{col 34}{space 2} 185.6494{col 45}{space 1}    5.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  662.724{col 75}{space 3} 1392.946
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  934.377{col 34}{space 2} 209.5611{col 45}{space 1}    4.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 522.2397{col 75}{space 3} 1346.514
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1077.336{col 34}{space 2} 205.3289{col 45}{space 1}    5.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 673.5216{col 75}{space 3}  1481.15
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 925.4075{col 34}{space 2} 204.7458{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 522.7402{col 75}{space 3} 1328.075
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 771.6721{col 34}{space 2} 239.8195{col 45}{space 1}    3.22{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 300.0267{col 75}{space 3} 1243.318
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 109.2701{col 34}{space 2} 190.8494{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.567{col 62}{space 4}-266.0675{col 75}{space 3} 484.6077
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1042.168{col 34}{space 2}  170.096{col 45}{space 1}    6.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 707.6449{col 75}{space 3}  1376.69
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2266.254{col 34}{space 2}  3810.53{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.552{col 62}{space 4}-5227.796{col 75}{space 3} 9760.304
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,919 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   355) ={res}   37.69
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   355) ={res}    1.23
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.2994
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   355) ={res}   20.21
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.339957{col 26}{space 2} 3.219447{col 37}{space 1}   -1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.098{col 54}{space 4}-11.67154{col 67}{space 3} .9916288
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.610169{col 26}{space 2} 6.753392{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.699{col 54}{space 4}-10.62624{col 67}{space 3} 15.84657
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney real_pc_inc_ann  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 20.42857       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 26.88235        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        420
{txt}25%    {res} 46.58065        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        420

{txt}50%    {res} 65.38146                      {txt}Mean          {res} 63.07963
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 24.28337
{txt}75%    {res} 83.33333        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 93.36551       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res}  589.682
{txt}95%    {res}     97.5       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.4392186
{txt}99%    {res}  99.6129            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.245943

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9164.067       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9893.871       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res}  10517.3       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        420
{txt}25%    {res}    11966       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        420

{txt}50%    {res} 13484.73                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13632.63
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2401.816
{txt}75%    {res} 15294.64       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16587.38       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  5768719
{txt}95%    {res} 17515.28       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3038151
{txt}99%    {res} 20132.85       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.816816
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 95.93071{col 26}{space 2} 248.2053{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.699{col 54}{space 4}-390.5427{col 67}{space 3} 582.4041
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       420{col 27}-1391.884{col 38} -1297.13{col 49}    59{col 58} 2712.259{col 69} 2950.634
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       420
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 58,       361){col 67}= {res}      3.62
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2154547{col 29}{space 2}  .031021{col 40}{space 1}   -6.95{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2764593{col 70}{space 3}-.1544501
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0010459{col 29}{space 2} .0006259{col 40}{space 1}    1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.096{col 57}{space 4} -.000185{col 70}{space 3} .0022769
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0098611{col 29}{space 2} .0425865{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.817{col 57}{space 4}-.0738877{col 70}{space 3} .0936098
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.000852{col 29}{space 2} .0015882{col 40}{space 1}   -0.54{col 49}{space 3}0.592{col 57}{space 4}-.0039753{col 70}{space 3} .0022712
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   .04862{col 29}{space 2} .0679592{col 40}{space 1}    0.72{col 49}{space 3}0.475{col 57}{space 4}-.0850256{col 70}{space 3} .1822656
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0018984{col 29}{space 2} .0019436{col 40}{space 1}    0.98{col 49}{space 3}0.329{col 57}{space 4}-.0019237{col 70}{space 3} .0057206
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0303363{col 29}{space 2} .0443745{col 40}{space 1}    0.68{col 49}{space 3}0.495{col 57}{space 4}-.0569286{col 70}{space 3} .1176013
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0006226{col 29}{space 2} .0020858{col 40}{space 1}   -0.30{col 49}{space 3}0.765{col 57}{space 4}-.0047245{col 70}{space 3} .0034792
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.441918{col 29}{space 2} 1.252445{col 40}{space 1}   -4.35{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-7.904924{col 70}{space 3}-2.978913
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.886684{col 29}{space 2} 1.490583{col 40}{space 1}    1.94{col 49}{space 3}0.054{col 57}{space 4}-.0446315{col 70}{space 3}    5.818
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.683357{col 29}{space 2} 1.475693{col 40}{space 1}    3.85{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 2.781323{col 70}{space 3} 8.585391
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.301944{col 29}{space 2}  1.53538{col 40}{space 1}   -2.15{col 49}{space 3}0.032{col 57}{space 4}-6.321356{col 70}{space 3}-.2825318
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.434791{col 29}{space 2} 1.951419{col 40}{space 1}   -4.32{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-12.27237{col 70}{space 3}-4.597213
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.110896{col 29}{space 2} 1.893203{col 40}{space 1}    2.70{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4} 1.387804{col 70}{space 3} 8.833989
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.361685{col 29}{space 2}  1.33242{col 40}{space 1}    3.27{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 1.741405{col 70}{space 3} 6.981966
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.171292{col 29}{space 2} 2.625755{col 40}{space 1}   -0.45{col 49}{space 3}0.656{col 57}{space 4}-6.334989{col 70}{space 3} 3.992406
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}5  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.654831{col 29}{space 2} 1.646041{col 40}{space 1}   -1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.108{col 57}{space 4}-5.891864{col 70}{space 3} .5822026
{txt}{space 12}12  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.875333{col 29}{space 2} 2.955015{col 40}{space 1}    3.00{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 3.064127{col 70}{space 3} 14.68654
{txt}{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.102211{col 29}{space 2} 1.500039{col 40}{space 1}    0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.463{col 57}{space 4}-1.847701{col 70}{space 3} 4.052123
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.183282{col 29}{space 2} 1.193089{col 40}{space 1}    4.34{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 2.837004{col 70}{space 3} 7.529559
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4398253{col 29}{space 2}  1.10756{col 40}{space 1}   -0.40{col 49}{space 3}0.692{col 57}{space 4}-2.617905{col 70}{space 3} 1.738254
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.471312{col 29}{space 2} 1.482885{col 40}{space 1}    0.99{col 49}{space 3}0.322{col 57}{space 4}-1.444866{col 70}{space 3}  4.38749
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.237863{col 29}{space 2} 1.661489{col 40}{space 1}    1.95{col 49}{space 3}0.052{col 57}{space 4}-.0295504{col 70}{space 3} 6.505277
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.876151{col 29}{space 2} 1.726208{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 2.481465{col 70}{space 3} 9.270837
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.78495{col 29}{space 2} 2.084361{col 40}{space 1}    5.17{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.685934{col 70}{space 3} 14.88396
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.837699{col 29}{space 2} 1.911252{col 40}{space 1}    3.58{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 3.079112{col 70}{space 3} 10.59629
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.033413{col 29}{space 2} 1.784244{col 40}{space 1}    2.26{col 49}{space 3}0.024{col 57}{space 4} .5245953{col 70}{space 3} 7.542231
{txt}{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.207707{col 29}{space 2} 3.213501{col 40}{space 1}    2.24{col 49}{space 3}0.026{col 57}{space 4}  .888175{col 70}{space 3} 13.52724
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.358686{col 29}{space 2} 1.460437{col 40}{space 1}   -1.62{col 49}{space 3}0.107{col 57}{space 4}-5.230719{col 70}{space 3} .5133466
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.787341{col 29}{space 2} 2.268786{col 40}{space 1}   -1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.096{col 57}{space 4}-8.249039{col 70}{space 3}  .674356
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.235475{col 29}{space 2} 2.943322{col 40}{space 1}   -2.12{col 49}{space 3}0.035{col 57}{space 4}-12.02369{col 70}{space 3}-.4472649
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.241745{col 29}{space 2} 2.098839{col 40}{space 1}   -2.02{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-8.369232{col 70}{space 3}-.1142593
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.303051{col 29}{space 2} 3.186044{col 40}{space 1}    1.04{col 49}{space 3}0.301{col 57}{space 4}-2.962486{col 70}{space 3} 9.568588
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.345974{col 29}{space 2} 2.324663{col 40}{space 1}   -1.44{col 49}{space 3}0.151{col 57}{space 4}-7.917557{col 70}{space 3} 1.225608
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5622647{col 29}{space 2} 2.671034{col 40}{space 1}   -0.21{col 49}{space 3}0.833{col 57}{space 4}-5.815006{col 70}{space 3} 4.690477
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.741405{col 29}{space 2} 2.047299{col 40}{space 1}   -1.34{col 49}{space 3}0.181{col 57}{space 4}-6.767534{col 70}{space 3} 1.284725
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.506291{col 29}{space 2}  2.69696{col 40}{space 1}   -0.19{col 49}{space 3}0.851{col 57}{space 4}-5.810017{col 70}{space 3} 4.797435
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.952597{col 29}{space 2}  2.28763{col 40}{space 1}   -0.85{col 49}{space 3}0.394{col 57}{space 4}-6.451352{col 70}{space 3} 2.546158
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.340969{col 29}{space 2} 2.345859{col 40}{space 1}   -0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.568{col 57}{space 4}-5.954235{col 70}{space 3} 3.272297
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6035524{col 29}{space 2} 2.666543{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.821{col 57}{space 4}-4.640356{col 70}{space 3} 5.847461
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.225551{col 29}{space 2} 2.973543{col 40}{space 1}    0.41{col 49}{space 3}0.680{col 57}{space 4}-4.622092{col 70}{space 3} 7.073194
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5661909{col 29}{space 2} 2.415843{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.815{col 57}{space 4}-4.184702{col 70}{space 3} 5.317084
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.07679{col 29}{space 2} 3.614542{col 40}{space 1}    3.34{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.968588{col 70}{space 3}   19.185
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  5.03813{col 29}{space 2} 3.463069{col 40}{space 1}    1.45{col 49}{space 3}0.147{col 57}{space 4}-1.772193{col 70}{space 3} 11.84845
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.272249{col 29}{space 2} 3.081904{col 40}{space 1}    1.06{col 49}{space 3}0.289{col 57}{space 4}-2.788492{col 70}{space 3}  9.33299
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.396137{col 29}{space 2} 3.132476{col 40}{space 1}    0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.445{col 57}{space 4}-3.764056{col 70}{space 3}  8.55633
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4967079{col 29}{space 2} 3.693961{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.893{col 57}{space 4}-7.761094{col 70}{space 3} 6.767678
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.433996{col 29}{space 2} 3.192408{col 40}{space 1}    0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.446{col 57}{space 4}-3.844057{col 70}{space 3} 8.712049
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  3.66861{col 29}{space 2} 3.849987{col 40}{space 1}    0.95{col 49}{space 3}0.341{col 57}{space 4}-3.902609{col 70}{space 3} 11.23983
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.59245{col 29}{space 2} 3.414983{col 40}{space 1}    0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.641{col 57}{space 4} -5.12331{col 70}{space 3} 8.308209
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.557023{col 29}{space 2} 4.251373{col 40}{space 1}    1.31{col 49}{space 3}0.192{col 57}{space 4}-2.803544{col 70}{space 3} 13.91759
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.031773{col 29}{space 2} 3.783544{col 40}{space 1}    1.07{col 49}{space 3}0.287{col 57}{space 4}-3.408781{col 70}{space 3} 11.47233
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.370213{col 29}{space 2}  4.25802{col 40}{space 1}    1.03{col 49}{space 3}0.305{col 57}{space 4}-4.003425{col 70}{space 3} 12.74385
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.929105{col 29}{space 2} 4.046572{col 40}{space 1}    0.97{col 49}{space 3}0.332{col 57}{space 4} -4.02871{col 70}{space 3} 11.88692
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  3.51698{col 29}{space 2} 4.709627{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.456{col 57}{space 4}-5.744769{col 70}{space 3} 12.77873
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  4.77988{col 29}{space 2} 4.522441{col 40}{space 1}    1.06{col 49}{space 3}0.291{col 57}{space 4} -4.11376{col 70}{space 3} 13.67352
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.899889{col 29}{space 2} 4.511964{col 40}{space 1}    0.64{col 49}{space 3}0.521{col 57}{space 4}-5.973145{col 70}{space 3} 11.77292
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.415283{col 29}{space 2} 5.405612{col 40}{space 1}    0.82{col 49}{space 3}0.415{col 57}{space 4}-6.215162{col 70}{space 3} 15.04573
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.534629{col 29}{space 2} 6.482324{col 40}{space 1}   -1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.314{col 57}{space 4}-19.28249{col 70}{space 3} 6.213231
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,919 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. *
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   361) ={res}   48.24
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   361) ={res}    0.39
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.7580
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   361) ={res}   25.43
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0004238{col 26}{space 2} .0023825{col 37}{space 1}    0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.859{col 54}{space 4}-.0042616{col 67}{space 3} .0051092
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0048545{col 26}{space 2} .0029827{col 37}{space 1}    1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-.0009916{col 67}{space 3} .0107006
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  if klarnerranneyhatallpost !=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9164.067       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9893.871       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res}  10517.3       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        420
{txt}25%    {res}    11966       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        420

{txt}50%    {res} 13484.73                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13632.63
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2401.816
{txt}75%    {res} 15294.64       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16587.38       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  5768719
{txt}95%    {res} 17515.28       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3038151
{txt}99%    {res} 20132.85       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.816816
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.15897{col 26}{space 2} 9.928491{col 37}{space 1}    1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-3.300512{col 67}{space 3} 35.61846
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.A: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 -2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-2319.461{col 38}-2013.438{col 49}    91{col 58} 4208.876{col 69} 4553.204
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 90,       234){col 67}= {res}    188.54
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0745586{col 34}{space 2} .0328144{col 45}{space 1}   -2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4} -.139208{col 75}{space 3}-.0099093
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.436573{col 34}{space 2}  1.31387{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.275{col 62}{space 4}  -4.0251{col 75}{space 3} 1.151953
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1780489{col 34}{space 2} .1196356{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.138{col 62}{space 4}-.0576516{col 75}{space 3} .4137495
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .372648{col 34}{space 2} 1.001694{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.710{col 62}{space 4}-1.600843{col 75}{space 3} 2.346139
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1511838{col 34}{space 2} .0717822{col 45}{space 1}    2.11{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4} .0097619{col 75}{space 3} .2926057
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.511914{col 34}{space 2} 1.587822{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.342{col 62}{space 4} -1.61634{col 75}{space 3} 4.640167
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0108234{col 34}{space 2} .0951169{col 45}{space 1}    0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.910{col 62}{space 4}-.1765716{col 75}{space 3} .1982184
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.468247{col 34}{space 2} 1.407533{col 45}{space 1}    1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.298{col 62}{space 4} -1.30481{col 75}{space 3} 4.241303
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-529.6811{col 34}{space 2} 375.1568{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-1268.798{col 75}{space 3} 209.4355
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-225.3816{col 34}{space 2} 511.0194{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.660{col 62}{space 4}-1232.168{col 75}{space 3} 781.4052
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9385204{col 34}{space 2} 51.44819{col 45}{space 1}    0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.985{col 62}{space 4}-100.4223{col 75}{space 3} 102.2994
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 118.0542{col 34}{space 2} 120.0431{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.326{col 62}{space 4}-118.4491{col 75}{space 3} 354.5575
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  576.485{col 34}{space 2} 425.4759{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.177{col 62}{space 4}-261.7678{col 75}{space 3} 1414.738
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2692.029{col 34}{space 2} 1331.706{col 45}{space 1}   -2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4}-5315.695{col 75}{space 3}-68.36378
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1692.495{col 34}{space 2} 771.1922{col 45}{space 1}   -2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4}-3211.862{col 75}{space 3}-173.1274
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3839.988{col 34}{space 2}  1401.31{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 1079.192{col 75}{space 3} 6600.785
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  31.3646{col 34}{space 2} 55.22828{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.571{col 62}{space 4} -77.4436{col 75}{space 3} 140.1728
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 63.52513{col 34}{space 2} 57.74206{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.272{col 62}{space 4}-50.23561{col 75}{space 3} 177.2859
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-60.60842{col 34}{space 2} 54.21953{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.265{col 62}{space 4}-167.4292{col 75}{space 3} 46.21239
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.73531{col 34}{space 2} 58.44576{col 45}{space 1}   -0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-152.8824{col 75}{space 3} 77.41181
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.312171{col 34}{space 2} 62.76868{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-118.3518{col 75}{space 3} 128.9761
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.705575{col 34}{space 2} 100.9679{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.947{col 62}{space 4}-205.6279{col 75}{space 3} 192.2167
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-129.3988{col 34}{space 2} 57.56135{col 45}{space 1}   -2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-242.8035{col 75}{space 3}-15.99407
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-154.0075{col 34}{space 2} 65.56723{col 45}{space 1}   -2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} -283.185{col 75}{space 3}-24.82999
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.15561{col 34}{space 2} 63.80945{col 45}{space 1}   -1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.216{col 62}{space 4}  -204.87{col 75}{space 3} 46.55882
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  107.873{col 34}{space 2} 40.56451{col 45}{space 1}    2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 27.95463{col 75}{space 3} 187.7913
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 60.05545{col 34}{space 2} 171.4704{col 45}{space 1}    0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.726{col 62}{space 4}-277.7676{col 75}{space 3} 397.8785
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 532.8837{col 34}{space 2} 153.7043{col 45}{space 1}    3.47{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 230.0627{col 75}{space 3} 835.7047
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 592.6603{col 34}{space 2} 189.1115{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 220.0815{col 75}{space 3} 965.2391
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 875.1828{col 34}{space 2} 159.1952{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 561.5439{col 75}{space 3} 1188.822
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  602.406{col 34}{space 2} 144.8662{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 316.9973{col 75}{space 3} 887.8147
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 670.7248{col 34}{space 2} 131.7971{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 411.0643{col 75}{space 3} 930.3853
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 613.2934{col 34}{space 2} 135.8286{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 345.6903{col 75}{space 3} 880.8965
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 581.1812{col 34}{space 2} 135.0418{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 315.1281{col 75}{space 3} 847.2342
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 980.9445{col 34}{space 2} 137.1468{col 45}{space 1}    7.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 710.7443{col 75}{space 3} 1251.145
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.9166{col 34}{space 2}  154.232{col 45}{space 1}    5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 546.0557{col 75}{space 3} 1153.777
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 519.8516{col 34}{space 2} 164.3616{col 45}{space 1}    3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}  196.034{col 75}{space 3} 843.6692
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 705.7738{col 34}{space 2} 147.8997{col 45}{space 1}    4.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 414.3887{col 75}{space 3} 997.1589
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1020.257{col 34}{space 2} 158.4762{col 45}{space 1}    6.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 708.0341{col 75}{space 3} 1332.479
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}    735.7{col 34}{space 2} 178.0793{col 45}{space 1}    4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 384.8563{col 75}{space 3} 1086.544
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 841.1116{col 34}{space 2} 172.0063{col 45}{space 1}    4.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 502.2328{col 75}{space 3}  1179.99
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 967.3112{col 34}{space 2} 157.5901{col 45}{space 1}    6.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 656.8346{col 75}{space 3} 1277.788
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 946.0016{col 34}{space 2} 180.0969{col 45}{space 1}    5.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 591.1829{col 75}{space 3}  1300.82
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1126.502{col 34}{space 2} 179.6601{col 45}{space 1}    6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 772.5444{col 75}{space 3}  1480.46
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1122.47{col 34}{space 2} 180.7523{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 766.3602{col 75}{space 3}  1478.58
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1150.668{col 34}{space 2} 189.8819{col 45}{space 1}    6.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.5715{col 75}{space 3} 1524.765
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1185.861{col 34}{space 2} 193.3772{col 45}{space 1}    6.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 804.8784{col 75}{space 3} 1566.844
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1263.883{col 34}{space 2} 207.9008{col 45}{space 1}    6.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 854.2864{col 75}{space 3}  1673.48
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1283.562{col 34}{space 2} 222.9068{col 45}{space 1}    5.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 844.4013{col 75}{space 3} 1722.723
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1070.534{col 34}{space 2} 230.0279{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 617.3441{col 75}{space 3} 1523.725
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1245.285{col 34}{space 2} 221.7179{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 808.4668{col 75}{space 3} 1682.103
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1631.066{col 34}{space 2} 240.0488{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1158.133{col 75}{space 3} 2103.999
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1468.545{col 34}{space 2}  267.269{col 45}{space 1}    5.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 941.9844{col 75}{space 3} 1995.106
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 781.4732{col 34}{space 2} 262.9843{col 45}{space 1}    2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 263.3538{col 75}{space 3} 1299.593
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 841.5115{col 34}{space 2} 272.1662{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 305.3023{col 75}{space 3} 1377.721
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1544.588{col 34}{space 2} 266.1561{col 45}{space 1}    5.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1020.22{col 75}{space 3} 2068.957
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1360.997{col 34}{space 2} 310.5072{col 45}{space 1}    4.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 749.2497{col 75}{space 3} 1972.744
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1500.046{col 34}{space 2} 326.3453{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 857.0956{col 75}{space 3} 2142.996
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1038.788{col 34}{space 2} 300.2409{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 447.2671{col 75}{space 3} 1630.309
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 946.4881{col 34}{space 2} 314.9794{col 45}{space 1}    3.00{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 325.9302{col 75}{space 3} 1567.046
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1380.445{col 34}{space 2} 335.6441{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 719.1746{col 75}{space 3} 2041.715
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1224.186{col 34}{space 2} 330.1971{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 573.6466{col 75}{space 3} 1874.725
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1557.743{col 34}{space 2} 306.2784{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  954.327{col 75}{space 3} 2161.158
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1798.845{col 34}{space 2} 324.9766{col 45}{space 1}    5.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1158.591{col 75}{space 3} 2439.098
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1493.721{col 34}{space 2} 344.7873{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 814.4366{col 75}{space 3} 2173.005
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1494.58{col 34}{space 2} 285.9037{col 45}{space 1}    5.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 931.3056{col 75}{space 3} 2057.854
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1378.026{col 34}{space 2} 311.1836{col 45}{space 1}    4.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  764.947{col 75}{space 3} 1991.106
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1650.308{col 34}{space 2} 353.1955{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 954.4582{col 75}{space 3} 2346.157
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1565.585{col 34}{space 2} 370.2563{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 836.1237{col 75}{space 3} 2295.047
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.327{col 34}{space 2} 414.4888{col 45}{space 1}    2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 402.7199{col 75}{space 3} 2035.933
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1193.988{col 34}{space 2} 384.6841{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 436.1008{col 75}{space 3} 1951.874
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1740.356{col 34}{space 2} 382.5421{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 986.6892{col 75}{space 3} 2494.023
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1524.17{col 34}{space 2} 398.2892{col 45}{space 1}    3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.4796{col 75}{space 3} 2308.861
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1527.404{col 34}{space 2} 416.0402{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 707.7413{col 75}{space 3} 2347.067
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1574.455{col 34}{space 2} 378.3674{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 829.0131{col 75}{space 3} 2319.897
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1625.973{col 34}{space 2} 398.4993{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 840.8685{col 75}{space 3} 2411.078
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1729.99{col 34}{space 2} 413.7085{col 45}{space 1}    4.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 914.9204{col 75}{space 3} 2545.059
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2030.658{col 34}{space 2} 402.9805{col 45}{space 1}    5.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1236.725{col 75}{space 3} 2824.592
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1630.102{col 34}{space 2} 421.6632{col 45}{space 1}    3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  799.361{col 75}{space 3} 2460.844
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1964.65{col 34}{space 2} 430.3748{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1116.745{col 75}{space 3} 2812.554
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1493.82{col 34}{space 2} 427.5355{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 651.5094{col 75}{space 3} 2336.131
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1406.116{col 34}{space 2}   460.62{col 45}{space 1}    3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 498.6234{col 75}{space 3} 2313.608
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1646.79{col 34}{space 2} 441.5439{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.8807{col 75}{space 3} 2516.699
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2044.531{col 34}{space 2} 472.9278{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1112.79{col 75}{space 3} 2976.271
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1915.006{col 34}{space 2}  492.909{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 943.8997{col 75}{space 3} 2886.113
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1899.149{col 34}{space 2} 476.7365{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 959.9051{col 75}{space 3} 2838.394
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1749.84{col 34}{space 2} 475.6241{col 45}{space 1}    3.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 812.7873{col 75}{space 3} 2686.893
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1461.448{col 34}{space 2} 540.4724{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 396.6343{col 75}{space 3} 2526.262
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 713.8763{col 34}{space 2} 493.9876{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-259.3552{col 75}{space 3} 1687.108
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1895.581{col 34}{space 2} 514.1157{col 45}{space 1}    3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 882.6941{col 75}{space 3} 2908.468
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1445.872{col 34}{space 2} 770.9623{col 45}{space 1}    1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-73.04184{col 75}{space 3} 2964.786
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   234) ={res}    5.16
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0240
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   234) ={res}    0.45
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.7189
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   234) ={res}    4.06
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0184
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.352808{col 26}{space 2} 3.032713{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-2.622102{col 67}{space 3} 9.327719
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -19.2677{col 26}{space 2} 21.39371{col 37}{space 1}   -0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.368{col 54}{space 4} -61.1986{col 67}{space 3}  22.6632
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-113.9815{col 38}-18.95772{col 49}    85{col 58} 207.9154{col 69} 529.5406
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 84,       240){col 67}= {res}      7.99
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1074383{col 30}{space 2} .0359213{col 41}{space 1}   -2.99{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.1781995{col 71}{space 3} -.036677
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000594{col 30}{space 2} .0000408{col 41}{space 1}   -1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.0001398{col 71}{space 3}  .000021
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0059514{col 30}{space 2} .0618981{col 41}{space 1}    0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.923{col 58}{space 4}-.1159816{col 71}{space 3} .1278844
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000673{col 30}{space 2} .0000965{col 41}{space 1}   -0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.486{col 58}{space 4}-.0002574{col 71}{space 3} .0001229
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3426483{col 30}{space 2} .0759475{col 41}{space 1}   -4.51{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.4922571{col 71}{space 3}-.1930395
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001337{col 30}{space 2} .0001049{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.204{col 58}{space 4} -.000073{col 71}{space 3} .0003405
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1260379{col 30}{space 2} .0678157{col 41}{space 1}   -1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.2596278{col 71}{space 3}  .007552
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001763{col 30}{space 2} .0001213{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.0000626{col 71}{space 3} .0004152
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0140955{col 30}{space 2} .0555141{col 41}{space 1}    0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.800{col 58}{space 4}-.0952616{col 71}{space 3} .1234526
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0094654{col 30}{space 2} .0518238{col 41}{space 1}   -0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.855{col 58}{space 4} -.111553{col 71}{space 3} .0926222
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0699734{col 30}{space 2} .0587914{col 41}{space 1}    1.19{col 50}{space 3}0.235{col 58}{space 4}-.0458396{col 71}{space 3} .1857864
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.060885{col 30}{space 2} .0467756{col 41}{space 1}   -1.30{col 50}{space 3}0.194{col 58}{space 4}-.1530282{col 71}{space 3} .0312582
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.052549{col 30}{space 2} .0661593{col 41}{space 1}   -0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.428{col 58}{space 4} -.182876{col 71}{space 3}  .077778
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0805515{col 30}{space 2} .0475637{col 41}{space 1}    1.69{col 50}{space 3}0.092{col 58}{space 4}-.0131442{col 71}{space 3} .1742472
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .164324{col 30}{space 2} .0784869{col 41}{space 1}    2.09{col 50}{space 3}0.037{col 58}{space 4} .0097129{col 71}{space 3} .3189351
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0197339{col 30}{space 2} .0524881{col 41}{space 1}   -0.38{col 50}{space 3}0.707{col 58}{space 4}  -.12313{col 71}{space 3} .0836622
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2610464{col 30}{space 2} .1084579{col 41}{space 1}   -2.41{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4}-.4746973{col 71}{space 3}-.0473955
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.244616{col 30}{space 2} .1063274{col 41}{space 1}   -2.30{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4}  -.45407{col 71}{space 3}-.0351619
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2237759{col 30}{space 2} .1047355{col 41}{space 1}   -2.14{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4} -.430094{col 71}{space 3}-.0174578
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0569784{col 30}{space 2} .0432658{col 41}{space 1}    1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.0282509{col 71}{space 3} .1422077
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0251076{col 30}{space 2} .1831048{col 41}{space 1}    0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.891{col 58}{space 4}-.3355902{col 71}{space 3} .3858054
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0863653{col 30}{space 2} .1785401{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.629{col 58}{space 4}-.2653405{col 71}{space 3}  .438071
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0899103{col 30}{space 2} .1947742{col 41}{space 1}   -0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.645{col 58}{space 4}-.4735955{col 71}{space 3} .2937749
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0495009{col 30}{space 2} .1612137{col 41}{space 1}   -0.31{col 50}{space 3}0.759{col 58}{space 4}-.3670753{col 71}{space 3} .2680735
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0915586{col 30}{space 2}  .433143{col 41}{space 1}    0.21{col 50}{space 3}0.833{col 58}{space 4}-.7616888{col 71}{space 3}  .944806
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0359267{col 30}{space 2} .1337052{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.788{col 58}{space 4}-.2993122{col 71}{space 3} .2274588
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4097033{col 30}{space 2} .3615608{col 41}{space 1}    1.13{col 50}{space 3}0.258{col 58}{space 4}-.3025345{col 71}{space 3} 1.121941
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0721155{col 30}{space 2}  .156395{col 41}{space 1}    0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.645{col 58}{space 4}-.2359666{col 71}{space 3} .3801976
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2060669{col 30}{space 2} .2699763{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.446{col 58}{space 4}-.3257588{col 71}{space 3} .7378926
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1080427{col 30}{space 2} .1815402{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.552{col 58}{space 4}-.2495728{col 71}{space 3} .4656582
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1143958{col 30}{space 2} .1643127{col 41}{space 1}    0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.487{col 58}{space 4}-.2092834{col 71}{space 3} .4380749
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0920743{col 30}{space 2} .1629749{col 41}{space 1}    0.56{col 50}{space 3}0.573{col 58}{space 4}-.2289695{col 71}{space 3} .4131181
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0788713{col 30}{space 2} .2870078{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.784{col 58}{space 4}-.6442473{col 71}{space 3} .4865047
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0736381{col 30}{space 2} .1778036{col 41}{space 1}    0.41{col 50}{space 3}0.679{col 58}{space 4}-.2766167{col 71}{space 3} .4238929
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2371869{col 30}{space 2} .2388776{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.322{col 58}{space 4}-.2333775{col 71}{space 3} .7077514
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2642848{col 30}{space 2} .3008071{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.381{col 58}{space 4}-.3282743{col 71}{space 3}  .856844
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7017362{col 30}{space 2} .2670987{col 41}{space 1}    2.63{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4}  .175579{col 71}{space 3} 1.227893
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5400901{col 30}{space 2} .2384214{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .0704244{col 71}{space 3} 1.009756
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1466208{col 30}{space 2} .4816544{col 41}{space 1}    0.30{col 50}{space 3}0.761{col 58}{space 4}-.8021891{col 71}{space 3} 1.095431
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4326521{col 30}{space 2} .2358476{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.068{col 58}{space 4}-.0319436{col 71}{space 3} .8972477
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9945231{col 30}{space 2} .3554828{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .2942584{col 71}{space 3} 1.694788
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .558845{col 30}{space 2} .2586175{col 41}{space 1}    2.16{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4} .0493951{col 71}{space 3} 1.068295
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7256196{col 30}{space 2} .3223235{col 41}{space 1}    2.25{col 50}{space 3}0.025{col 58}{space 4} .0906753{col 71}{space 3} 1.360564
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6599174{col 30}{space 2} .2708444{col 41}{space 1}    2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .1263817{col 71}{space 3} 1.193453
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4054715{col 30}{space 2} .2966677{col 41}{space 1}    1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.173{col 58}{space 4}-.1789335{col 71}{space 3} .9898765
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5689013{col 30}{space 2} .3299276{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.0810222{col 71}{space 3} 1.218825
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .77595{col 30}{space 2} .3238809{col 41}{space 1}    2.40{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .1379379{col 71}{space 3} 1.413962
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4930841{col 30}{space 2} .2978951{col 41}{space 1}    1.66{col 50}{space 3}0.099{col 58}{space 4}-.0937388{col 71}{space 3} 1.079907
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2246748{col 30}{space 2} .4405729{col 41}{space 1}    0.51{col 50}{space 3}0.611{col 58}{space 4}-.6432086{col 71}{space 3} 1.092558
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7004286{col 30}{space 2}  .402162{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.083{col 58}{space 4}-.0917894{col 71}{space 3} 1.492646
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4770848{col 30}{space 2} .3783425{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.209{col 58}{space 4}-.2682113{col 71}{space 3} 1.222381
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .516951{col 30}{space 2} .3566948{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4}-.1857013{col 71}{space 3} 1.219603
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7331325{col 30}{space 2} .3950807{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4} -.045136{col 71}{space 3} 1.511401
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6856046{col 30}{space 2} .3574561{col 41}{space 1}    1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0185474{col 71}{space 3} 1.389757
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.049201{col 30}{space 2} .4313154{col 41}{space 1}    2.43{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .1995537{col 71}{space 3} 1.898848
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8339756{col 30}{space 2} .4057917{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.041{col 58}{space 4} .0346074{col 71}{space 3} 1.633344
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6803898{col 30}{space 2} .3912494{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.083{col 58}{space 4}-.0903315{col 71}{space 3} 1.451111
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7696446{col 30}{space 2} .4154984{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4}-.0488447{col 71}{space 3} 1.588134
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8400318{col 30}{space 2} .4052512{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0417283{col 71}{space 3} 1.638335
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6633402{col 30}{space 2} .4090021{col 41}{space 1}    1.62{col 50}{space 3}0.106{col 58}{space 4}-.1423522{col 71}{space 3} 1.469032
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8957849{col 30}{space 2} .4325991{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0436089{col 71}{space 3} 1.747961
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8516679{col 30}{space 2} .4616543{col 41}{space 1}    1.84{col 50}{space 3}0.066{col 58}{space 4}-.0577438{col 71}{space 3}  1.76108
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.020265{col 30}{space 2} .4798485{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0750128{col 71}{space 3} 1.965518
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8752618{col 30}{space 2} .4685912{col 41}{space 1}    1.87{col 50}{space 3}0.063{col 58}{space 4}-.0478149{col 71}{space 3} 1.798339
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .934505{col 30}{space 2} .4872866{col 41}{space 1}    1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0253997{col 71}{space 3}  1.89441
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.087894{col 30}{space 2} .5328983{col 41}{space 1}    2.04{col 50}{space 3}0.042{col 58}{space 4} .0381388{col 71}{space 3} 2.137649
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.040633{col 30}{space 2}  .513698{col 41}{space 1}    2.03{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0287002{col 71}{space 3} 2.052565
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9448389{col 30}{space 2} .4965481{col 41}{space 1}    1.90{col 50}{space 3}0.058{col 58}{space 4}-.0333099{col 71}{space 3} 1.922988
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.159991{col 30}{space 2} .5198519{col 41}{space 1}    2.23{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .1359359{col 71}{space 3} 2.184046
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9919518{col 30}{space 2} .5204599{col 41}{space 1}    1.91{col 50}{space 3}0.058{col 58}{space 4} -.033301{col 71}{space 3} 2.017205
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.091123{col 30}{space 2} .5397933{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0277856{col 71}{space 3} 2.154461
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.052543{col 30}{space 2} .5575188{col 41}{space 1}    1.89{col 50}{space 3}0.060{col 58}{space 4}-.0457118{col 71}{space 3} 2.150798
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9259249{col 30}{space 2} .5524236{col 41}{space 1}    1.68{col 50}{space 3}0.095{col 58}{space 4} -.162293{col 71}{space 3} 2.014143
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.009733{col 30}{space 2} .5768342{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.081{col 58}{space 4}-.1265714{col 71}{space 3} 2.146037
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.008557{col 30}{space 2} .5851632{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.1441549{col 71}{space 3} 2.161268
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.033581{col 30}{space 2} .5951737{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.084{col 58}{space 4}-.1388503{col 71}{space 3} 2.206012
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.179407{col 30}{space 2} .6343165{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.0701318{col 71}{space 3} 2.428945
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.190782{col 30}{space 2} .6523888{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0943571{col 71}{space 3} 2.475921
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.143223{col 30}{space 2} .6412394{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.076{col 58}{space 4} -.119953{col 71}{space 3} 2.406399
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.135428{col 30}{space 2} .6347252{col 41}{space 1}    1.79{col 50}{space 3}0.075{col 58}{space 4}-.1149151{col 71}{space 3} 2.385772
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.143512{col 30}{space 2} .6541222{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.082{col 58}{space 4}-.1450414{col 71}{space 3} 2.432066
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.195889{col 30}{space 2} .6543861{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0931846{col 71}{space 3} 2.484963
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.197289{col 30}{space 2}  .656545{col 41}{space 1}    1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0960374{col 71}{space 3} 2.490615
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.304313{col 30}{space 2} .7254769{col 41}{space 1}    1.80{col 50}{space 3}0.073{col 58}{space 4}-.1248025{col 71}{space 3} 2.733428
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .401245{col 30}{space 2} .2613605{col 41}{space 1}    1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.126{col 58}{space 4}-.1136084{col 71}{space 3} .9160983
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   240) ={res}    8.95
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0031
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   240) ={res}    1.12
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.3404
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   240) ={res}    4.49
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0122
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002427{col 26}{space 2} .0001593{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-.0000711{col 67}{space 3} .0005566
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0005526{col 26}{space 2} .0003432{col 37}{space 1}   -1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.0012253{col 67}{space 3} .0001201
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.B: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-1227.273{col 38}-1010.648{col 49}    57{col 58} 2135.297{col 69}  2315.69
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       118){col 67}= {res}    145.79
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2394916{col 34}{space 2} .0615264{col 45}{space 1}   -3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3613306{col 75}{space 3}-.1176525
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4.05767{col 34}{space 2} 1.171177{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 1.738421{col 75}{space 3} 6.376919
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3748635{col 34}{space 2}  .147404{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} .0829634{col 75}{space 3} .6667636
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.297857{col 34}{space 2} 1.058906{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} .2009347{col 75}{space 3} 4.394779
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1025768{col 34}{space 2} .0843145{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.226{col 62}{space 4}-.2695426{col 75}{space 3} .0643889
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.514215{col 34}{space 2} 1.142963{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.188{col 62}{space 4}-3.777593{col 75}{space 3} .7491635
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0148482{col 34}{space 2} .1133986{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.896{col 62}{space 4}-.2097119{col 75}{space 3} .2394083
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .224932{col 34}{space 2} 1.183032{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.850{col 62}{space 4}-2.117794{col 75}{space 3} 2.567658
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.06862{col 34}{space 2} 358.8373{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.962{col 62}{space 4} -693.527{col 75}{space 3} 727.6642
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-162.6094{col 34}{space 2} 354.5639{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.647{col 62}{space 4}-864.7425{col 75}{space 3} 539.5237
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.10918{col 34}{space 2} 111.8241{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.893{col 62}{space 4}-236.5514{col 75}{space 3}  206.333
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 288.0424{col 34}{space 2} 71.41441{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 146.6224{col 75}{space 3} 429.4624
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 903.4428{col 34}{space 2} 423.0997{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.035{col 62}{space 4} 65.59027{col 75}{space 3} 1741.295
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2533.483{col 34}{space 2} 1792.165{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-6082.458{col 75}{space 3} 1015.492
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1164.821{col 34}{space 2} 730.0189{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.113{col 62}{space 4}-2610.457{col 75}{space 3} 280.8156
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5797.173{col 34}{space 2} 1394.868{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 3034.954{col 75}{space 3} 8559.392
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -52.2859{col 34}{space 2} 38.20344{col 45}{space 1}   -1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.174{col 62}{space 4}-127.9391{col 75}{space 3} 23.36732
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   -2.726{col 34}{space 2} 44.91899{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-91.67783{col 75}{space 3} 86.22583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-266.3061{col 34}{space 2} 74.26274{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-413.3665{col 75}{space 3}-119.2457
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -334.24{col 34}{space 2} 86.07386{col 45}{space 1}   -3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-504.6897{col 75}{space 3}-163.7904
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-31.71024{col 34}{space 2} 117.4665{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.788{col 62}{space 4}-264.3258{col 75}{space 3} 200.9053
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 61.76902{col 34}{space 2} 28.81618{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 4.705134{col 75}{space 3} 118.8329
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 65.32331{col 34}{space 2} 180.0344{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.717{col 62}{space 4}-291.1938{col 75}{space 3} 421.8404
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 184.3201{col 34}{space 2} 191.7643{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.338{col 62}{space 4}-195.4255{col 75}{space 3} 564.0657
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 180.4184{col 34}{space 2}  171.407{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.295{col 62}{space 4}-159.0141{col 75}{space 3} 519.8509
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 602.1337{col 34}{space 2} 182.9779{col 45}{space 1}    3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 239.7877{col 75}{space 3} 964.4798
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 325.4397{col 34}{space 2} 141.4177{col 45}{space 1}    2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} 45.39422{col 75}{space 3} 605.4852
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 554.0664{col 34}{space 2} 150.9756{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 255.0936{col 75}{space 3} 853.0391
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.7361{col 34}{space 2} 115.3844{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 170.2435{col 75}{space 3} 627.2286
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 428.1557{col 34}{space 2} 110.9666{col 45}{space 1}    3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 208.4117{col 75}{space 3} 647.8997
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.1111{col 34}{space 2} 126.0703{col 45}{space 1}    6.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 593.4577{col 75}{space 3} 1092.765
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 678.7478{col 34}{space 2} 123.5153{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 434.1539{col 75}{space 3} 923.3416
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 467.6142{col 34}{space 2} 147.2294{col 45}{space 1}    3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 176.0599{col 75}{space 3} 759.1684
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 653.3666{col 34}{space 2} 138.8222{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 378.4608{col 75}{space 3} 928.2724
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 928.1862{col 34}{space 2} 157.5279{col 45}{space 1}    5.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  616.238{col 75}{space 3} 1240.134
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 607.7068{col 34}{space 2} 146.3282{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 317.9371{col 75}{space 3} 897.4765
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.4495{col 34}{space 2} 164.2835{col 45}{space 1}    5.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 524.1234{col 75}{space 3} 1174.776
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 937.4956{col 34}{space 2} 151.0256{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 638.4238{col 75}{space 3} 1236.567
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 917.9285{col 34}{space 2} 156.4298{col 45}{space 1}    5.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  608.155{col 75}{space 3} 1227.702
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1146.219{col 34}{space 2}  162.266{col 45}{space 1}    7.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 824.8884{col 75}{space 3}  1467.55
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1173.607{col 34}{space 2} 163.0415{col 45}{space 1}    7.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 850.7406{col 75}{space 3} 1496.474
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1287.607{col 34}{space 2} 180.6963{col 45}{space 1}    7.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 929.7794{col 75}{space 3} 1645.435
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1352.612{col 34}{space 2} 198.7266{col 45}{space 1}    6.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 959.0789{col 75}{space 3} 1746.144
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1461.557{col 34}{space 2} 215.3459{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1035.114{col 75}{space 3} 1888.001
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1522.047{col 34}{space 2} 235.4561{col 45}{space 1}    6.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1055.78{col 75}{space 3} 1988.315
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1385.569{col 34}{space 2} 246.4356{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   897.56{col 75}{space 3} 1873.579
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1615.952{col 34}{space 2} 265.3703{col 45}{space 1}    6.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1090.447{col 75}{space 3} 2141.458
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1967.071{col 34}{space 2}  284.001{col 45}{space 1}    6.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1404.671{col 75}{space 3}  2529.47
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1847.19{col 34}{space 2} 308.5259{col 45}{space 1}    5.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1236.225{col 75}{space 3} 2458.156
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1365.74{col 34}{space 2} 312.9108{col 45}{space 1}    4.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 746.0912{col 75}{space 3} 1985.388
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1490.631{col 34}{space 2} 360.2644{col 45}{space 1}    4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 777.2098{col 75}{space 3} 2204.053
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1997.665{col 34}{space 2} 345.0116{col 45}{space 1}    5.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1314.448{col 75}{space 3} 2680.882
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1827.85{col 34}{space 2} 392.7721{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1050.054{col 75}{space 3} 2605.646
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2194.665{col 34}{space 2} 394.2981{col 45}{space 1}    5.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1413.847{col 75}{space 3} 2975.482
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1748.187{col 34}{space 2} 395.5159{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  964.958{col 75}{space 3} 2531.416
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1762.889{col 34}{space 2} 452.9279{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 865.9681{col 75}{space 3} 2659.809
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1914.896{col 34}{space 2} 813.7583{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} 303.4335{col 75}{space 3} 3526.359
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   118) ={res}   15.15
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   118) ={res}    2.68
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0500
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   118) ={res}    9.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.008574{col 26}{space 2} 2.664818{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.706{col 54}{space 4} -4.26849{col 67}{space 3} 6.285639
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.94285{col 26}{space 2} 4.839809{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 7.457002{col 67}{space 3}  26.4287
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res} .4878049              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res} 4.290876              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res}     13.5                      {txt}Mean          {res} 19.04453
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 18.52999
{txt}75%    {res} 25.56989           72.5
{txt}90%    {res} 48.16667       73.33333       {txt}Variance      {res} 343.3606
{txt}95%    {res} 60.83333       74.43978       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.298429
{txt}99%    {res} 74.43978       74.43978       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.021216
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 360.5272{col 26}{space 2} 102.9864{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 158.6776{col 67}{space 3} 562.3768
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-109.2568{col 38}-54.26528{col 49}    51{col 58} 210.5306{col 69} 371.9346
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 50,       124){col 67}= {res}      7.06
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1967548{col 30}{space 2}  .066058{col 41}{space 1}   -2.98{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.3275021{col 71}{space 3}-.0660075
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001993{col 30}{space 2} .0002011{col 41}{space 1}   -0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.324{col 58}{space 4}-.0005974{col 71}{space 3} .0001987
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0692893{col 30}{space 2} .0850853{col 41}{space 1}    0.81{col 50}{space 3}0.417{col 58}{space 4}-.0991183{col 71}{space 3} .2376969
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000756{col 30}{space 2} .0003196{col 41}{space 1}    0.24{col 50}{space 3}0.813{col 58}{space 4}-.0005569{col 71}{space 3} .0007081
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3025279{col 30}{space 2} .0882388{col 41}{space 1}   -3.43{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.4771771{col 71}{space 3}-.1278787
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0004662{col 30}{space 2} .0003214{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4}-.0001699{col 71}{space 3} .0011023
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1052512{col 30}{space 2} .0811802{col 41}{space 1}   -1.30{col 50}{space 3}0.197{col 58}{space 4}-.2659295{col 71}{space 3} .0554271
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0006327{col 30}{space 2} .0002975{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0000439{col 71}{space 3} .0012215
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .239336{col 30}{space 2} .1857501{col 41}{space 1}    1.29{col 50}{space 3}0.200{col 58}{space 4}-.1283154{col 71}{space 3} .6069873
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2581087{col 30}{space 2}  .178656{col 41}{space 1}   -1.44{col 50}{space 3}0.151{col 58}{space 4} -.611719{col 71}{space 3} .0955017
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0102344{col 30}{space 2} .1653437{col 41}{space 1}    0.06{col 50}{space 3}0.951{col 58}{space 4}-.3170271{col 71}{space 3} .3374958
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .020215{col 30}{space 2} .1563927{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.897{col 58}{space 4}  -.28933{col 71}{space 3} .3297599
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.456839{col 30}{space 2} .2505285{col 41}{space 1}   -1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.071{col 58}{space 4} -.952705{col 71}{space 3} .0390271
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3653634{col 30}{space 2} .2652763{col 41}{space 1}   -1.38{col 50}{space 3}0.171{col 58}{space 4}-.8904196{col 71}{space 3} .1596927
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.4359536{col 30}{space 2} .1622219{col 41}{space 1}   -2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4}-.7570363{col 71}{space 3} -.114871
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0551627{col 30}{space 2} .1920167{col 41}{space 1}   -0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.774{col 58}{space 4}-.4352174{col 71}{space 3} .3248921
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2953771{col 30}{space 2} .2699467{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.2389231{col 71}{space 3} .8296772
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4880807{col 30}{space 2} .3670895{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.186{col 58}{space 4}-.2384921{col 71}{space 3} 1.214654
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1786361{col 30}{space 2} .2971523{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.549{col 58}{space 4}-.4095116{col 71}{space 3} .7667838
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0615406{col 30}{space 2} .2820234{col 41}{space 1}   -0.22{col 50}{space 3}0.828{col 58}{space 4}-.6197439{col 71}{space 3} .4966626
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0490046{col 30}{space 2} .4124527{col 41}{space 1}    0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.906{col 58}{space 4}-.7673548{col 71}{space 3}  .865364
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1209641{col 30}{space 2} .2325807{col 41}{space 1}   -0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.604{col 58}{space 4}-.5813065{col 71}{space 3} .3393783
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4495986{col 30}{space 2} .3838922{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.244{col 58}{space 4}-.3102315{col 71}{space 3} 1.209429
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .151891{col 30}{space 2} .2449728{col 41}{space 1}    0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.536{col 58}{space 4}-.3329788{col 71}{space 3} .6367608
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3021376{col 30}{space 2} .3817272{col 41}{space 1}    0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.430{col 58}{space 4}-.4534074{col 71}{space 3} 1.057683
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2201678{col 30}{space 2} .3432201{col 41}{space 1}    0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.522{col 58}{space 4}-.4591608{col 71}{space 3} .8994964
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1985746{col 30}{space 2} .2673054{col 41}{space 1}    0.74{col 50}{space 3}0.459{col 58}{space 4}-.3304978{col 71}{space 3} .7276469
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3200288{col 30}{space 2} .3240718{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.325{col 58}{space 4}-.3213999{col 71}{space 3} .9614576
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .232831{col 30}{space 2} .4845461{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.632{col 58}{space 4}-.7262214{col 71}{space 3} 1.191883
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3241983{col 30}{space 2} .3680087{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.380{col 58}{space 4}-.4041941{col 71}{space 3} 1.052591
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .436512{col 30}{space 2} .4061005{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.285{col 58}{space 4}-.3672747{col 71}{space 3} 1.240299
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5362965{col 30}{space 2} .5233925{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.308{col 58}{space 4}-.4996439{col 71}{space 3} 1.572237
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9326871{col 30}{space 2} .5046761{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.067{col 58}{space 4}-.0662083{col 71}{space 3} 1.931583
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7494389{col 30}{space 2} .5483421{col 41}{space 1}    1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.174{col 58}{space 4}-.3358837{col 71}{space 3} 1.834761
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .385815{col 30}{space 2} .6613759{col 41}{space 1}    0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.561{col 58}{space 4}-.9232331{col 71}{space 3} 1.694863
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6631683{col 30}{space 2} .6063265{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.5369216{col 71}{space 3} 1.863258
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.286675{col 30}{space 2}  .723448{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.078{col 58}{space 4}-.1452313{col 71}{space 3} 2.718581
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9066137{col 30}{space 2} .7734654{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.243{col 58}{space 4} -.624291{col 71}{space 3} 2.437518
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.175065{col 30}{space 2} .8234208{col 41}{space 1}    1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.156{col 58}{space 4}-.4547151{col 71}{space 3} 2.804846
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.21798{col 30}{space 2} .8758846{col 41}{space 1}    1.39{col 50}{space 3}0.167{col 58}{space 4}-.5156413{col 71}{space 3}   2.9516
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.08381{col 30}{space 2} .9723009{col 41}{space 1}    1.11{col 50}{space 3}0.267{col 58}{space 4}-.8406457{col 71}{space 3} 3.008266
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.370131{col 30}{space 2} 1.092875{col 41}{space 1}    1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.212{col 58}{space 4}-.7929745{col 71}{space 3} 3.533237
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.480913{col 30}{space 2} 1.121529{col 41}{space 1}    1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.7389062{col 71}{space 3} 3.700733
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.220271{col 30}{space 2} 1.038557{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.242{col 58}{space 4}-.8353243{col 71}{space 3} 3.275867
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.233827{col 30}{space 2} 1.261275{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.330{col 58}{space 4}-1.262591{col 71}{space 3} 3.730244
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.902921{col 30}{space 2} 1.309888{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4} -.689715{col 71}{space 3} 4.495557
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.546493{col 30}{space 2} 1.264324{col 41}{space 1}    1.22{col 50}{space 3}0.224{col 58}{space 4}-.9559574{col 71}{space 3} 4.048944
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.387245{col 30}{space 2} 1.293917{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.286{col 58}{space 4}-1.173779{col 71}{space 3} 3.948269
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.679931{col 30}{space 2} 1.258572{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.184{col 58}{space 4}-.8111363{col 71}{space 3} 4.170998
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.724191{col 30}{space 2} 1.291565{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.184{col 58}{space 4}-.8321778{col 71}{space 3}  4.28056
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.227427{col 30}{space 2} 1.248117{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.327{col 58}{space 4}-1.242947{col 71}{space 3}   3.6978
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   124) ={res}    8.87
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0035
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   124) ={res}    1.89
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1345
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   124) ={res}    4.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0116
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011745{col 26}{space 2}  .000534{col 37}{space 1}    2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4} .0001176{col 67}{space 3} .0022315
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0010131{col 26}{space 2} .0010346{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.328{col 54}{space 4}-.0030409{col 67}{space 3} .0010148
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre !=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3985.879       3938.229
{txt} 5%    {res}  4394.34       3985.879
{txt}10%    {res} 4795.101       4032.346       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res} 5533.502       4032.384       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res} 6864.637                      {txt}Mean          {res} 7599.265
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2401.131
{txt}75%    {res}  9803.36        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res} 11176.03       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5765428
{txt}95%    {res} 11976.75       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3836934
{txt}99%    {res} 12302.72       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.881785
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.325666{col 26}{space 2} 4.417735{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.328{col 54}{space 4}-12.98427{col 67}{space 3} 4.332935
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.C: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-1087.132{col 38}-942.0456{col 49}    56{col 58} 1996.091{col 69} 2164.687
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,        94){col 67}= {res}     90.34
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1675487{col 34}{space 2} .0519887{col 45}{space 1}   -3.22{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-.2707735{col 75}{space 3}-.0643239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.085096{col 34}{space 2}  1.90631{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} -8.87012{col 75}{space 3}-1.300072
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0542246{col 34}{space 2} .1161457{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.642{col 62}{space 4}-.1763853{col 75}{space 3} .2848346
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0974387{col 34}{space 2} 1.618183{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-3.310379{col 75}{space 3} 3.115502
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2443096{col 34}{space 2} .0975452{col 45}{space 1}    2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} .0506314{col 75}{space 3} .4379879
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.133868{col 34}{space 2} 2.565254{col 45}{space 1}    1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.225{col 62}{space 4}-1.959504{col 75}{space 3} 8.227239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0593385{col 34}{space 2} .1573595{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-.2531025{col 75}{space 3} .3717796
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.733567{col 34}{space 2} 2.496303{col 45}{space 1}    0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.489{col 62}{space 4}-3.222902{col 75}{space 3} 6.690036
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 130.0354{col 34}{space 2} 1377.922{col 45}{space 1}    0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.925{col 62}{space 4}-2605.861{col 75}{space 3} 2865.932
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1370.655{col 34}{space 2} 2389.241{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.568{col 62}{space 4}-6114.549{col 75}{space 3} 3373.239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.01017{col 34}{space 2}  86.5729{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-132.8823{col 75}{space 3} 210.9027
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -187.292{col 34}{space 2}  82.7264{col 45}{space 1}   -2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-351.5472{col 75}{space 3}-23.03681
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1934.784{col 34}{space 2} 1510.186{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.203{col 62}{space 4}-1063.727{col 75}{space 3} 4933.294
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2792.628{col 34}{space 2} 2398.402{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.247{col 62}{space 4}-7554.712{col 75}{space 3} 1969.455
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-29315.38{col 34}{space 2} 9548.475{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} -48274.1{col 75}{space 3}-10356.66
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16973.02{col 34}{space 2} 7528.843{col 45}{space 1}    2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} 2024.328{col 75}{space 3} 31921.72
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  56.3451{col 34}{space 2} 56.78507{col 45}{space 1}    0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.324{col 62}{space 4}-56.40299{col 75}{space 3} 169.0932
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 91.26682{col 34}{space 2} 61.94534{col 45}{space 1}    1.47{col 54}{space 3}0.144{col 62}{space 4}-31.72712{col 75}{space 3} 214.2608
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.5881{col 34}{space 2} 71.12838{col 45}{space 1}   -1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-277.8151{col 75}{space 3} 4.639005
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.80189{col 34}{space 2} 76.18195{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.826{col 62}{space 4}-168.0629{col 75}{space 3} 134.4592
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.10462{col 34}{space 2} 85.87212{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.359{col 62}{space 4}-249.6057{col 75}{space 3} 91.39648
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.59273{col 34}{space 2} 103.7911{col 45}{space 1}    0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.769{col 62}{space 4}-175.4869{col 75}{space 3} 236.6724
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-325.7862{col 34}{space 2}  106.213{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-536.6747{col 75}{space 3}-114.8977
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-434.0032{col 34}{space 2} 119.5311{col 45}{space 1}   -3.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-671.3349{col 75}{space 3}-196.6715
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-131.6283{col 34}{space 2} 74.22421{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-279.0023{col 75}{space 3} 15.74557
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.9178{col 34}{space 2} 125.9207{col 45}{space 1}    3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 197.8993{col 75}{space 3} 697.9363
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-39.62632{col 34}{space 2}  145.083{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.785{col 62}{space 4} -327.692{col 75}{space 3} 248.4393
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 233.8818{col 34}{space 2} 194.3081{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-151.9215{col 75}{space 3} 619.6851
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 605.8549{col 34}{space 2} 176.2255{col 45}{space 1}    3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 255.9551{col 75}{space 3} 955.7548
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 372.4552{col 34}{space 2} 251.0392{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.141{col 62}{space 4} -125.989{col 75}{space 3} 870.8994
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 366.3794{col 34}{space 2} 186.0587{col 45}{space 1}    1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-3.044459{col 75}{space 3} 735.8033
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 332.5787{col 34}{space 2} 179.4409{col 45}{space 1}    1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-23.70541{col 75}{space 3} 688.8629
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 605.2597{col 34}{space 2}  219.541{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}  169.356{col 75}{space 3} 1041.163
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 555.9568{col 34}{space 2} 256.6562{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} 46.35998{col 75}{space 3} 1065.554
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 189.5236{col 34}{space 2} 281.3282{col 45}{space 1}    0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.502{col 62}{space 4}-369.0602{col 75}{space 3} 748.1074
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  105.185{col 34}{space 2} 232.9005{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-357.2444{col 75}{space 3} 567.6144
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 624.6386{col 34}{space 2}  260.514{col 45}{space 1}    2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}  107.382{col 75}{space 3} 1141.895
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 525.3006{col 34}{space 2} 361.9484{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-193.3564{col 75}{space 3} 1243.958
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 541.0505{col 34}{space 2} 350.1119{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.126{col 62}{space 4}-154.1048{col 75}{space 3} 1236.206
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 592.0844{col 34}{space 2} 330.3518{col 45}{space 1}    1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-63.83683{col 75}{space 3} 1248.006
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.9318{col 34}{space 2} 356.9322{col 45}{space 1}    1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.057{col 62}{space 4}-19.76552{col 75}{space 3} 1397.629
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.9225{col 34}{space 2} 350.8366{col 45}{space 1}    2.41{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 147.3282{col 75}{space 3} 1540.517
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1194.891{col 34}{space 2}  379.014{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 442.3494{col 75}{space 3} 1947.432
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 926.4785{col 34}{space 2} 422.6048{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 87.38674{col 75}{space 3}  1765.57
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1253.917{col 34}{space 2} 400.1504{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 459.4093{col 75}{space 3} 2048.425
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 888.9114{col 34}{space 2} 447.3762{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4} .6354326{col 75}{space 3} 1777.187
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 728.7224{col 34}{space 2} 469.1823{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.124{col 62}{space 4}-202.8501{col 75}{space 3} 1660.295
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 965.7583{col 34}{space 2}  433.702{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 104.6328{col 75}{space 3} 1826.884
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1414.679{col 34}{space 2}  489.383{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 442.9979{col 75}{space 3} 2386.361
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1331.912{col 34}{space 2} 545.3206{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 249.1653{col 75}{space 3} 2414.659
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1309.135{col 34}{space 2} 519.9555{col 45}{space 1}    2.52{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 276.7514{col 75}{space 3} 2341.519
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.735{col 34}{space 2} 522.7458{col 45}{space 1}    2.33{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 181.8114{col 75}{space 3} 2257.659
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 984.7705{col 34}{space 2} 630.0135{col 45}{space 1}    1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.121{col 62}{space 4}-266.1361{col 75}{space 3} 2235.677
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 177.2574{col 34}{space 2}  477.104{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.711{col 62}{space 4}-770.0438{col 75}{space 3} 1124.559
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1250.587{col 34}{space 2} 468.6647{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 320.0426{col 75}{space 3} 2181.132
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 31102.91{col 34}{space 2}  9639.86{col 45}{space 1}    3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 11962.74{col 75}{space 3} 50243.08
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,    94) ={res}   10.39
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0017
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,    94) ={res}    0.53
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.6644
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,    94) ={res}    8.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.769996{col 26}{space 2} 4.518824{col 37}{space 1}    1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-4.202236{col 67}{space 3} 13.74223
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-30.34996{col 26}{space 2} 14.42917{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-58.63061{col 67}{space 3}-2.069312
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  22.2619        22.2619
{txt} 5%    {res} 30.51587        22.2619
{txt}10%    {res} 40.06452       25.83333       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 56.68817       25.83333       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 76.58333                      {txt}Mean          {res} 71.16566
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.01031
{txt}75%    {res} 85.82796        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 94.91667       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res} 400.4125
{txt}95%    {res}       98       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.5953372
{txt}99%    {res} 99.82796            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  2.55123
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796   -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-884.3915{col 26}{space 2} 420.4629{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-1708.484{col 67}{space 3}-60.29933
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-513.1636{col 38}-457.1443{col 49}    48{col 58} 1010.289{col 69} 1154.799
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.electedjudges1 omitted because of collinearity
note: 48.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 47,       102){col 67}= {res}      6.28
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1958306{col 29}{space 2} .0708727{col 40}{space 1}   -2.76{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4}-.3364062{col 70}{space 3}-.0552549
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0024991{col 29}{space 2} .0011529{col 40}{space 1}    2.17{col 49}{space 3}0.033{col 57}{space 4} .0002124{col 70}{space 3} .0047858
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0577171{col 29}{space 2} .0853455{col 40}{space 1}   -0.68{col 49}{space 3}0.500{col 57}{space 4}-.2269995{col 70}{space 3} .1115653
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.000364{col 29}{space 2}  .002403{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.880{col 57}{space 4}-.0051304{col 70}{space 3} .0044025
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0452396{col 29}{space 2} .1153775{col 40}{space 1}   -0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.696{col 57}{space 4}-.2740905{col 70}{space 3} .1836112
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0042951{col 29}{space 2} .0025642{col 40}{space 1}    1.68{col 49}{space 3}0.097{col 57}{space 4} -.000791{col 70}{space 3} .0093811
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1144619{col 29}{space 2} .0910744{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.212{col 57}{space 4}-.2951075{col 70}{space 3} .0661838
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0036516{col 29}{space 2} .0031321{col 40}{space 1}   -1.17{col 49}{space 3}0.246{col 57}{space 4}-.0098641{col 70}{space 3} .0025608
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.35768{col 29}{space 2}  2.14111{col 40}{space 1}   -2.04{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-8.604563{col 70}{space 3}-.1107977
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.976574{col 29}{space 2} 2.692457{col 40}{space 1}    1.11{col 49}{space 3}0.272{col 57}{space 4}-2.363901{col 70}{space 3} 8.317049
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.359541{col 29}{space 2} 2.591319{col 40}{space 1}    2.45{col 49}{space 3}0.016{col 57}{space 4} 1.219672{col 70}{space 3} 11.49941
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.159942{col 29}{space 2} 2.972345{col 40}{space 1}   -1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.165{col 57}{space 4}-10.05557{col 70}{space 3} 1.735689
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.378298{col 29}{space 2} 3.385676{col 40}{space 1}   -1.59{col 49}{space 3}0.115{col 57}{space 4}-12.09377{col 70}{space 3} 1.337173
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.281779{col 29}{space 2} 3.207566{col 40}{space 1}    1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.185{col 57}{space 4}-2.080413{col 70}{space 3} 10.64397
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.927127{col 29}{space 2} 1.694828{col 40}{space 1}    1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.258{col 57}{space 4}-1.434556{col 70}{space 3} 5.288809
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.983473{col 29}{space 2} 2.140953{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.166{col 57}{space 4}-7.230042{col 70}{space 3} 1.263096
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2011986{col 29}{space 2} 1.711187{col 40}{space 1}    0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.907{col 57}{space 4}-3.192932{col 70}{space 3} 3.595329
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.441387{col 29}{space 2} 2.000181{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.225{col 57}{space 4}-6.408737{col 70}{space 3} 1.525963
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.372436{col 29}{space 2} 4.795038{col 40}{space 1}   -1.54{col 49}{space 3}0.127{col 57}{space 4}-16.88337{col 70}{space 3}   2.1385
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.20366{col 29}{space 2} 5.309794{col 40}{space 1}   -2.67{col 49}{space 3}0.009{col 57}{space 4}-24.73561{col 70}{space 3}-3.671709
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -12.1419{col 29}{space 2} 3.573314{col 40}{space 1}   -3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-19.22956{col 70}{space 3}-5.054252
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.098064{col 29}{space 2} 4.831715{col 40}{space 1}   -0.85{col 49}{space 3}0.398{col 57}{space 4}-13.68175{col 70}{space 3} 5.485619
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.94281{col 29}{space 2} 4.248851{col 40}{space 1}   -2.58{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}-19.37038{col 70}{space 3}-2.515231
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.869558{col 29}{space 2} 4.813674{col 40}{space 1}   -1.84{col 49}{space 3}0.068{col 57}{space 4}-18.41746{col 70}{space 3}  .678342
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.538581{col 29}{space 2} 4.371212{col 40}{space 1}   -2.18{col 49}{space 3}0.031{col 57}{space 4}-18.20886{col 70}{space 3} -.868302
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.736951{col 29}{space 2} 5.297049{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.281{col 57}{space 4}-16.24362{col 70}{space 3} 4.769719
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.726668{col 29}{space 2} 4.855261{col 40}{space 1}   -2.00{col 49}{space 3}0.048{col 57}{space 4}-19.35706{col 70}{space 3}-.0962801
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.65849{col 29}{space 2} 4.473342{col 40}{space 1}   -2.38{col 49}{space 3}0.019{col 57}{space 4}-19.53134{col 70}{space 3}-1.785636
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.557227{col 29}{space 2} 5.905996{col 40}{space 1}   -0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.442{col 57}{space 4}-16.27174{col 70}{space 3} 7.157288
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.301323{col 29}{space 2} 6.155411{col 40}{space 1}   -1.02{col 49}{space 3}0.308{col 57}{space 4}-18.51055{col 70}{space 3} 5.907905
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.106158{col 29}{space 2}  5.35851{col 40}{space 1}   -1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.188{col 57}{space 4}-17.73474{col 70}{space 3} 3.522421
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.568127{col 29}{space 2} 7.908307{col 40}{space 1}    0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.565{col 57}{space 4}-11.11796{col 70}{space 3} 20.25422
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.399677{col 29}{space 2} 6.411184{col 40}{space 1}   -0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.494{col 57}{space 4}-17.11623{col 70}{space 3} 8.316877
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.88668{col 29}{space 2} 7.377662{col 40}{space 1}   -0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.599{col 57}{space 4}-18.52024{col 70}{space 3} 10.74688
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.554354{col 29}{space 2} 7.494508{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.460{col 57}{space 4}-20.41968{col 70}{space 3} 9.310967
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-15.56952{col 29}{space 2} 8.928325{col 40}{space 1}   -1.74{col 49}{space 3}0.084{col 57}{space 4}-33.27881{col 70}{space 3}  2.13977
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.05982{col 29}{space 2}  8.24324{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.225{col 57}{space 4}-26.41025{col 70}{space 3} 6.290604
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.64148{col 29}{space 2} 8.874478{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.102{col 57}{space 4}-32.24396{col 70}{space 3} 2.961007
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.47609{col 29}{space 2} 8.178121{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.102{col 57}{space 4}-29.69735{col 70}{space 3} 2.745174
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.19415{col 29}{space 2} 10.61081{col 40}{space 1}   -1.15{col 49}{space 3}0.253{col 57}{space 4}-33.24064{col 70}{space 3} 8.852341
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.50689{col 29}{space 2} 8.866118{col 40}{space 1}   -1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.161{col 57}{space 4} -30.0928{col 70}{space 3}  5.07901
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -15.7639{col 29}{space 2} 10.06175{col 40}{space 1}   -1.57{col 49}{space 3}0.120{col 57}{space 4}-35.72134{col 70}{space 3}  4.19353
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.74714{col 29}{space 2} 9.781684{col 40}{space 1}   -1.30{col 49}{space 3}0.195{col 57}{space 4}-32.14907{col 70}{space 3} 6.654782
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.51423{col 29}{space 2} 10.72471{col 40}{space 1}   -1.35{col 49}{space 3}0.179{col 57}{space 4}-35.78664{col 70}{space 3}  6.75818
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.24194{col 29}{space 2} 11.15432{col 40}{space 1}   -1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.316{col 57}{space 4}-33.36648{col 70}{space 3}  10.8826
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.01004{col 29}{space 2} 10.58738{col 40}{space 1}   -1.04{col 49}{space 3}0.301{col 57}{space 4}-32.01005{col 70}{space 3} 9.989969
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.24798{col 29}{space 2}  10.2741{col 40}{space 1}   -1.29{col 49}{space 3}0.200{col 57}{space 4}-33.62661{col 70}{space 3} 7.130649
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.33193{col 29}{space 2} 15.50482{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.428{col 57}{space 4}-43.08568{col 70}{space 3} 18.42181
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   102) ={res}    7.63
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0068
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   102) ={res}    1.41
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.2456
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   102) ={res}    8.51
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002795{col 26}{space 2} .0036515{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.939{col 54}{space 4}-.0069632{col 67}{space 3} .0075221
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0127615{col 26}{space 2} .0084375{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-.0037757{col 67}{space 3} .0292986
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum  real_pc_inc_ann    if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 10063.01       10054.71
{txt} 5%    {res} 11693.49       10063.01
{txt}10%    {res} 12398.59       10330.47       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 13297.69       10405.05       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 15453.27                      {txt}Mean          {res} 15174.25
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2312.597
{txt}75%    {res} 16574.21       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 18271.44       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  5348106
{txt}95%    {res} 19043.96       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .1371925
{txt}99%    {res} 20757.53       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.753477
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69   

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 41.81328{col 26}{space 2} 27.64556{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-12.37101{col 67}{space 3} 95.99758
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(5,4) MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.A: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       576{col 27}-3988.246{col 38} -3646.03{col 49}    96{col 58}  7484.06{col 69} 7902.247
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       576
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 95,       480){col 67}= {res}     59.01
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1296661{col 34}{space 2} .0357439{col 45}{space 1}   -3.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   -.1999{col 75}{space 3}-.0594323
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.518173{col 34}{space 2} .8745439{col 45}{space 1}    2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} .7997653{col 75}{space 3}  4.23658
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1650011{col 34}{space 2} .1313112{col 45}{space 1}    1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.210{col 62}{space 4}-.0930147{col 75}{space 3}  .423017
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5544114{col 34}{space 2} 1.307784{col 45}{space 1}   -0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.672{col 62}{space 4}-3.124101{col 75}{space 3} 2.015278
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1222366{col 34}{space 2} .1023344{col 45}{space 1}    1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.233{col 62}{space 4}-.0788422{col 75}{space 3} .3233153
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.677459{col 34}{space 2} 1.356862{col 45}{space 1}   -1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4}-5.343583{col 75}{space 3}-.0113344
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0678518{col 34}{space 2} .0595382{col 45}{space 1}   -1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.255{col 62}{space 4}-.1848394{col 75}{space 3} .0491359
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.961209{col 34}{space 2} 1.274314{col 45}{space 1}   -2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}-5.465132{col 75}{space 3}-.4572852
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0990893{col 34}{space 2} .0474953{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}  .005765{col 75}{space 3} .1924136
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5862067{col 34}{space 2} 1.114332{col 45}{space 1}    0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.599{col 62}{space 4}-1.603365{col 75}{space 3} 2.775778
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-70.21928{col 34}{space 2} 255.9468{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.784{col 62}{space 4}-573.1339{col 75}{space 3} 432.6954
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 154.8008{col 34}{space 2} 318.8774{col 45}{space 1}    0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.628{col 62}{space 4}-471.7673{col 75}{space 3} 781.3688
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.39787{col 34}{space 2} 31.29683{col 45}{space 1}   -0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.455{col 62}{space 4} -84.8936{col 75}{space 3} 38.09785
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 15.41281{col 34}{space 2} 55.26146{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.780{col 62}{space 4}-93.17145{col 75}{space 3} 123.9971
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 76.09581{col 34}{space 2} 200.4138{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.704{col 62}{space 4}-317.7009{col 75}{space 3} 469.8926
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-492.3348{col 34}{space 2} 634.4404{col 45}{space 1}   -0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.438{col 62}{space 4}-1738.959{col 75}{space 3} 754.2889
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 169.8548{col 34}{space 2} 294.5741{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.564{col 62}{space 4}-408.9593{col 75}{space 3}  748.669
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2613.009{col 34}{space 2} 879.0188{col 45}{space 1}    2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 885.8084{col 75}{space 3} 4340.209
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-93.89716{col 34}{space 2} 46.93157{col 45}{space 1}   -2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4}-186.1139{col 75}{space 3} -1.68046
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  101.855{col 34}{space 2} 98.00427{col 45}{space 1}    1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.299{col 62}{space 4}-90.71542{col 75}{space 3} 294.4254
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 138.0757{col 34}{space 2} 50.31569{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 39.20945{col 75}{space 3} 236.9419
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-107.0061{col 34}{space 2} 100.8066{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.289{col 62}{space 4} -305.083{col 75}{space 3} 91.07071
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-138.4013{col 34}{space 2} 44.72758{col 45}{space 1}   -3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-226.2873{col 75}{space 3}-50.51523
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 116.0781{col 34}{space 2} 90.88441{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.202{col 62}{space 4}-62.50234{col 75}{space 3} 294.6586
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-42.10471{col 34}{space 2} 25.35653{col 45}{space 1}   -1.66{col 54}{space 3}0.097{col 62}{space 4}-91.92823{col 75}{space 3} 7.718805
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-108.6263{col 34}{space 2} 52.37533{col 45}{space 1}   -2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-211.5395{col 75}{space 3} -5.71301
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 56.84242{col 34}{space 2} 36.94442{col 45}{space 1}    1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.125{col 62}{space 4}-15.75035{col 75}{space 3} 129.4352
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-154.3369{col 34}{space 2} 48.95615{col 45}{space 1}   -3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-250.5317{col 75}{space 3}-58.14203
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 43.72302{col 34}{space 2}  39.8977{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.274{col 62}{space 4}-34.67272{col 75}{space 3} 122.1187
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.59048{col 34}{space 2}  23.2449{col 45}{space 1}   -0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.503{col 62}{space 4}-61.26482{col 75}{space 3} 30.08386
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.277426{col 34}{space 2} 34.77535{col 45}{space 1}   -0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.834{col 62}{space 4}-75.60815{col 75}{space 3}  61.0533
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-133.3019{col 34}{space 2} 49.34872{col 45}{space 1}   -2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-230.2681{col 75}{space 3} -36.3357
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 454.3385{col 34}{space 2} 87.32348{col 45}{space 1}    5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  282.755{col 75}{space 3}  625.922
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 140.2235{col 34}{space 2} 133.3582{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.294{col 62}{space 4}-121.8145{col 75}{space 3} 402.2615
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 284.8121{col 34}{space 2} 115.0594{col 45}{space 1}    2.48{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 58.72983{col 75}{space 3} 510.8944
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  442.449{col 34}{space 2}  144.135{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 159.2355{col 75}{space 3} 725.6625
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 395.4701{col 34}{space 2} 94.78691{col 45}{space 1}    4.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 209.2216{col 75}{space 3} 581.7187
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 411.9605{col 34}{space 2} 115.9987{col 45}{space 1}    3.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 184.0325{col 75}{space 3} 639.8885
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 154.7431{col 34}{space 2} 118.3511{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.192{col 62}{space 4}-77.80707{col 75}{space 3} 387.2933
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 567.7585{col 34}{space 2} 100.7803{col 45}{space 1}    5.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 369.7335{col 75}{space 3} 765.7835
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 538.8966{col 34}{space 2} 146.1263{col 45}{space 1}    3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 251.7704{col 75}{space 3} 826.0228
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 272.3352{col 34}{space 2} 125.7399{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 25.26655{col 75}{space 3} 519.4038
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 409.5116{col 34}{space 2} 130.7631{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 152.5729{col 75}{space 3} 666.4504
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  573.804{col 34}{space 2}  118.366{col 45}{space 1}    4.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 341.2244{col 75}{space 3} 806.3837
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 341.9867{col 34}{space 2}  140.839{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 65.24963{col 75}{space 3} 618.7238
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 536.8399{col 34}{space 2} 131.6367{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 278.1845{col 75}{space 3} 795.4954
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 616.6175{col 34}{space 2} 153.2697{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 315.4551{col 75}{space 3} 917.7799
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 599.9793{col 34}{space 2} 149.1463{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  306.919{col 75}{space 3} 893.0396
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 734.1629{col 34}{space 2} 154.0975{col 45}{space 1}    4.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 431.3738{col 75}{space 3} 1036.952
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 799.3286{col 34}{space 2} 168.2835{col 45}{space 1}    4.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 468.6652{col 75}{space 3} 1129.992
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 820.0631{col 34}{space 2}  180.225{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 465.9358{col 75}{space 3} 1174.191
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 792.7021{col 34}{space 2} 173.4966{col 45}{space 1}    4.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 451.7954{col 75}{space 3} 1133.609
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 878.0939{col 34}{space 2} 181.7975{col 45}{space 1}    4.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 520.8766{col 75}{space 3} 1235.311
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.4464{col 34}{space 2}  200.955{col 45}{space 1}    4.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 448.5862{col 75}{space 3} 1238.307
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 798.5345{col 34}{space 2} 192.5931{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 420.1048{col 75}{space 3} 1176.964
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  943.634{col 34}{space 2} 195.6846{col 45}{space 1}    4.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 559.1298{col 75}{space 3} 1328.138
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1190.384{col 34}{space 2} 218.0542{col 45}{space 1}    5.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 761.9252{col 75}{space 3} 1618.843
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   1186.8{col 34}{space 2} 242.1826{col 45}{space 1}    4.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 710.9313{col 75}{space 3} 1662.669
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 729.7346{col 34}{space 2} 237.6881{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 262.6969{col 75}{space 3} 1196.772
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 760.7174{col 34}{space 2} 219.2327{col 45}{space 1}    3.47{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 329.9429{col 75}{space 3} 1191.492
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1265.935{col 34}{space 2} 243.9805{col 45}{space 1}    5.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 786.5333{col 75}{space 3} 1745.337
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1093.454{col 34}{space 2} 289.8225{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 523.9761{col 75}{space 3} 1662.931
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1266.357{col 34}{space 2} 261.1964{col 45}{space 1}    4.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 753.1268{col 75}{space 3} 1779.586
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 976.2482{col 34}{space 2} 292.4595{col 45}{space 1}    3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 401.5891{col 75}{space 3} 1550.907
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 622.0512{col 34}{space 2} 255.0287{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 120.9407{col 75}{space 3} 1123.162
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1148.221{col 34}{space 2} 259.6769{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 637.9767{col 75}{space 3} 1658.464
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 992.8061{col 34}{space 2} 300.2011{col 45}{space 1}    3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 402.9354{col 75}{space 3} 1582.677
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1044.931{col 34}{space 2} 277.9366{col 45}{space 1}    3.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 498.8079{col 75}{space 3} 1591.053
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1513.843{col 34}{space 2} 293.2186{col 45}{space 1}    5.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 937.6922{col 75}{space 3} 2089.994
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1165.231{col 34}{space 2} 304.6497{col 45}{space 1}    3.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 566.6188{col 75}{space 3} 1763.843
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1155.842{col 34}{space 2} 270.4673{col 45}{space 1}    4.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 624.3958{col 75}{space 3} 1687.288
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1165.638{col 34}{space 2} 290.4907{col 45}{space 1}    4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 594.8472{col 75}{space 3} 1736.428
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1367.816{col 34}{space 2} 280.2158{col 45}{space 1}    4.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 817.2149{col 75}{space 3} 1918.417
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1356.877{col 34}{space 2} 319.7286{col 45}{space 1}    4.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 728.6363{col 75}{space 3} 1985.118
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1156.228{col 34}{space 2} 311.9161{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 543.3383{col 75}{space 3} 1769.118
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1144.781{col 34}{space 2} 301.5139{col 45}{space 1}    3.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 552.3312{col 75}{space 3} 1737.232
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1516.106{col 34}{space 2} 300.6255{col 45}{space 1}    5.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  925.401{col 75}{space 3}  2106.81
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1225.475{col 34}{space 2} 341.1176{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 555.2067{col 75}{space 3} 1895.743
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1438.796{col 34}{space 2} 310.4124{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 828.8609{col 75}{space 3} 2048.731
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1381.543{col 34}{space 2} 337.4169{col 45}{space 1}    4.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 718.5467{col 75}{space 3}  2044.54
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1379.014{col 34}{space 2} 321.9761{col 45}{space 1}    4.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 746.3573{col 75}{space 3} 2011.671
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1536.828{col 34}{space 2} 339.8478{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 869.0552{col 75}{space 3} 2204.602
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1722.596{col 34}{space 2} 333.8032{col 45}{space 1}    5.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1066.699{col 75}{space 3} 2378.492
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1394.563{col 34}{space 2} 369.6318{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 668.2667{col 75}{space 3} 2120.859
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1613.383{col 34}{space 2} 341.3453{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  942.667{col 75}{space 3} 2284.099
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1634.858{col 34}{space 2} 387.5712{col 45}{space 1}    4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 873.3117{col 75}{space 3} 2396.403
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1398.711{col 34}{space 2} 359.5479{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 692.2291{col 75}{space 3} 2105.194
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1531.093{col 34}{space 2} 367.7691{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 808.4569{col 75}{space 3}  2253.73
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1766.756{col 34}{space 2} 400.7128{col 45}{space 1}    4.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 979.3882{col 75}{space 3} 2554.124
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1645.573{col 34}{space 2} 412.8295{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 834.3963{col 75}{space 3} 2456.749
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1951.562{col 34}{space 2} 427.5702{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1111.421{col 75}{space 3} 2791.702
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1804.625{col 34}{space 2} 436.7916{col 45}{space 1}    4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 946.3653{col 75}{space 3} 2662.885
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1693.676{col 34}{space 2} 470.2819{col 45}{space 1}    3.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 769.6101{col 75}{space 3} 2617.741
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1063.053{col 34}{space 2} 370.3203{col 45}{space 1}    2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 335.4039{col 75}{space 3} 1790.702
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1812.272{col 34}{space 2} 392.5478{col 45}{space 1}    4.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1040.947{col 75}{space 3} 2583.596
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  72.4383{col 34}{space 2} 305.6511{col 45}{space 1}    0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.813{col 62}{space 4}-528.1413{col 75}{space 3} 673.0179
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,763 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   480) ={res}   13.16
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0003
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = l3.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,   480) ={res}    2.38
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0512
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   480) ={res}    6.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0015
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.606872{col 26}{space 2} 3.201113{col 37}{space 1}   -1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4} -11.8968{col 67}{space 3} .6830546
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 19.42044{col 26}{space 2} 4.535379{col 37}{space 1}    4.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 10.53126{col 67}{space 3} 28.30961
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       585{col 27}-197.0481{col 38}-106.1916{col 49}    89{col 58} 390.3833{col 69} 779.4567
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ****** PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       585
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 88,       496){col 67}= {res}      5.54
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.041074{col 30}{space 2} .0175792{col 41}{space 1}   -2.34{col 50}{space 3}0.020{col 58}{space 4}-.0756129{col 71}{space 3}-.0065351
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-3.31e-06{col 30}{space 2} .0000233{col 41}{space 1}   -0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.887{col 58}{space 4}-.0000491{col 71}{space 3} .0000424
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.069382{col 30}{space 2} .0805045{col 41}{space 1}   -0.86{col 50}{space 3}0.389{col 58}{space 4}-.2275538{col 71}{space 3} .0887899
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000527{col 30}{space 2} .0000642{col 41}{space 1}   -0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.412{col 58}{space 4}-.0001787{col 71}{space 3} .0000734
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2030833{col 30}{space 2} .0593162{col 41}{space 1}   -3.42{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.3196252{col 71}{space 3}-.0865413
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 8.23e-06{col 30}{space 2} .0000714{col 41}{space 1}    0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.908{col 58}{space 4}-.0001321{col 71}{space 3} .0001485
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0956591{col 30}{space 2} .0454737{col 41}{space 1}   -2.10{col 50}{space 3}0.036{col 58}{space 4}-.1850039{col 71}{space 3}-.0063142
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 5.92e-06{col 30}{space 2} .0000775{col 41}{space 1}    0.08{col 50}{space 3}0.939{col 58}{space 4}-.0001463{col 71}{space 3} .0001582
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0669209{col 30}{space 2} .0402541{col 41}{space 1}   -1.66{col 50}{space 3}0.097{col 58}{space 4}-.1460104{col 71}{space 3} .0121686
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0175006{col 30}{space 2}  .053019{col 41}{space 1}   -0.33{col 50}{space 3}0.741{col 58}{space 4}-.1216702{col 71}{space 3}  .086669
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1007507{col 30}{space 2} .0448094{col 41}{space 1}    2.25{col 50}{space 3}0.025{col 58}{space 4}  .012711{col 71}{space 3} .1887904
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0045169{col 30}{space 2} .0575319{col 41}{space 1}    0.08{col 50}{space 3}0.937{col 58}{space 4}-.1085194{col 71}{space 3} .1175533
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0865017{col 30}{space 2} .0509027{col 41}{space 1}   -1.70{col 50}{space 3}0.090{col 58}{space 4}-.1865131{col 71}{space 3} .0135097
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0393799{col 30}{space 2} .0638935{col 41}{space 1}   -0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.538{col 58}{space 4}-.1649152{col 71}{space 3} .0861553
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0351266{col 30}{space 2}  .041386{col 41}{space 1}    0.85{col 50}{space 3}0.396{col 58}{space 4}-.0461869{col 71}{space 3} .1164401
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .024721{col 30}{space 2} .0408623{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.545{col 58}{space 4}-.0555636{col 71}{space 3} .1050056
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0149515{col 30}{space 2} .0657633{col 41}{space 1}   -0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.820{col 58}{space 4}-.1441605{col 71}{space 3} .1142576
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0165445{col 30}{space 2} .0669231{col 41}{space 1}    0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.805{col 58}{space 4}-.1149433{col 71}{space 3} .1480323
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .019588{col 30}{space 2}   .05934{col 41}{space 1}    0.33{col 50}{space 3}0.741{col 58}{space 4}-.0970007{col 71}{space 3} .1361768
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .013484{col 30}{space 2} .0709872{col 41}{space 1}    0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.849{col 58}{space 4}-.1259886{col 71}{space 3} .1529567
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0347199{col 30}{space 2}  .067597{col 41}{space 1}    0.51{col 50}{space 3}0.608{col 58}{space 4}-.0980919{col 71}{space 3} .1675316
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .088704{col 30}{space 2} .0931643{col 41}{space 1}    0.95{col 50}{space 3}0.341{col 58}{space 4}-.0943414{col 71}{space 3} .2717494
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0446577{col 30}{space 2} .0723201{col 41}{space 1}    0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.537{col 58}{space 4}-.0974338{col 71}{space 3} .1867492
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0100334{col 30}{space 2}  .065797{col 41}{space 1}   -0.15{col 50}{space 3}0.879{col 58}{space 4}-.1393086{col 71}{space 3} .1192417
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0354674{col 30}{space 2} .0710959{col 41}{space 1}   -0.50{col 50}{space 3}0.618{col 58}{space 4}-.1751536{col 71}{space 3} .1042188
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0044489{col 30}{space 2} .0892034{col 41}{space 1}   -0.05{col 50}{space 3}0.960{col 58}{space 4}-.1797119{col 71}{space 3} .1708142
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2190231{col 30}{space 2} .1382022{col 41}{space 1}   -1.58{col 50}{space 3}0.114{col 58}{space 4} -.490557{col 71}{space 3} .0525108
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0773654{col 30}{space 2} .0799624{col 41}{space 1}   -0.97{col 50}{space 3}0.334{col 58}{space 4}-.2344723{col 71}{space 3} .0797414
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .01664{col 30}{space 2} .0849658{col 41}{space 1}    0.20{col 50}{space 3}0.845{col 58}{space 4}-.1502974{col 71}{space 3} .1835773
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0246871{col 30}{space 2} .0700087{col 41}{space 1}   -0.35{col 50}{space 3}0.725{col 58}{space 4}-.1622372{col 71}{space 3}  .112863
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0870766{col 30}{space 2} .0929363{col 41}{space 1}    0.94{col 50}{space 3}0.349{col 58}{space 4}-.0955207{col 71}{space 3}  .269674
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0278599{col 30}{space 2} .0648146{col 41}{space 1}   -0.43{col 50}{space 3}0.667{col 58}{space 4}-.1552049{col 71}{space 3}  .099485
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0396135{col 30}{space 2} .1554718{col 41}{space 1}   -0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.799{col 58}{space 4} -.345078{col 71}{space 3} .2658511
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0108716{col 30}{space 2} .0929855{col 41}{space 1}   -0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.907{col 58}{space 4}-.1935657{col 71}{space 3} .1718226
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0449054{col 30}{space 2} .1057208{col 41}{space 1}   -0.42{col 50}{space 3}0.671{col 58}{space 4}-.2526213{col 71}{space 3} .1628105
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0112358{col 30}{space 2} .0804402{col 41}{space 1}   -0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.889{col 58}{space 4}-.1692814{col 71}{space 3} .1468098
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3683628{col 30}{space 2} .2146645{col 41}{space 1}   -1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.087{col 58}{space 4}-.7901268{col 71}{space 3} .0534011
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0770819{col 30}{space 2} .0945298{col 41}{space 1}   -0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.415{col 58}{space 4}-.2628102{col 71}{space 3} .1086463
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .052552{col 30}{space 2} .1058102{col 41}{space 1}    0.50{col 50}{space 3}0.620{col 58}{space 4}-.1553396{col 71}{space 3} .2604435
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0253179{col 30}{space 2} .0978562{col 41}{space 1}   -0.26{col 50}{space 3}0.796{col 58}{space 4}-.2175817{col 71}{space 3} .1669459
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .260279{col 30}{space 2} .1712624{col 41}{space 1}    1.52{col 50}{space 3}0.129{col 58}{space 4}-.0762102{col 71}{space 3} .5967682
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3134712{col 30}{space 2} .1736655{col 41}{space 1}    1.81{col 50}{space 3}0.072{col 58}{space 4}-.0277396{col 71}{space 3}  .654682
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0417699{col 30}{space 2}  .179073{col 41}{space 1}    0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.816{col 58}{space 4}-.3100654{col 71}{space 3} .3936051
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4684153{col 30}{space 2} .2212908{col 41}{space 1}    2.12{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0336324{col 71}{space 3} .9031982
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6966441{col 30}{space 2}  .337151{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4}  .034224{col 71}{space 3} 1.359064
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1641557{col 30}{space 2} .2995825{col 41}{space 1}   -0.55{col 50}{space 3}0.584{col 58}{space 4}-.7527629{col 71}{space 3} .4244515
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2140661{col 30}{space 2} .1827081{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.242{col 58}{space 4}-.1449112{col 71}{space 3} .5730434
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4393449{col 30}{space 2} .2069271{col 41}{space 1}    2.12{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4} .0327833{col 71}{space 3} .8459066
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0250776{col 30}{space 2} .1257569{col 41}{space 1}    0.20{col 50}{space 3}0.842{col 58}{space 4}-.2220043{col 71}{space 3} .2721595
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1661469{col 30}{space 2} .1882574{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.378{col 58}{space 4}-.2037334{col 71}{space 3} .5360272
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1830272{col 30}{space 2} .1578862{col 41}{space 1}    1.16{col 50}{space 3}0.247{col 58}{space 4}-.1271809{col 71}{space 3} .4932354
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0065799{col 30}{space 2} .1480899{col 41}{space 1}   -0.04{col 50}{space 3}0.965{col 58}{space 4}-.2975408{col 71}{space 3}  .284381
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1667724{col 30}{space 2}  .217954{col 41}{space 1}   -0.77{col 50}{space 3}0.445{col 58}{space 4}-.5949993{col 71}{space 3} .2614546
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0233628{col 30}{space 2} .1597608{col 41}{space 1}    0.15{col 50}{space 3}0.884{col 58}{space 4}-.2905286{col 71}{space 3} .3372542
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2846943{col 30}{space 2} .3268247{col 41}{space 1}    0.87{col 50}{space 3}0.384{col 58}{space 4}-.3574372{col 71}{space 3} .9268259
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .048098{col 30}{space 2} .1497008{col 41}{space 1}    0.32{col 50}{space 3}0.748{col 58}{space 4}-.2460278{col 71}{space 3} .3422239
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2257259{col 30}{space 2} .1824871{col 41}{space 1}    1.24{col 50}{space 3}0.217{col 58}{space 4}-.1328171{col 71}{space 3} .5842688
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1093967{col 30}{space 2}  .153723{col 41}{space 1}    0.71{col 50}{space 3}0.477{col 58}{space 4}-.1926318{col 71}{space 3} .4114252
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2160096{col 30}{space 2} .1672059{col 41}{space 1}    1.29{col 50}{space 3}0.197{col 58}{space 4}-.1125096{col 71}{space 3} .5445288
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1008652{col 30}{space 2} .1737747{col 41}{space 1}    0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.562{col 58}{space 4}  -.24056{col 71}{space 3} .4422904
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2305725{col 30}{space 2} .2506262{col 41}{space 1}    0.92{col 50}{space 3}0.358{col 58}{space 4}-.2618474{col 71}{space 3} .7229923
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1406568{col 30}{space 2} .1831355{col 41}{space 1}    0.77{col 50}{space 3}0.443{col 58}{space 4}-.2191602{col 71}{space 3} .5004738
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4095884{col 30}{space 2} .2205686{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.0237756{col 71}{space 3} .8429523
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0951453{col 30}{space 2} .1699701{col 41}{space 1}    0.56{col 50}{space 3}0.576{col 58}{space 4}-.2388049{col 71}{space 3} .4290956
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2919282{col 30}{space 2} .2035303{col 41}{space 1}    1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.152{col 58}{space 4}-.1079597{col 71}{space 3} .6918161
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1678961{col 30}{space 2} .1863603{col 41}{space 1}    0.90{col 50}{space 3}0.368{col 58}{space 4}-.1982569{col 71}{space 3}  .534049
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1757488{col 30}{space 2} .2025875{col 41}{space 1}    0.87{col 50}{space 3}0.386{col 58}{space 4}-.2222867{col 71}{space 3} .5737843
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1537934{col 30}{space 2} .1931277{col 41}{space 1}    0.80{col 50}{space 3}0.426{col 58}{space 4}-.2256557{col 71}{space 3} .5332426
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1527839{col 30}{space 2} .1996791{col 41}{space 1}    0.77{col 50}{space 3}0.445{col 58}{space 4}-.2395373{col 71}{space 3} .5451051
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1526552{col 30}{space 2} .2070292{col 41}{space 1}    0.74{col 50}{space 3}0.461{col 58}{space 4} -.254107{col 71}{space 3} .5594175
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1716528{col 30}{space 2}  .215389{col 41}{space 1}    0.80{col 50}{space 3}0.426{col 58}{space 4}-.2515346{col 71}{space 3} .5948401
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1592551{col 30}{space 2} .2047541{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.437{col 58}{space 4}-.2430372{col 71}{space 3} .5615473
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3793003{col 30}{space 2} .2156936{col 41}{space 1}    1.76{col 50}{space 3}0.079{col 58}{space 4}-.0444855{col 71}{space 3}  .803086
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .253261{col 30}{space 2} .2182111{col 41}{space 1}    1.16{col 50}{space 3}0.246{col 58}{space 4} -.175471{col 71}{space 3}  .681993
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2284008{col 30}{space 2}  .221133{col 41}{space 1}    1.03{col 50}{space 3}0.302{col 58}{space 4}-.2060721{col 71}{space 3} .6628737
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2162331{col 30}{space 2}   .23015{col 41}{space 1}    0.94{col 50}{space 3}0.348{col 58}{space 4}-.2359561{col 71}{space 3} .6684223
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .166882{col 30}{space 2} .2395987{col 41}{space 1}    0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.486{col 58}{space 4}-.3038715{col 71}{space 3} .6376356
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1847821{col 30}{space 2} .2315821{col 41}{space 1}    0.80{col 50}{space 3}0.425{col 58}{space 4}-.2702208{col 71}{space 3}  .639785
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2418279{col 30}{space 2} .2507467{col 41}{space 1}    0.96{col 50}{space 3}0.335{col 58}{space 4}-.2508287{col 71}{space 3} .7344845
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1681885{col 30}{space 2} .2452448{col 41}{space 1}    0.69{col 50}{space 3}0.493{col 58}{space 4}-.3136582{col 71}{space 3} .6500351
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2579555{col 30}{space 2} .2503516{col 41}{space 1}    1.03{col 50}{space 3}0.303{col 58}{space 4}-.2339248{col 71}{space 3} .7498358
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2128353{col 30}{space 2} .2596172{col 41}{space 1}    0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.413{col 58}{space 4}-.2972497{col 71}{space 3} .7229204
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2263634{col 30}{space 2} .2663122{col 41}{space 1}    0.85{col 50}{space 3}0.396{col 58}{space 4}-.2968757{col 71}{space 3} .7496024
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2254171{col 30}{space 2} .2662042{col 41}{space 1}    0.85{col 50}{space 3}0.398{col 58}{space 4}-.2976099{col 71}{space 3} .7484441
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2116049{col 30}{space 2} .2825007{col 41}{space 1}    0.75{col 50}{space 3}0.454{col 58}{space 4}-.3434406{col 71}{space 3} .7666505
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2010139{col 30}{space 2} .2752386{col 41}{space 1}    0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.466{col 58}{space 4}-.3397634{col 71}{space 3} .7417912
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1507347{col 30}{space 2} .2827069{col 41}{space 1}    0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.594{col 58}{space 4} -.404716{col 71}{space 3} .7061855
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2182435{col 30}{space 2}  .291897{col 41}{space 1}    0.75{col 50}{space 3}0.455{col 58}{space 4}-.3552635{col 71}{space 3} .7917505
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0393002{col 30}{space 2}  .142525{col 41}{space 1}    0.28{col 50}{space 3}0.783{col 58}{space 4}-.2407269{col 71}{space 3} .3193273
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,754 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   496) ={res}    5.46
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0199
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   496) ={res}    0.24
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.8655
{txt}
{com}. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   496) ={res}    2.75
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0651
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000385{col 26}{space 2} .0001306{col 37}{space 1}   -0.29{col 46}{space 3}0.768{col 54}{space 4}-.0002951{col 67}{space 3} .0002181
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000806{col 26}{space 2} .0005687{col 37}{space 1}   -0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.887{col 54}{space 4}-.0011952{col 67}{space 3}  .001034
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.B: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       315{col 27}-2180.656{col 38}-1886.803{col 49}    63{col 58} 3899.605{col 69} 4136.017
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       315
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 62,       252){col 67}= {res}    106.80
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2630431{col 34}{space 2} .0782654{col 45}{space 1}   -3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.4171807{col 75}{space 3}-.1089054
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.410259{col 34}{space 2} .8158683{col 45}{space 1}    1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}  -.19653{col 75}{space 3} 3.017049
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2511815{col 34}{space 2} .0753975{col 45}{space 1}    3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .1026919{col 75}{space 3} .3996711
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.265912{col 34}{space 2} 1.228223{col 45}{space 1}   -1.84{col 54}{space 3}0.066{col 62}{space 4}-4.684802{col 75}{space 3} .1529778
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0971749{col 34}{space 2} .0599476{col 45}{space 1}   -1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-.2152371{col 75}{space 3} .0208872
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.000056{col 34}{space 2} 1.299957{col 45}{space 1}   -0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.442{col 62}{space 4} -3.56022{col 75}{space 3} 1.560107
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1060946{col 34}{space 2} .0595691{col 45}{space 1}   -1.78{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-.2234113{col 75}{space 3} .0112221
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.436804{col 34}{space 2} 1.201176{col 45}{space 1}   -1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.233{col 62}{space 4}-3.802427{col 75}{space 3}  .928818
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -19.769{col 34}{space 2}   219.41{col 45}{space 1}   -0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.928{col 62}{space 4}-451.8799{col 75}{space 3} 412.3419
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-94.45537{col 34}{space 2} 255.5978{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.712{col 62}{space 4}-597.8354{col 75}{space 3} 408.9247
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.785671{col 34}{space 2} 56.53395{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.975{col 62}{space 4}-113.1249{col 75}{space 3} 109.5536
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5678123{col 34}{space 2}   71.823{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.994{col 62}{space 4} -140.882{col 75}{space 3} 142.0176
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -810.272{col 34}{space 2} 276.0985{col 45}{space 1}   -2.93{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-1354.027{col 75}{space 3}-266.5175
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 718.6445{col 34}{space 2} 502.0888{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.154{col 62}{space 4}-270.1805{col 75}{space 3} 1707.469
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 312.7489{col 34}{space 2} 457.1821{col 45}{space 1}    0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.495{col 62}{space 4}-587.6358{col 75}{space 3} 1213.134
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2457.586{col 34}{space 2} 583.5261{col 45}{space 1}    4.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1308.376{col 75}{space 3} 3606.795
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 88.42416{col 34}{space 2} 33.10478{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 23.22686{col 75}{space 3} 153.6215
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-104.5998{col 34}{space 2} 34.21183{col 45}{space 1}   -3.06{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-171.9773{col 75}{space 3}-37.22224
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-35.87302{col 34}{space 2}  43.9629{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.415{col 62}{space 4}-122.4546{col 75}{space 3}  50.7085
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 63.83328{col 34}{space 2} 45.75851{col 45}{space 1}    1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.164{col 62}{space 4}-26.28455{col 75}{space 3} 153.9511
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.48638{col 34}{space 2}  44.5551{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.679{col 62}{space 4}-106.2342{col 75}{space 3} 69.26143
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 57.36216{col 34}{space 2} 69.98003{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.413{col 62}{space 4}-80.45808{col 75}{space 3} 195.1824
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 195.3916{col 34}{space 2} 58.62413{col 45}{space 1}    3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 79.93592{col 75}{space 3} 310.8473
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-214.5699{col 34}{space 2} 76.88305{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-365.9851{col 75}{space 3}-63.15473
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 404.9467{col 34}{space 2} 72.81397{col 45}{space 1}    5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 261.5452{col 75}{space 3} 548.3481
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-40.27638{col 34}{space 2} 33.69084{col 45}{space 1}   -1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.233{col 62}{space 4}-106.6279{col 75}{space 3} 26.07511
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  65.1798{col 34}{space 2} 41.50426{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.118{col 62}{space 4}-16.55961{col 75}{space 3} 146.9192
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.49031{col 34}{space 2} 71.36566{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.753{col 62}{space 4}-118.0588{col 75}{space 3} 163.0394
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 121.3688{col 34}{space 2} 85.71594{col 45}{space 1}    1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-47.44209{col 75}{space 3} 290.1797
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 387.7459{col 34}{space 2} 108.4454{col 45}{space 1}    3.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 174.1711{col 75}{space 3} 601.3207
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-11.59538{col 34}{space 2} 111.2622{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.917{col 62}{space 4}-230.7176{col 75}{space 3} 207.5268
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 203.3745{col 34}{space 2} 83.21991{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 39.47936{col 75}{space 3} 367.2697
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 331.8768{col 34}{space 2} 83.13737{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 168.1442{col 75}{space 3} 495.6094
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 416.1705{col 34}{space 2} 76.36553{col 45}{space 1}    5.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 265.7745{col 75}{space 3} 566.5665
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 450.1872{col 34}{space 2} 70.21633{col 45}{space 1}    6.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 311.9016{col 75}{space 3} 588.4728
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 223.7493{col 34}{space 2} 71.26844{col 45}{space 1}    3.14{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 83.39161{col 75}{space 3} 364.1069
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 665.9906{col 34}{space 2} 83.78971{col 45}{space 1}    7.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 500.9733{col 75}{space 3} 831.0079
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 574.6504{col 34}{space 2} 93.02127{col 45}{space 1}    6.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 391.4522{col 75}{space 3} 757.8485
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 425.8129{col 34}{space 2} 105.8728{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 217.3047{col 75}{space 3}  634.321
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 530.2605{col 34}{space 2} 106.9862{col 45}{space 1}    4.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 319.5596{col 75}{space 3} 740.9614
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 695.0897{col 34}{space 2} 114.3036{col 45}{space 1}    6.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 469.9777{col 75}{space 3} 920.2016
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 485.0912{col 34}{space 2} 128.1721{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 232.6662{col 75}{space 3} 737.5162
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 685.0498{col 34}{space 2} 132.6692{col 45}{space 1}    5.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 423.7681{col 75}{space 3} 946.3316
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 731.9713{col 34}{space 2} 135.8302{col 45}{space 1}    5.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 464.4643{col 75}{space 3} 999.4784
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 777.8867{col 34}{space 2} 146.8045{col 45}{space 1}    5.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 488.7666{col 75}{space 3} 1067.007
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 928.8726{col 34}{space 2} 155.2804{col 45}{space 1}    5.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 623.0599{col 75}{space 3} 1234.685
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1054.283{col 34}{space 2} 170.3552{col 45}{space 1}    6.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 718.7816{col 75}{space 3} 1389.784
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1127.768{col 34}{space 2}  189.177{col 45}{space 1}    5.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 755.1982{col 75}{space 3} 1500.337
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1198.404{col 34}{space 2} 209.4524{col 45}{space 1}    5.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 785.9038{col 75}{space 3} 1610.904
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1291.975{col 34}{space 2} 229.5608{col 45}{space 1}    5.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 839.8726{col 75}{space 3} 1744.077
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1298.255{col 34}{space 2} 266.0653{col 45}{space 1}    4.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 774.2597{col 75}{space 3}  1822.25
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1309.449{col 34}{space 2}  281.235{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 755.5786{col 75}{space 3}  1863.32
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1437.147{col 34}{space 2} 298.7208{col 45}{space 1}    4.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 848.8396{col 75}{space 3} 2025.455
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1713.422{col 34}{space 2} 326.1609{col 45}{space 1}    5.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1071.074{col 75}{space 3} 2355.771
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1795.684{col 34}{space 2} 352.9706{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1100.535{col 75}{space 3} 2490.832
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1439.348{col 34}{space 2} 366.8432{col 45}{space 1}    3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 716.8789{col 75}{space 3} 2161.817
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1531.156{col 34}{space 2}  379.698{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 783.3701{col 75}{space 3} 2278.942
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1934.247{col 34}{space 2} 395.2617{col 45}{space 1}    4.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1155.809{col 75}{space 3} 2712.684
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1734.664{col 34}{space 2} 415.2182{col 45}{space 1}    4.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 916.9245{col 75}{space 3} 2552.404
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1999.372{col 34}{space 2} 438.3223{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1136.13{col 75}{space 3} 2862.614
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1755.961{col 34}{space 2} 443.5133{col 45}{space 1}    3.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 882.4958{col 75}{space 3} 2629.426
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1492.446{col 34}{space 2} 448.5109{col 45}{space 1}    3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 609.1389{col 75}{space 3} 2375.754
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 577.5734{col 34}{space 2} 434.2181{col 45}{space 1}    1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.185{col 62}{space 4}-277.5854{col 75}{space 3} 1432.732
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,024 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   252) ={res}   11.30
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0009
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   252) ={res}    2.31
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0767
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   252) ={res}    5.76
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0036
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.702773{col 26}{space 2} 2.081293{col 37}{space 1}   -2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}-8.801717{col 67}{space 3}-.6038291
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.361325{col 26}{space 2} 2.445997{col 37}{space 1}    2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4} .5672587{col 67}{space 3} 10.15539
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        315
{txt}25%    {res} .9433962              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        315

{txt}50%    {res} 8.571429                      {txt}Mean          {res} 23.94992
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  26.1022
{txt}75%    {res} 44.05263       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res} 65.65657       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 681.3247
{txt}95%    {res} 75.75758       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} .7897964
{txt}99%    {res} 86.86869       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.376814
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 231.1226{col 26}{space 2} 105.4451{col 37}{space 1}    2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4} 24.45409{col 67}{space 3} 437.7911
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       315{col 27}-184.4023{col 38}-127.5152{col 49}    57{col 58} 369.0303{col 69}  582.927
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       315
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       258){col 67}= {res}      4.23
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1073443{col 30}{space 2} .0479669{col 41}{space 1}   -2.24{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4}-.2018008{col 71}{space 3}-.0128879
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0002226{col 30}{space 2} .0001646{col 41}{space 1}   -1.35{col 50}{space 3}0.177{col 58}{space 4}-.0005468{col 71}{space 3} .0001015
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0246492{col 30}{space 2} .1023902{col 41}{space 1}   -0.24{col 50}{space 3}0.810{col 58}{space 4}-.2262762{col 71}{space 3} .1769778
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0003231{col 30}{space 2}  .000154{col 41}{space 1}   -2.10{col 50}{space 3}0.037{col 58}{space 4}-.0006264{col 71}{space 3}-.0000198
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.206536{col 30}{space 2} .0654506{col 41}{space 1}   -3.16{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4}-.3354215{col 71}{space 3}-.0776506
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002074{col 30}{space 2} .0002061{col 41}{space 1}    1.01{col 50}{space 3}0.315{col 58}{space 4}-.0001985{col 71}{space 3} .0006133
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0790222{col 30}{space 2} .0576328{col 41}{space 1}   -1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.172{col 58}{space 4}-.1925128{col 71}{space 3} .0344684
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000135{col 30}{space 2} .0002024{col 41}{space 1}   -0.07{col 50}{space 3}0.947{col 58}{space 4}-.0004121{col 71}{space 3} .0003851
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0862782{col 30}{space 2} .1263139{col 41}{space 1}    0.68{col 50}{space 3}0.495{col 58}{space 4}-.1624593{col 71}{space 3} .3350157
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.234065{col 30}{space 2} .1110455{col 41}{space 1}   -2.11{col 50}{space 3}0.036{col 58}{space 4}-.4527359{col 71}{space 3}-.0153941
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0446709{col 30}{space 2} .1324241{col 41}{space 1}    0.34{col 50}{space 3}0.736{col 58}{space 4}-.2160988{col 71}{space 3} .3054405
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1711977{col 30}{space 2} .1178186{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.0608109{col 71}{space 3} .4032064
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2252734{col 30}{space 2} .1573301{col 41}{space 1}   -1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.153{col 58}{space 4} -.535088{col 71}{space 3} .0845413
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1219225{col 30}{space 2} .1108208{col 41}{space 1}    1.10{col 50}{space 3}0.272{col 58}{space 4} -.096306{col 71}{space 3}  .340151
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0036528{col 30}{space 2}  .098705{col 41}{space 1}    0.04{col 50}{space 3}0.971{col 58}{space 4}-.1907172{col 71}{space 3} .1980229
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4506684{col 30}{space 2} .2216882{col 41}{space 1}    2.03{col 50}{space 3}0.043{col 58}{space 4} .0141197{col 71}{space 3} .8872171
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1680945{col 30}{space 2} .1380545{col 41}{space 1}    1.22{col 50}{space 3}0.224{col 58}{space 4}-.1037625{col 71}{space 3} .4399515
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1325504{col 30}{space 2} .1614286{col 41}{space 1}   -0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.412{col 58}{space 4}-.4504358{col 71}{space 3} .1853349
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5997854{col 30}{space 2} .2827184{col 41}{space 1}    2.12{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4}  .043056{col 71}{space 3} 1.156515
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0968626{col 30}{space 2} .1865969{col 41}{space 1}   -0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.604{col 58}{space 4}-.4643095{col 71}{space 3} .2705843
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4602537{col 30}{space 2} .2118938{col 41}{space 1}    2.17{col 50}{space 3}0.031{col 58}{space 4} .0429922{col 71}{space 3} .8775152
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4713651{col 30}{space 2} .2257037{col 41}{space 1}    2.09{col 50}{space 3}0.038{col 58}{space 4} .0269091{col 71}{space 3} .9158211
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0076876{col 30}{space 2} .1585897{col 41}{space 1}   -0.05{col 50}{space 3}0.961{col 58}{space 4}-.3199827{col 71}{space 3} .3046075
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .065326{col 30}{space 2} .2188977{col 41}{space 1}    0.30{col 50}{space 3}0.766{col 58}{space 4}-.3657276{col 71}{space 3} .4963797
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2940753{col 30}{space 2} .1913481{col 41}{space 1}   -1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.126{col 58}{space 4}-.6708782{col 71}{space 3} .0827277
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.047996{col 30}{space 2}  .141613{col 41}{space 1}   -0.34{col 50}{space 3}0.735{col 58}{space 4}-.3268605{col 71}{space 3} .2308685
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0245089{col 30}{space 2} .1476614{col 41}{space 1}    0.17{col 50}{space 3}0.868{col 58}{space 4}-.2662662{col 71}{space 3} .3152839
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0204542{col 30}{space 2} .1163218{col 41}{space 1}    0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.861{col 58}{space 4}-.2086069{col 71}{space 3} .2495153
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1753232{col 30}{space 2} .1304245{col 41}{space 1}    1.34{col 50}{space 3}0.180{col 58}{space 4}-.0815089{col 71}{space 3} .4321552
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0288338{col 30}{space 2} .1023482{col 41}{space 1}    0.28{col 50}{space 3}0.778{col 58}{space 4}-.1727104{col 71}{space 3}  .230378
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1651711{col 30}{space 2} .1908597{col 41}{space 1}    0.87{col 50}{space 3}0.388{col 58}{space 4}-.2106701{col 71}{space 3} .5410124
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1456791{col 30}{space 2} .1823727{col 41}{space 1}    0.80{col 50}{space 3}0.425{col 58}{space 4}-.2134495{col 71}{space 3} .5048078
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1386939{col 30}{space 2} .1581252{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.381{col 58}{space 4}-.1726865{col 71}{space 3} .4500743
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2223614{col 30}{space 2} .1771303{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.210{col 58}{space 4}-.1264438{col 71}{space 3} .5711666
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0885925{col 30}{space 2} .2761731{col 41}{space 1}   -0.32{col 50}{space 3}0.749{col 58}{space 4}-.6324329{col 71}{space 3} .4552479
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1590589{col 30}{space 2} .2168798{col 41}{space 1}    0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.464{col 58}{space 4} -.268021{col 71}{space 3} .5861389
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3517389{col 30}{space 2} .2302256{col 41}{space 1}    1.53{col 50}{space 3}0.128{col 58}{space 4}-.1016216{col 71}{space 3} .8050995
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2816465{col 30}{space 2} .2534648{col 41}{space 1}    1.11{col 50}{space 3}0.268{col 58}{space 4}-.2174767{col 71}{space 3} .7807696
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6136966{col 30}{space 2} .2956485{col 41}{space 1}    2.08{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0315052{col 71}{space 3} 1.195888
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7281104{col 30}{space 2} .3535444{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.040{col 58}{space 4} .0319104{col 71}{space 3}  1.42431
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .557093{col 30}{space 2} .3734424{col 41}{space 1}    1.49{col 50}{space 3}0.137{col 58}{space 4}-.1782902{col 71}{space 3} 1.292476
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.050419{col 30}{space 2} .4530125{col 41}{space 1}    2.32{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .1583464{col 71}{space 3} 1.942492
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.347858{col 30}{space 2} .5134344{col 41}{space 1}    2.63{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .3368022{col 71}{space 3} 2.358914
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6147285{col 30}{space 2} .5025881{col 41}{space 1}    1.22{col 50}{space 3}0.222{col 58}{space 4}-.3749687{col 71}{space 3} 1.604426
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.061104{col 30}{space 2} .5602594{col 41}{space 1}    1.89{col 50}{space 3}0.059{col 58}{space 4}-.0421592{col 71}{space 3} 2.164368
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.340927{col 30}{space 2} .6465607{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0677184{col 71}{space 3} 2.614135
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.011311{col 30}{space 2} .6257573{col 41}{space 1}    1.62{col 50}{space 3}0.107{col 58}{space 4}-.2209307{col 71}{space 3} 2.243553
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.254525{col 30}{space 2} .7531675{col 41}{space 1}    1.67{col 50}{space 3}0.097{col 58}{space 4}-.2286138{col 71}{space 3} 2.737663
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.309017{col 30}{space 2}   .74174{col 41}{space 1}    1.76{col 50}{space 3}0.079{col 58}{space 4}-.1516182{col 71}{space 3} 2.769653
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.082572{col 30}{space 2} .7787681{col 41}{space 1}    1.39{col 50}{space 3}0.166{col 58}{space 4}-.4509793{col 71}{space 3} 2.616123
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.022666{col 30}{space 2} .8024512{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.204{col 58}{space 4}-.5575219{col 71}{space 3} 2.602854
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.327617{col 30}{space 2} .8509121{col 41}{space 1}    1.56{col 50}{space 3}0.120{col 58}{space 4}-.3480001{col 71}{space 3} 3.003235
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.553277{col 30}{space 2} .9849039{col 41}{space 1}    1.58{col 50}{space 3}0.116{col 58}{space 4}-.3861975{col 71}{space 3} 3.492751
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.447099{col 30}{space 2} .9244374{col 41}{space 1}    1.57{col 50}{space 3}0.119{col 58}{space 4}-.3733048{col 71}{space 3} 3.267502
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.589971{col 30}{space 2} .9796787{col 41}{space 1}    1.62{col 50}{space 3}0.106{col 58}{space 4}-.3392142{col 71}{space 3} 3.519155
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.452665{col 30}{space 2} .9666994{col 41}{space 1}    1.50{col 50}{space 3}0.134{col 58}{space 4}-.4509613{col 71}{space 3}  3.35629
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.018977{col 30}{space 2} .7269985{col 41}{space 1}    1.40{col 50}{space 3}0.162{col 58}{space 4}-.4126298{col 71}{space 3} 2.450583
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,024 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   258) ={res}    5.01
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0261
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   258) ={res}    1.75
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1582
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   258) ={res}    2.88
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0582
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann + 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001292{col 26}{space 2} .0003688{col 37}{space 1}   -0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.726{col 54}{space 4}-.0008555{col 67}{space 3} .0005971
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.002074{col 26}{space 2} .0015994{col 37}{space 1}   -1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.195{col 54}{space 4}-.0052088{col 67}{space 3} .0010608
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann    if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3175.111       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res} 3624.476       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 3950.903       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        315
{txt}25%    {res} 4643.055       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        315

{txt}50%    {res}  5946.47                      {txt}Mean          {res} 6508.801
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2170.654
{txt}75%    {res} 8432.818       10840.21
{txt}90%    {res} 9649.645       11256.66       {txt}Variance      {res}  4711739
{txt}95%    {res} 10159.67       11511.87       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3671428
{txt}99%    {res} 10840.21       11566.87       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.916253
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -7.86004{col 26}{space 2} 6.061438{col 37}{space 1}   -1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.195{col 54}{space 4}-19.74024{col 67}{space 3}  4.02016
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.C: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       270{col 27}-1889.087{col 38} -1738.93{col 49}    60{col 58} 3597.859{col 69} 3813.765
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.right_to_work omitted because of collinearity
note: 54.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 59,       210){col 67}= {res}     33.57
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2326416{col 34}{space 2}   .04761{col 45}{space 1}   -4.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3264964{col 75}{space 3}-.1387869
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.846406{col 34}{space 2} 1.469152{col 45}{space 1}    2.62{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} .9502293{col 75}{space 3} 6.742583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1796971{col 34}{space 2} .1370766{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4}-.0905255{col 75}{space 3} .4499197
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5659105{col 34}{space 2} 2.072188{col 45}{space 1}    0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.785{col 62}{space 4}-3.519045{col 75}{space 3} 4.650866
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2992303{col 34}{space 2} .1343547{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4} .0343734{col 75}{space 3} .5640871
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.357361{col 34}{space 2} 1.972984{col 45}{space 1}   -2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-9.246754{col 75}{space 3}-1.467968
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0377099{col 34}{space 2} .0887919{col 45}{space 1}   -0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.671{col 62}{space 4}-.2127475{col 75}{space 3} .1373277
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5.29735{col 34}{space 2} 2.108788{col 45}{space 1}   -2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-9.454456{col 75}{space 3}-1.140244
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1983584{col 34}{space 2} .0656283{col 45}{space 1}    3.02{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} .0689838{col 75}{space 3}  .327733
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.747585{col 34}{space 2} 2.376965{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.463{col 62}{space 4}-2.938185{col 75}{space 3} 6.433355
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 578.8106{col 34}{space 2}  913.489{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.527{col 62}{space 4}-1221.973{col 75}{space 3} 2379.594
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 391.4734{col 34}{space 2} 1060.644{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.712{col 62}{space 4}-1699.401{col 75}{space 3} 2482.348
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 315.5134{col 34}{space 2}  65.6653{col 45}{space 1}    4.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 186.0658{col 75}{space 3} 444.9611
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 539.4317{col 34}{space 2} 707.1632{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.446{col 62}{space 4}-854.6167{col 75}{space 3}  1933.48
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1685.243{col 34}{space 2} 1044.581{col 45}{space 1}   -1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.108{col 62}{space 4}-3744.451{col 75}{space 3} 373.9645
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8550.486{col 34}{space 2} 3516.048{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 1619.213{col 75}{space 3} 15481.76
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2451.673{col 34}{space 2}  2965.61{col 45}{space 1}    0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.409{col 62}{space 4}-3394.507{col 75}{space 3} 8297.853
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-143.3959{col 34}{space 2} 62.85695{col 45}{space 1}   -2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}-267.3073{col 75}{space 3}-19.48442
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 170.9591{col 34}{space 2} 115.3907{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.140{col 62}{space 4}-56.51341{col 75}{space 3} 398.4317
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 201.0856{col 34}{space 2} 61.64551{col 45}{space 1}    3.26{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 79.56226{col 75}{space 3} 322.6089
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-189.8713{col 34}{space 2} 121.3347{col 45}{space 1}   -1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.119{col 62}{space 4}-429.0615{col 75}{space 3} 49.31885
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-134.5188{col 34}{space 2} 59.64037{col 45}{space 1}   -2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4}-252.0893{col 75}{space 3}-16.94823
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 161.3124{col 34}{space 2}  117.103{col 45}{space 1}    1.38{col 54}{space 3}0.170{col 62}{space 4}-69.53574{col 75}{space 3} 392.1605
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 59.09072{col 34}{space 2} 80.24983{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.462{col 62}{space 4}-99.10776{col 75}{space 3} 217.2892
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 196.4911{col 34}{space 2} 64.91082{col 45}{space 1}    3.03{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 68.53084{col 75}{space 3} 324.4515
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.64403{col 34}{space 2} 55.52632{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.582{col 62}{space 4}-78.81637{col 75}{space 3} 140.1044
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-309.0231{col 34}{space 2} 78.86853{col 45}{space 1}   -3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-464.4986{col 75}{space 3}-153.5476
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 41.85708{col 34}{space 2} 49.83954{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.402{col 62}{space 4}-56.39283{col 75}{space 3}  140.107
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.40744{col 34}{space 2} 51.03015{col 45}{space 1}   -1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.121{col 62}{space 4}-180.0044{col 75}{space 3} 21.18957
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.625729{col 34}{space 2} 86.30799{col 45}{space 1}   -0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.911{col 62}{space 4}-179.7668{col 75}{space 3} 160.5153
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.47924{col 34}{space 2} 119.7214{col 45}{space 1}   -0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.755{col 62}{space 4} -273.489{col 75}{space 3} 198.5305
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.43767{col 34}{space 2} 134.9069{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.938{col 62}{space 4} -276.383{col 75}{space 3} 255.5076
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 441.3186{col 34}{space 2} 114.4948{col 45}{space 1}    3.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 215.6122{col 75}{space 3}  667.025
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 148.1546{col 34}{space 2} 148.6045{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.320{col 62}{space 4}-144.7932{col 75}{space 3} 441.1024
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  88.8608{col 34}{space 2} 127.1022{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.485{col 62}{space 4}-161.6989{col 75}{space 3} 339.4205
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 131.5138{col 34}{space 2} 120.3792{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.276{col 62}{space 4}-105.7926{col 75}{space 3} 368.8202
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 328.8049{col 34}{space 2} 118.2739{col 45}{space 1}    2.78{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 95.64868{col 75}{space 3} 561.9611
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 425.6422{col 34}{space 2} 148.5183{col 45}{space 1}    2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 132.8643{col 75}{space 3} 718.4201
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 193.8675{col 34}{space 2} 143.5372{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-89.09082{col 75}{space 3} 476.8259
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 198.0674{col 34}{space 2} 126.1268{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.118{col 62}{space 4}-50.56958{col 75}{space 3} 446.7044
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 584.3938{col 34}{space 2} 129.7163{col 45}{space 1}    4.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 328.6808{col 75}{space 3} 840.1068
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 356.3898{col 34}{space 2} 174.4113{col 45}{space 1}    2.04{col 54}{space 3}0.042{col 62}{space 4} 12.56844{col 75}{space 3} 700.2111
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 493.6203{col 34}{space 2}  147.159{col 45}{space 1}    3.35{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 203.5221{col 75}{space 3} 783.7185
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  493.799{col 34}{space 2} 167.2937{col 45}{space 1}    2.95{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 164.0088{col 75}{space 3} 823.5893
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 435.3844{col 34}{space 2} 155.8753{col 45}{space 1}    2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 128.1035{col 75}{space 3} 742.6654
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  669.354{col 34}{space 2}  164.185{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 345.6919{col 75}{space 3}  993.016
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 820.5201{col 34}{space 2}  178.872{col 45}{space 1}    4.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 467.9054{col 75}{space 3} 1173.135
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 529.4341{col 34}{space 2} 211.9174{col 45}{space 1}    2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}  111.676{col 75}{space 3} 947.1921
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 720.0726{col 34}{space 2} 179.7141{col 45}{space 1}    4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 365.7977{col 75}{space 3} 1074.347
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 816.0758{col 34}{space 2} 211.2702{col 45}{space 1}    3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 399.5937{col 75}{space 3} 1232.558
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.8082{col 34}{space 2} 199.6758{col 45}{space 1}    3.06{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 218.1824{col 75}{space 3} 1005.434
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 736.7121{col 34}{space 2}  192.169{col 45}{space 1}    3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 357.8847{col 75}{space 3}  1115.54
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1016.578{col 34}{space 2} 215.7461{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 591.2725{col 75}{space 3} 1441.884
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 962.4083{col 34}{space 2} 245.6297{col 45}{space 1}    3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 478.1924{col 75}{space 3} 1446.624
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1225.164{col 34}{space 2} 247.9403{col 45}{space 1}    4.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 736.3933{col 75}{space 3} 1713.935
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1094.419{col 34}{space 2} 270.8424{col 45}{space 1}    4.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 560.5006{col 75}{space 3} 1628.337
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 949.1771{col 34}{space 2} 298.1294{col 45}{space 1}    3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 361.4672{col 75}{space 3} 1536.887
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  390.183{col 34}{space 2} 228.9934{col 45}{space 1}    1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.090{col 62}{space 4}-61.23742{col 75}{space 3} 841.6034
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1079.632{col 34}{space 2} 199.4152{col 45}{space 1}    5.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 686.5198{col 75}{space 3} 1472.744
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6602.528{col 34}{space 2} 3541.471{col 45}{space 1}   -1.86{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-13583.92{col 75}{space 3} 378.8605
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,069 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   210) ={res}   23.88
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = l3.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,   210) ={res}    2.79
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0276
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   210) ={res}   12.11
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.341216{col 26}{space 2} 5.138604{col 37}{space 1}   -1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.106{col 54}{space 4}-18.47107{col 67}{space 3} 1.788642
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.53361{col 26}{space 2}  4.94848{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 6.834768{col 67}{space 3} 26.23245
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 13.99267       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 21.62605        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        270
{txt}25%    {res} 39.04762        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        270

{txt}50%    {res} 61.51174                      {txt}Mean          {res} 58.58739
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 25.29815
{txt}75%    {res} 81.81818       98.14165
{txt}90%    {res} 90.90909       98.52632       {txt}Variance      {res} 639.9964
{txt}95%    {res} 96.89474        98.9899       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2543468
{txt}99%    {res} 98.52632       99.26367       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.040101
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 707.1518{col 26}{space 2} 211.6493{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 292.3268{col 67}{space 3} 1121.977
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       270{col 27}-875.4848{col 38}-802.8439{col 49}    56{col 58} 1717.688{col 69} 1919.199
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,       214){col 67}= {res}     10.75
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2063531{col 29}{space 2}  .042108{col 40}{space 1}   -4.90{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2893527{col 70}{space 3}-.1233536
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0016823{col 29}{space 2} .0008467{col 40}{space 1}    1.99{col 49}{space 3}0.048{col 57}{space 4} .0000133{col 70}{space 3} .0033513
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0002333{col 29}{space 2}  .064541{col 40}{space 1}    0.00{col 49}{space 3}0.997{col 57}{space 4}-.1269842{col 70}{space 3} .1274507
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0007016{col 29}{space 2} .0016604{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.673{col 57}{space 4}-.0025711{col 70}{space 3} .0039744
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1323768{col 29}{space 2}  .083385{col 40}{space 1}    1.59{col 49}{space 3}0.114{col 57}{space 4}-.0319843{col 70}{space 3} .2967379
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0007085{col 29}{space 2} .0028417{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.803{col 57}{space 4}-.0048929{col 70}{space 3} .0063098
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .087856{col 29}{space 2} .0550396{col 40}{space 1}    1.60{col 49}{space 3}0.112{col 57}{space 4}-.0206331{col 70}{space 3} .1963452
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0017654{col 29}{space 2} .0028316{col 40}{space 1}   -0.62{col 49}{space 3}0.534{col 57}{space 4}-.0073468{col 70}{space 3}  .003816
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2265335{col 29}{space 2} .0871307{col 40}{space 1}   -2.60{col 49}{space 3}0.010{col 57}{space 4}-.3982778{col 70}{space 3}-.0547893
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0014727{col 29}{space 2} .0020394{col 40}{space 1}    0.72{col 49}{space 3}0.471{col 57}{space 4}-.0025472{col 70}{space 3} .0054925
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.010347{col 29}{space 2} 1.961831{col 40}{space 1}   -3.06{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4}-9.877334{col 70}{space 3} -2.14336
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.546665{col 29}{space 2} 2.781616{col 40}{space 1}    1.28{col 49}{space 3}0.204{col 57}{space 4} -1.93621{col 70}{space 3} 9.029541
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.860821{col 29}{space 2} 2.289261{col 40}{space 1}    2.56{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4} 1.348433{col 70}{space 3} 10.37321
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.223011{col 29}{space 2} 2.888723{col 40}{space 1}   -1.46{col 49}{space 3}0.145{col 57}{space 4}-9.917005{col 70}{space 3} 1.470984
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.398088{col 29}{space 2} 1.867417{col 40}{space 1}   -3.96{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-11.07897{col 70}{space 3}  -3.7172
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.452166{col 29}{space 2} 4.358902{col 40}{space 1}    1.25{col 49}{space 3}0.212{col 57}{space 4}-3.139715{col 70}{space 3} 14.04405
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.478704{col 29}{space 2} 1.314948{col 40}{space 1}    3.41{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 1.886796{col 70}{space 3} 7.070613
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.491228{col 29}{space 2} 2.629128{col 40}{space 1}   -0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.571{col 57}{space 4}-6.673531{col 70}{space 3} 3.691075
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}5  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.071159{col 29}{space 2} 1.740593{col 40}{space 1}   -1.19{col 49}{space 3}0.235{col 57}{space 4}-5.502061{col 70}{space 3} 1.359743
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.222286{col 29}{space 2} 1.517338{col 40}{space 1}    3.44{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 2.231445{col 70}{space 3} 8.213128
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6008747{col 29}{space 2} 1.136691{col 40}{space 1}   -0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.598{col 57}{space 4}-2.841419{col 70}{space 3}  1.63967
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.504064{col 29}{space 2}  1.81909{col 40}{space 1}    1.38{col 49}{space 3}0.170{col 57}{space 4}-1.081565{col 70}{space 3} 6.089692
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.423562{col 29}{space 2} 1.956695{col 40}{space 1}    2.77{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 1.566699{col 70}{space 3} 9.280426
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.44816{col 29}{space 2} 2.227243{col 40}{space 1}    4.69{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.058014{col 70}{space 3}  14.8383
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.813184{col 29}{space 2} 2.190564{col 40}{space 1}    2.65{col 49}{space 3}0.009{col 57}{space 4} 1.495339{col 70}{space 3} 10.13103
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.714992{col 29}{space 2} 1.503471{col 40}{space 1}   -1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.255{col 57}{space 4}-4.678501{col 70}{space 3} 1.248516
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.068507{col 29}{space 2} 2.552215{col 40}{space 1}   -0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.676{col 57}{space 4}-6.099206{col 70}{space 3} 3.962192
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.558407{col 29}{space 2} 2.467725{col 40}{space 1}    0.63{col 49}{space 3}0.528{col 57}{space 4}-3.305754{col 70}{space 3} 6.422568
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.261726{col 29}{space 2} 1.975021{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.895{col 57}{space 4}-4.154713{col 70}{space 3}  3.63126
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  7.25027{col 29}{space 2} 3.905852{col 40}{space 1}    1.86{col 49}{space 3}0.065{col 57}{space 4}-.4485985{col 70}{space 3} 14.94914
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6987829{col 29}{space 2} 2.380174{col 40}{space 1}    0.29{col 49}{space 3}0.769{col 57}{space 4}-3.992804{col 70}{space 3}  5.39037
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.222354{col 29}{space 2} 2.913144{col 40}{space 1}    0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.446{col 57}{space 4}-3.519776{col 70}{space 3} 7.964485
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0059147{col 29}{space 2} 1.984373{col 40}{space 1}   -0.00{col 49}{space 3}0.998{col 57}{space 4}-3.917335{col 70}{space 3} 3.905506
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.92742{col 29}{space 2} 3.031947{col 40}{space 1}    0.64{col 49}{space 3}0.526{col 57}{space 4}-4.048886{col 70}{space 3} 7.903725
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.236216{col 29}{space 2} 2.252235{col 40}{space 1}    0.55{col 49}{space 3}0.584{col 57}{space 4}-3.203191{col 70}{space 3} 5.675623
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.461758{col 29}{space 2} 2.655107{col 40}{space 1}    1.30{col 49}{space 3}0.194{col 57}{space 4}-1.771754{col 70}{space 3} 8.695269
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9979052{col 29}{space 2} 2.339011{col 40}{space 1}    0.43{col 49}{space 3}0.670{col 57}{space 4}-3.612545{col 70}{space 3} 5.608356
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.040747{col 29}{space 2} 2.968376{col 40}{space 1}    0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.493{col 57}{space 4}-3.810252{col 70}{space 3} 7.891746
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.438285{col 29}{space 2} 2.582029{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.346{col 57}{space 4}-2.651182{col 70}{space 3} 7.527752
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.34793{col 29}{space 2} 3.930011{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.601437{col 70}{space 3} 21.09442
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.423119{col 29}{space 2} 4.652325{col 40}{space 1}    1.60{col 49}{space 3}0.112{col 57}{space 4}-1.747131{col 70}{space 3} 16.59337
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.612454{col 29}{space 2} 3.306598{col 40}{space 1}    0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.430{col 57}{space 4} -3.90522{col 70}{space 3} 9.130127
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.578592{col 29}{space 2} 3.525136{col 40}{space 1}    0.45{col 49}{space 3}0.655{col 57}{space 4}-5.369844{col 70}{space 3} 8.527028
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.070709{col 29}{space 2} 4.003193{col 40}{space 1}    1.27{col 49}{space 3}0.207{col 57}{space 4}-2.820029{col 70}{space 3} 12.96145
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.639997{col 29}{space 2} 3.733468{col 40}{space 1}    1.24{col 49}{space 3}0.215{col 57}{space 4}-2.719083{col 70}{space 3} 11.99908
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.761888{col 29}{space 2} 4.407505{col 40}{space 1}    1.31{col 49}{space 3}0.193{col 57}{space 4}-2.925794{col 70}{space 3} 14.44957
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.472634{col 29}{space 2} 4.029935{col 40}{space 1}    0.86{col 49}{space 3}0.390{col 57}{space 4}-4.470816{col 70}{space 3} 11.41608
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.832273{col 29}{space 2} 4.129944{col 40}{space 1}    1.90{col 49}{space 3}0.059{col 57}{space 4}-.3083061{col 70}{space 3} 15.97285
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.624571{col 29}{space 2} 4.224395{col 40}{space 1}    1.09{col 49}{space 3}0.275{col 57}{space 4}-3.702182{col 70}{space 3} 12.95132
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.419327{col 29}{space 2} 4.773168{col 40}{space 1}    1.55{col 49}{space 3}0.122{col 57}{space 4}-1.989119{col 70}{space 3} 16.82777
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.715695{col 29}{space 2}  4.80177{col 40}{space 1}    0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.440{col 57}{space 4}-5.749129{col 70}{space 3} 13.18052
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.699532{col 29}{space 2} 5.221864{col 40}{space 1}    0.90{col 49}{space 3}0.369{col 57}{space 4}-5.593342{col 70}{space 3} 14.99241
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  4.49427{col 29}{space 2}  5.00162{col 40}{space 1}    0.90{col 49}{space 3}0.370{col 57}{space 4} -5.36448{col 70}{space 3} 14.35302
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.170256{col 29}{space 2}  5.25848{col 40}{space 1}    0.60{col 49}{space 3}0.547{col 57}{space 4}-7.194794{col 70}{space 3}  13.5353
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.577963{col 29}{space 2} 7.991888{col 40}{space 1}    0.70{col 49}{space 3}0.486{col 57}{space 4}-10.17494{col 70}{space 3} 21.33086
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-17.11262{col 29}{space 2} 8.417783{col 40}{space 1}   -2.03{col 49}{space 3}0.043{col 57}{space 4}  -33.705{col 70}{space 3}  -.52023
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,069 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   214) ={res}   24.02
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *
. 
. test d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  =  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann =  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann - LD.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann - L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,   214) ={res}    0.21
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.9323
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   214) ={res}   12.33
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011174{col 26}{space 2}  .002802{col 37}{space 1}    0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.690{col 54}{space 4}-.0044056{col 67}{space 3} .0066404
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0081526{col 26}{space 2} .0040286{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} .0002567{col 67}{space 3} .0160486
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 8624.711       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9523.432       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res}  10065.1       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        270
{txt}25%    {res}  11208.2       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        270

{txt}50%    {res} 12611.42                      {txt}Mean          {res} 12776.18
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 1990.397
{txt}75%    {res} 14367.06       16986.17
{txt}90%    {res} 15339.42        17263.1       {txt}Variance      {res}  3961682
{txt}95%    {res} 16033.95       17507.38       {txt}Skewness      {res}    .0862
{txt}99%    {res}  17263.1       17584.98       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.270968
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 25.75302{col 26}{space 2} 12.72583{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} .8108514{col 67}{space 3} 50.69519
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
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. 
. 
. 
. 
. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\Pitt\Krause\December 2016 Work\Log files\manuscript_models_granger_tests.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 6 Dec 2016, 10:02:55
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}